Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad• UEFA Europa League, World

#231.0:1.019:00Today · Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom1.0:1.5#22

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.50BVCX4.88PIN21.521XBMargin at best1.7%Books6Markets87Rating59 · 42Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 00:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	6.08	4.76	1.52	3.2%
Pinnacle	5.73	4.88	1.51	4.2%
Marathonbet	6.00	4.70	1.50	4.6%
Bet365	6.25	4.75	1.45	6.0%
BetVictor	6.50	4.40	1.45	7.1%
William Hill	5.50	4.50	1.44	9.8%
Best of all books	6.50	4.88	1.52	1.7%
Average	6.01	4.67	1.48	5.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LillestromReal Sociedad

Last 10#23Table position#220.50Points per game0.508Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.567Attack rating3343Defence rating5783Form rating170H2H rating041Goals model5959Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:02 UTC

Lillestrom

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:14 · per match 1.9 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	A	Sandefjord	2-0	W
15 Oct	A	Sparta Praha	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Molde	2-2	D
1 Oct	A	Bærum	5-1	W
20 Sep	A	Viking	0-3	L
17 Sep	H	Torreense	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Valerenga	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Brann	2-1	W
2 Sep	A	Aurskog Finstadbru	3-0	W
30 Aug	H	Fredrikstad	1-4	L

Real Sociedad

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:16 · per match 1.8 for, 1.6 against

18 Oct	A	Malaga	5-2	W
15 Oct	A	Union St. Gilloise	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Deportivo La Coruna	3-2	W
2 Oct	H	Athletic Club	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Valencia	3-2	W
17 Sep	H	Bournemouth	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Atletico Madrid	0-3	L
7 Sep	A	Elche	3-2	W
3 Sep	H	Celta Vigo	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Espanyol	2-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Lillestrom and Real Sociedad on record.

UEFA Europa League tableUEFA Europa Leagueupdated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the UEFA Europa League table, Lillestrom sit 23rd with 1 points from 2 games, while Real Sociedad are 22nd with 1 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	7:1	+6	6
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	6:0	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	6:1	+5	6
4	Beşiktaş	2	2	0	0	7:3	+4	6
5	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	5:1	+4	6
6	Omonia Nicosia	2	2	0	0	4:0	+4	6
7	Ferencvarosi TC	2	2	0	0	5:2	+3	6
8	Lyon	2	2	0	0	5:3	+2	6
9	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	3:1	+2	6
10	Olympiakos Piraeus	2	2	0	0	3:1	+2	6
11	Sparta Praha	2	1	1	0	5:2	+3	4
12	Union St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	4:1	+3	4
13	Rennes	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
14	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
15	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	6:3	+3	3
16	AC Milan	2	1	0	1	4:2	+2	3
17	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	4:3	+1	3
18	OFI	2	1	0	1	3:2	+1	3
19	Torreense	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
20	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
21	Red Bull Salzburg	2	1	0	1	1:4	-3	3
22	Real Sociedad	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
23	Lillestrom	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
24	Levski Sofia	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
25	Hapoel Beer Sheva	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
26	Sturm Graz	2	0	1	1	0:3	-3	1
27	NEC Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	1:6	-5	1
28	Celta Vigo	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
29	Anderlecht	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
30	1899 Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0
31	Plzen	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
32	Marseille	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
33	Celtic	2	0	0	2	2:7	-5	0
34	Ararat-Armenia	2	0	0	2	2:7	-5	0
35	Celje	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0
36	Lech Poznan	2	0	0	2	0:8	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%6.01X20%4.67264%1.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.41 → 6.01 +11.1%X4.40 → 4.67 +6.1%21.53 → 1.48 -3.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.64	2.36	3.3%
Pinnacle	1.63	2.33	4.3%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.32	4.8%
Bet365	1.62	2.30	5.2%
BetVictor	1.58	2.19	9.0%
Best of all books	1.64	2.36	3.3%
Average	1.62	2.30	5.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.80	1.95	6.8%
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
1xBet	1.72	2.02	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.72	2.00	8.1%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.80	2.02	5.1%
Average	1.74	1.99	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lillestrom 45%Draw 45%Real Sociedad 10%

The statistical model rates Lillestrom at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Sociedad at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.01 | 4.67 | 1.48, which imply roughly 16.6% for a Lillestrom win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Europa League table: Lillestrom are 23rd (1 pts, 2-3 goals), Real Sociedad 22nd (1 pts, 2-3).

Over their last five matches, Lillestrom averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Real Sociedad averaged 1 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Lillestrom or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
6.01	4.67	1.48

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.59	1.14	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
4.43	1.18

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
5.70	2.52	1.95

2nd half

1	X	2
5.21	2.83	1.81

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	10.2	17.4	21.0
HT X	13.0	7.27	4.41
HT 2	41.0	16.3	2.12

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.94	16.4	1.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.8
1.5	1.18	4.52
2.5	1.62	2.30
3.5	2.48	1.50
4.5	4.42	1.18
5.5	8.25	1.04
6.5	17.0	1.02
7.5	29.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	12.5
1.25	1.08	6.07
1.75	1.20	4.06
2	1.26	3.47
2.25	1.44	2.70
2.75	1.76	2.04
3	1.97	1.78
3.25	2.22	1.60
3.75	2.79	1.36
4	3.54	1.22
4.25	3.85	1.18
4.75	5.15	1.10
5	7.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.66	1.46
+0.75	2.34	1.57
+1	2.04	1.76
+1.25	1.78	2.04
+1.5	1.61	2.29
+1.75	1.44	2.64

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	11.0	1.01
-0.75	6.87	1.07
-0.5	6.00	1.12
-0.25	5.03	1.14
0	4.63	1.18
+0.25	3.25	1.31
+2	1.28	3.41
+2.25	1.23	3.58
+2.5	1.20	3.93
+2.75	1.13	4.93
+3	1.06	6.90
+3.5	1.03	7.50

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.32	3.08
3	1.47	2.58
3.5	1.76	1.99
4	2.27	1.59
4.5	2.24	1.62

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	–	9.20
6.5	1.08	5.25
7.5	1.19	3.61
8.5	1.38	2.65
9.5	1.69	2.07
10.5	2.08	1.67
11.5	2.68	1.36
12.5	3.53	1.19
13.5	4.81	1.10
14.5	7.50	1.03

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.10	4.47
7.75	1.18	3.48
8	1.22	3.17
8.25	1.30	2.94
8.75	1.41	2.49
9	1.50	2.40
9.25	1.58	2.16
9.75	1.78	1.88
10	1.88	1.90
10.25	2.01	1.68
10.75	2.27	1.50
11	2.34	1.53
11.25	2.61	1.37
12	2.98	1.25
13	3.97	1.13
14	5.10	1.06

Next UEFA Europa League matches

22 Oct	Ararat-Armenia – AZ Alkmaar
22 Oct	Dinamo Zagreb – NEC Nijmegen
22 Oct	Sturm Graz – Marseille
22 Oct	Ferencvarosi TC – Torreense
22 Oct	Juventus – Rennes
22 Oct	Lech Poznan – Sunderland

All UEFA Europa League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Europa League results

15 Oct	Bournemouth 3-0 Sturm Graz
15 Oct	Benfica 4-1 Celtic
15 Oct	Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Anderlecht
15 Oct	Celta Vigo 1-2 Juventus
15 Oct	Ferencvarosi TC 2-1 Plzen
15 Oct	Marseille 0-1 Olympiakos Piraeus