South Melbourne vs Sydney United• Australian Championship, Australia

#11.0:0.008:3023/10 · Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne2.0:1.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.79DAFX3.95DAF24.20DAFMargin at best5.0%Books5Markets54Rating42 · 59Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 17:49 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.78	3.70	4.10	7.6%
1xBet	1.75	3.78	4.14	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.73	3.78	4.15	8.4%
Bet365	1.67	3.80	4.00	11.2%
William Hill	1.67	3.70	3.90	12.5%
Best of all books	1.78	3.80	4.15	6.6%
Average	1.72	3.75	4.06	9.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

South MelbourneSydney United

Last 10#1Table position#23.00Points per game2.0010Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 52.00.0Goals against · last 51.033Attack rating67100Defence rating050Form rating500H2H rating00Goals model042Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 18:01 UTC

South Melbourne

5W 2D 3L · goals 17:12 · per match 1.7 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	A	Sutherland Sharks	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Melbourne Victory	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Lions	3-1	W
11 Sep	A	Oakleigh Cannons	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Heidelberg United	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Sunshine Georgies	0-1	L
26 Aug	A	Preston Lions	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Heidelberg United	1-2	L
15 Aug	A	Melbourne City II	3-0	W
9 Aug	H	Fremantle City	3-3	D

Sydney United

6W 3D 1L · goals 20:7 · per match 2.0 for, 0.7 against

18 Oct	H	Canberra FC	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	APIA Leichhardt Tigers	3-1	W
6 Sep	H	Manly United	3-1	W
30 Aug	H	St. George Saints	6-0	W
23 Aug	H	APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0-0	D
15 Aug	A	Sydney Olympic	2-1	W
12 Aug	A	APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1-1	D
9 Aug	A	Wollongong Wolves	2-1	W
2 Aug	H	NWS Spirit	2-0	W
25 Jul	A	St George City FA	0-1	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between South Melbourne and Sydney United on record.

Australian Championship tableAustralian Championshipupdated 21 Oct 10:30 UTC

In the Australian Championship table, South Melbourne sit 1st with 3 points from 1 games, while Sydney United are 2nd with 2 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	South Melbourne	1	1	0	1:0	+1	3
1	Avondale	1	1	0	3:2	+1	2
1	Oakleigh Cannons	1	1	0	4:2	+2	3
1	South Hobart	1	1	0	2:1	+1	3
2	Sydney United	1	1	0	2:1	+1	2
2	Broadmeadow Magic	1	1	0	1:0	+1	2
2	Bayswater City	1	1	0	3:1	+2	3
2	Wollongong Wolves	1	1	0	1:0	+1	2
3	Canberra FC	1	0	1	1:2	-1	1
3	Adelaide City	1	0	1	2:3	-1	1
3	Sydney Olympic	1	0	1	2:4	-2	0
3	Preston Lions	1	0	1	0:1	-1	1
4	Sutherland Sharks	1	0	1	0:1	-1	0
4	Wests APIA	1	0	1	0:1	-1	1
4	Marconi Stallions	1	0	1	1:3	-2	0
4	Lions	1	0	1	1:2	-1	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.73X24%3.79223%4.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.73	2.07	6.1%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
1xBet	1.71	2.05	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.71	2.05	7.3%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.71	2.07	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.66	2.09	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.06	8.8%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.68	2.06	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

South Melbourne 35%Draw 35%Sydney United 30%

The statistical model rates South Melbourne at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Sydney United at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.79 | 4.07, which imply roughly 57.8% for a South Melbourne win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Australian Championship table: South Melbourne are 1st (3 pts, 1-0 goals), Sydney United 2nd (2 pts, 2-1).

Over their last five matches, South Melbourne averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Sydney United averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : South Melbourne or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.72	3.75	4.06

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.99	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.35	3.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.06

1st half

1	X	2
2.23	2.29	4.52

2nd half

1	X	2
2.07	2.58	4.13

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.57	15.1	36.7
HT X	4.68	6.07	9.50
HT 2	23.0	16.0	6.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.56	13.6	2.51

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.4
1.5	1.19	3.90
2.5	1.71	2.07
3.5	2.73	1.38
4.5	4.80	1.13
5.5	8.73	1.04
6.5	12.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	8.90
1.25	1.09	5.35
1.75	1.23	3.43
2	1.30	3.07
2.25	1.50	2.38
2.75	1.89	1.84
3	2.17	1.59
3.25	2.46	1.47
3.75	3.22	1.27
4	4.25	1.15
4.25	4.61	1.13
4.75	6.25	1.06
5	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.92	1.35
-1.25	2.60	1.43
-1	2.32	1.57
-0.75	1.94	1.79
-0.5	1.76	2.05
-0.25	1.52	2.34

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	11.0	1.01
-2.75	7.50	1.03
-2.5	5.83	1.09
-2.25	5.43	1.11
-2	5.00	1.12
-1.75	3.57	1.23
0	1.33	3.02
+0.25	1.25	3.43
+0.5	1.25	3.80
+0.75	1.12	5.03
+1	1.02	7.90
+1.5	1.01	8.90

Next Australian Championship matches

22 Oct	Lions – Preston Lions
24 Oct	Avondale – Broadmeadow Magic
24 Oct	Marconi Stallions – Oakleigh Cannons
24 Oct	Canberra FC – Sutherland Sharks

All Australian Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Australian Championship results

18 Oct	Lions 1-2 South Hobart
18 Oct	Sydney United 1-1 Canberra FC
17 Oct	Bayswater City 3-1 Marconi Stallions
17 Oct	Sutherland Sharks 0-1 South Melbourne
17 Oct	Broadmeadow Magic 0-0 Wests APIA
16 Oct	Adelaide City 2-2 Avondale