Avondale vs Broadmeadow Magic• Australian Championship, Australia

#13.0:2.004:0024/10 · Avenger park, Melbourne1.0:0.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.31PINX5.64PIN28.051XBMargin at best6.5%Books5Markets65Rating63 · 38Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 20:56 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.31	5.64	7.39	7.6%
1xBet	1.30	5.45	8.05	7.7%
Marathonbet	1.28	5.45	8.00	9.0%
Bet365	1.27	5.25	7.50	11.1%
William Hill	1.25	5.50	7.00	12.5%
Best of all books	1.31	5.64	8.05	6.5%
Average	1.28	5.46	7.59	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AvondaleBroadmeadow Magic

Last 10#1Table position#22.00Points per game2.0011Form pts · last 543.0Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 50.075Attack rating250Defence rating10050Form rating500H2H rating00Goals model063Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 18:01 UTC

Avondale

6W 3D 1L · goals 19:11 · per match 1.9 for, 1.1 against

16 Oct	A	Adelaide City	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Oakleigh Cannons	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Hume City	3-2	W
5 Sep	H	Preston Lions	2-0	W
29 Aug	H	Hume City	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Altona Magic	2-0	W
15 Aug	A	Sunshine Georgies	2-3	L
1 Aug	H	Heidelberg United	2-1	W
25 Jul	A	Melbourne City II	3-2	W
18 Jul	H	St. Albans Saints	1-1	D

Broadmeadow Magic

5W 1D 4L · goals 17:8 · per match 1.7 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	H	Wests APIA	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Maitland	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Weston Bears	0-3	L
16 Aug	H	Charlestown City Blues	8-0	W
9 Aug	H	Kahibah	0-1	L
31 Jul	A	Cooks Hill United	1-0	W
25 Jul	A	Maitland	1-0	W
12 Jul	H	Hamilton Olympic	2-1	W
28 Jun	H	Weston Bears	5-1	W
20 Jun	A	Belmont Swansea	0-1	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Avondale and Broadmeadow Magic on record.

Australian Championship tableAustralian Championshipupdated 21 Oct 10:30 UTC

In the Australian Championship table, Avondale sit 1st with 2 points from 1 games, while Broadmeadow Magic are 2nd with 2 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	South Melbourne	1	1	0	1:0	+1	3
1	Avondale	1	1	0	3:2	+1	2
1	Oakleigh Cannons	1	1	0	4:2	+2	3
1	South Hobart	1	1	0	2:1	+1	3
2	Sydney United	1	1	0	2:1	+1	2
2	Broadmeadow Magic	1	1	0	1:0	+1	2
2	Bayswater City	1	1	0	3:1	+2	3
2	Wollongong Wolves	1	1	0	1:0	+1	2
3	Canberra FC	1	0	1	1:2	-1	1
3	Adelaide City	1	0	1	2:3	-1	1
3	Sydney Olympic	1	0	1	2:4	-2	0
3	Preston Lions	1	0	1	0:1	-1	1
4	Sutherland Sharks	1	0	1	0:1	-1	0
4	Wests APIA	1	0	1	0:1	-1	1
4	Marconi Stallions	1	0	1	1:3	-2	0
4	Lions	1	0	1	1:2	-1	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg171%1.28X17%5.46212%7.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.25 → 1.28 +2.4%X5.80 → 5.46 -5.9%28.70 → 7.59 -12.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.40	2.79	7.3%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Best of all books	1.40	2.79	7.3%
Average	1.39	2.68	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.70	2.04	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.70	2.01	8.6%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.70	2.04	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Avondale 35%Draw 35%Broadmeadow Magic 30%

The statistical model rates Avondale at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Broadmeadow Magic at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.28 | 5.46 | 7.59, which imply roughly 78.1% for a Avondale win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Australian Championship table: Avondale are 1st (2 pts, 3-2 goals), Broadmeadow Magic 2nd (2 pts, 1-0).

Over their last five matches, Avondale averaged 3 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Broadmeadow Magic averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Avondale.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.28	5.46	7.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	3.31	1.11

Draw no bet

1	2
1.11	6.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	2.04

1st half

1	X	2
1.67	2.76	6.86

2nd half

1	X	2
1.55	3.20	6.51

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.74	20.0	51.3
HT X	4.24	9.07	17.8
HT 2	19.7	20.5	14.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.31	22.5	3.37

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	14.3
1.5	1.10	5.37
2.5	1.39	2.68
3.5	2.05	1.71
4.5	3.27	1.27
5.5	5.63	1.09
6.5	8.75	1.05
7.5	12.5	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	12.0
1.75	1.11	4.90
2	1.13	4.50
2.25	1.27	3.21
2.75	1.48	2.41
3	1.61	2.14
3.25	1.85	1.88
3.75	2.31	1.54
4	2.75	1.37
4.25	2.99	1.31
4.75	3.93	1.18
5	5.10	1.10
5.25	5.40	1.09
6	9.00	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.56	1.44
-2	2.30	1.54
-1.75	2.00	1.75
-1.5	1.84	1.92
-1.25	1.61	2.21
-1	1.40	2.70

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	8.00	1.04
-3.75	5.73	1.09
-3.5	4.95	1.13
-3.25	4.67	1.15
-3	4.30	1.17
-2.75	3.39	1.26
-2.5	2.76	1.39
-0.75	1.34	3.03
-0.5	1.27	3.55
-0.25	1.17	4.29
0	1.07	6.33
+0.75	1.01	8.82

Next Australian Championship matches

22 Oct	Lions – Preston Lions
23 Oct	South Melbourne – Sydney United
24 Oct	Marconi Stallions – Oakleigh Cannons
24 Oct	Canberra FC – Sutherland Sharks
25 Oct	Sydney Olympic – Bayswater City
25 Oct	Wollongong Wolves – South Hobart

All Australian Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Australian Championship results

18 Oct	Lions 1-2 South Hobart
18 Oct	Sydney United 1-1 Canberra FC
17 Oct	Bayswater City 3-1 Marconi Stallions
17 Oct	Sutherland Sharks 0-1 South Melbourne
17 Oct	Broadmeadow Magic 0-0 Wests APIA
16 Oct	Adelaide City 2-2 Avondale