Villa Mitre vs 
Costa Brava• Torneo Federal A, Argentina
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:38 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.00 | 5.58 | 7.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.10 | 5.25 | 10.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.25 | 6.50 | 11.5% |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 2.90 | 5.00 | 12.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 2.99 | 5.04 | 12.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.78 | 3.25 | 6.50 | 2.3% |
| Average | 1.68 | 3.05 | 5.47 | 10.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 18:51 UTC
Villa Mitre
2W 6D 2L · goals 9:8 · per match 0.9 for, 0.8 against
| 11 Oct | A | Costa Brava | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Argentino Monte Maíz | 0-1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Huracan Las Heras | 3-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Juventud Antoniana | 0-0 | D |
| 16 Aug | H | Alvarado | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Aug | A | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 0-2 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | Cipolletti | 1-1 | D |
| 2 Aug | A | Atenas | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Jul | A | Sol de Mayo | 3-3 | D |
Costa Brava
4W 5D 1L · goals 12:8 · per match 1.2 for, 0.8 against
| 11 Oct | H | Villa Mitre | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Sol de Mayo | 1-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Santamarina | 3-1 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Deportivo Rincon | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | Juventud Unida Univ. | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Circulo Deportivo | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | Guillermo Brown | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Aug | A | Fundacion Amigos | 0-0 | D |
| 8 Aug | H | Germinal de Rawson | 1-1 | D |
| 2 Aug | A | San Martín Mendoza | 2-2 | D |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 1:2 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Villa Mitre
| 11 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A | Torneo Federal A | Costa Brava1-1Villa Mitre |
| 20 Jul 2025Torneo Federal A | Torneo Federal A | Costa Brava1-0Villa Mitre |
Torneo Federal A tableRegular Seasonupdated 18 Oct 03:30 UTC
In the Torneo Federal A table, Villa Mitre sit 16th with 23 points from 16 games, while Costa Brava are 27th with 18 points from 16.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | +9 | 31 |
| 2 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | +7 | 31 |
| 3 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | +12 | 30 |
| 4 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | +6 | 30 |
| 5 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 27 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | +5 | 27 |
| 7 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 27 |
| 8 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | +6 | 26 |
| 9 | Bartolomé Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | +6 | 26 |
| 10 | Sol de América | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | +5 | 26 |
| 11 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | +8 | 25 |
| 12 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | +4 | 25 |
| 13 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 25 |
| 14 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | +1 | 25 |
| 15 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 24 |
| 16 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | +6 | 23 |
| 17 | Argentino Monte Maíz | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 23 |
| 18 | Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 23 |
| 19 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 23 |
| 20 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 22 |
| 21 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | +3 | 21 |
| 22 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 23 | San Martín Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 19 |
| 24 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 19 |
| 25 | Independiente De Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 19 |
| 26 | El Linqueño | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 19 |
| 27 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 18 |
| 28 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 18 |
| 29 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 30 | Germinal de Rawson | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 18 |
| 31 | Juventud Unida Univ. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 32 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | -5 | 17 |
| 33 | Gimnasia Concepción | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 34 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 17 |
| 35 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | -11 | 15 |
| 36 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 13 |
| 37 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 6.7% |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 1.55 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.90 | 1.36 | 8.0% |
| Pinnacle | 2.57 | 1.41 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.90 | 1.55 | -1.0% |
| Average | 2.57 | 1.46 | 7.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.65 | 1.43 | 7.7% |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 1.50 | 8.3% |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 1.50 | 8.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.65 | 1.50 | 4.4% |
| Average | 2.52 | 1.47 | 7.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Villa Mitre at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Costa Brava at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.04 | 5.47, which imply roughly 32.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Torneo Federal A table: Villa Mitre are 16th (23 pts, 14-8 goals), Costa Brava 27th (18 pts, 12-13).
Over their last five matches, Villa Mitre averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Costa Brava averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Costa Brava and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.68 | 3.05 | 5.47 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | 2.13 | 1.31 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.21 | 3.97 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.52 | 1.47 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.28 | 1.93 | 6.69 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.13 | 2.17 | 5.89 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.45 | 21.5 | 78.5 |
| HT X | 3.98 | 4.30 | 13.0 |
| HT 2 | 32.0 | 21.5 | 12.4 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | 6.50 | 3.50 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.11 | 5.95 |
| 1.5 | 1.55 | 2.33 |
| 2.5 | 2.57 | 1.46 |
| 3.5 | 5.30 | 1.13 |
| 4.5 | 10.8 | 1.04 |
| 5.5 | 14.0 | 1.01 |
| 6.5 | 21.0 | – |
11 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.16 | 4.58 |
| 1 | 1.19 | 3.95 |
| 1.25 | 1.39 | 2.74 |
| 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| 2 | 2.04 | 1.69 |
| 2.25 | 2.42 | 1.50 |
| 2.75 | 3.29 | 1.27 |
| 3 | 4.70 | 1.15 |
| 3.25 | 5.38 | 1.12 |
| 3.75 | 5.17 | 1.12 |
| 4 | 10.5 | 1.02 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 2.73 | 1.41 |
| -1.25 | 2.41 | 1.55 |
| -1 | 2.15 | 1.68 |
| -0.75 | 1.86 | 1.91 |
| -0.5 | 1.61 | 2.25 |
| -0.25 | 1.40 | 2.88 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 9.40 | 1.03 |
| -2.75 | 5.90 | 1.13 |
| -2.5 | 6.00 | 1.13 |
| -2.25 | 4.06 | 1.22 |
| -2 | 3.65 | 1.25 |
| -1.5 | 2.90 | 1.39 |
| 0 | 1.18 | 4.80 |
| +0.25 | 1.15 | 4.70 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
Next Torneo Federal A matches
| 18 Oct | Alvarado – Cipolletti |
| 18 Oct | San Martin Formosa – Olimpo Bahia Blanca |
| 18 Oct | 9 de Julio Rafaela – Gimnasia Concepción |
| 18 Oct | Douglas Haig – El Linqueño |
| 18 Oct | Sarmiento de La Banda – Sportivo Belgrano |