Lions vs South Hobart• Australian Championship, Australia

#307:0018/10 · Lions Stadium, Brisbane#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.12PINX9.50WH219.0B365Margin at best5.1%Books5Markets75

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 10:49 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.10	9.00	19.0	7.3%
Pinnacle	1.12	8.73	13.6	8.1%
1xBet	1.08	8.90	19.0	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.08	8.90	19.0	9.1%
William Hill	1.05	9.50	15.0	12.4%
Best of all books	1.12	9.50	19.0	5.1%
Average	1.09	9.01	17.1	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LionsSouth Hobart

Last 10#3Table position#412Form pts · last 5120Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating00H2H rating00Goals model00Overall rating0

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:01 UTC

Lions

8W 1D 1L · goals 21:7 · per match 2.1 for, 0.7 against

15 Sep	A	South Melbourne	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	Peninsula Power	1-0	W
30 Aug	H	Peninsula Power	4-1	W
25 Aug	H	North Sunshine Eagles	4-0	W
14 Aug	A	Moreton City Excelsior	2-0	W
11 Aug	H	Melbourne City	2-0	W
7 Aug	H	Brisbane Roar II	4-2	W
1 Aug	H	Peninsula Power	1-0	W
21 Jul	H	Perth Glory	1-1	D
18 Jul	A	Gold Coast United	1-0	W

South Hobart

7W 1D 2L · goals 29:13 · per match 2.9 for, 1.3 against

5 Sep	H	Devonport City	5-1	W
29 Aug	H	Kingborough Lions	4-2	W
23 Aug	H	Devonport City	0-3	L
8 Aug	H	Riverside	5-2	W
1 Aug	H	Launceston City	3-1	W
18 Jul	A	Devonport City	3-1	W
11 Jul	H	Ulverstone	2-0	W
5 Jul	A	South East Utd.	0-1	L
27 Jun	H	Glenorchy Knights	6-1	W
21 Jun	A	Kingborough Lions	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Lions and South Hobart on record.

Australian Championship tableAustralian Championshipupdated 16 Oct 12:40 UTC

In the Australian Championship table, Lions sit 3rd with 0 points from 0 games, while South Hobart are 4th with 0 points from 0.

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sutherland Sharks	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
1	Adelaide City	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
1	Marconi Stallions	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
1	Wollongong Wolves	1	1	0	1:0	+1	2
2	Sydney United	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Broadmeadow Magic	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Sydney Olympic	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Preston Lions	1	0	1	0:1	-1	1
3	South Melbourne	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Avondale	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Oakleigh Cannons	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Lions	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Canberra FC	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Wests APIA	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bayswater City	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	South Hobart	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg184%1.09X10%9.0125%17.1

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.09 → 1.09 0.0%X8.85 → 9.01 +1.8%216.2 → 17.1 +5.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.22	4.00	7.0%
1xBet	1.20	3.70	10.4%
Marathonbet	1.20	3.70	10.4%
Best of all books	1.22	4.00	7.0%
Average	1.21	3.80	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	1.92	1.79	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.77	8.6%
Best of all books	2.00	1.91	2.4%
Average	1.94	1.80	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lions 33%Draw 33%South Hobart 33%

The statistical model rates Lions at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and South Hobart at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.09 | 9.01 | 17.13, which imply roughly 91.7% for a Lions win versus the model's 33%.

Form context from the Australian Championship table: Lions are 3rd (0 pts, 0-0 goals), South Hobart 4th (0 pts, 0-0).

Over their last five matches, Lions averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; South Hobart averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.09	9.01	17.1

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.01	6.20	1.04

Draw no bet

1	2
1.02	10.8

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.94	1.80

1st half

1	X	2
1.37	3.44	11.2

2nd half

1	X	2
1.24	4.52	11.8

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.40	27.7	76.0
HT X	4.21	13.7	32.7
HT 2	21.0	31.3	31.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.17	34.0	4.74

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	20.0
1.5	1.04	7.80
2.5	1.21	3.80
3.5	1.58	2.26
4.5	2.22	1.56
5.5	3.48	1.24
6.5	6.00	1.11
7.5	9.00	1.04
8.5	13.0	1.01
9.5	17.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	14.5
1.75	1.03	7.30
2	1.04	6.90
2.25	1.12	4.75
2.75	1.23	3.42
3	1.28	3.10
3.25	1.42	2.59
3.75	1.67	2.03
4	1.84	1.84
4.25	2.02	1.67
4.75	2.51	1.43
5	2.88	1.32
5.25	3.14	1.27
6	5.10	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	2.59	1.43
-3.25	2.37	1.51
-3	2.13	1.63
-2.75	1.90	1.82
-2.5	1.75	2.02
-2.25	1.59	2.23

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-5.5	6.75	1.04
-5	6.25	1.06
-4.75	5.50	1.15
-4.5	4.08	1.18
-4.25	3.84	1.20
-4	3.57	1.23
-3.75	2.92	1.34
-2	1.42	2.60
-1.75	1.35	2.89
-1.5	1.29	3.13
-1.25	1.21	3.86
-1	1.11	5.35
-0.75	1.10	5.63
-0.5	1.15	5.50
-0.25	1.05	7.33
0	1.03	11.0