Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz• UEFA Europa League, World

#102.0:1.01-0LiveToday · Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth0.0:0.0#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.18BTNX8.80DAF217.0B365Margin at best2.0%Books10Markets110Rating75 · 25Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 16:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.18	8.50	16.5	2.6%
1xBet	1.17	8.65	15.5	3.5%
Pinnacle	1.16	8.76	16.5	3.7%
Dafabet	1.16	8.80	16.0	3.8%
Marathonbet	1.16	8.50	15.5	4.4%
Bet365	1.14	8.00	17.0	6.1%
BetVictor	1.13	8.00	17.0	6.9%
Betfair	1.13	8.00	15.0	7.7%
William Hill	1.15	7.50	13.0	8.0%
SBO	1.14	7.72	13.5	8.1%
Best of all books	1.18	8.80	17.0	2.0%
Average	1.15	8.24	15.5	5.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BournemouthSturm Graz

Last 10#10Table position#173.00Points per game1.007Form pts · last 5102.0Goals for · last 50.01.0Goals against · last 50.0100Attack rating00Defence rating10075Form rating250H2H rating00Goals model075Overall rating25

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 19:40 UTC

Bournemouth

2W 4D 4L · goals 16:18 · per match 1.6 for, 1.8 against

10 Oct	A	Chelsea	1-5	L
20 Sep	H	Liverpool	0-1	L
17 Sep	A	Real Sociedad	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Brentford	2-2	D
8 Sep	H	Lincoln	4-0	W
5 Sep	A	Newcastle	2-2	D
29 Aug	H	Everton	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Manchester City	1-2	L
15 Aug	A	FSV Mainz 05	1-2	L
8 Aug	A	Real Betis	2-2	D

Sturm Graz

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	A	Austria Vienna	2-0	W
2 Oct	H	Floridsdorfer AC	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	Red Bull Salzburg	0-3	L
16 Sep	H	Rennes	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Lask Linz	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Voitsberg	4-1	W
30 Aug	A	Rapid Vienna	1-3	L
22 Aug	H	Austria Lustenau	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	SCR Altach	1-0	W
11 Aug	H	Fenerbahçe	0-1	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Bournemouth and Sturm Graz on record.

UEFA Europa League tableUEFA Europa Leagueupdated 15 Oct 18:40 UTC

In the UEFA Europa League table, Bournemouth sit 10th with 3 points from 1 games, while Sturm Graz are 17th with 1 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	5:0	+5	3
2	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	4:0	+4	3
3	Sparta Praha	1	1	0	0	4:1	+3	3
4	Beşiktaş	1	1	0	0	4:1	+3	3
5	Union St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	3:0	+3	3
6	Ferencvarosi TC	1	1	0	0	3:1	+2	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
8	Bayer Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
9	OFI	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
10	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
11	Lyon	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
12	Torreense	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
13	Olympiakos Piraeus	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
14	Red Bull Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
15	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
16	Omonia Nicosia	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
17	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
18	Rennes	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
19	Dinamo Zagreb	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
20	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
21	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
22	Real Sociedad	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
23	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
24	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
25	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
26	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
27	Levski Sofia	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
28	Celtic	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
29	1899 Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
30	AC Milan	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
31	Celje	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
32	Marseille	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
33	Ararat-Armenia	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0
35	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0
36	NEC Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	0:5	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg182%1.15X12%8.2426%15.6

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.19 → 1.15 -3.4%X6.98 → 8.24 +18.1%212.4 → 15.6 +25.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.32	3.52	4.2%
Bet365	1.33	3.40	4.6%
Betano	1.33	3.35	5.0%
BetVictor	1.29	3.40	6.9%
Betfair	1.30	3.30	7.2%
1xBet	1.28	3.20	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.28	3.20	9.4%
Best of all books	1.33	3.52	3.6%
Average	1.30	3.34	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betano	1.93	1.82	6.8%
Bet365	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Betfair	1.87	1.87	7.0%
1xBet	1.88	1.84	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.82	8.1%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Best of all books	1.95	1.87	4.8%
Average	1.91	1.83	7.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bournemouth 45%Draw 45%Sturm Graz 10%

The statistical model rates Bournemouth at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sturm Graz at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.15 | 8.24 | 15.55, which imply roughly 87% for a Bournemouth win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Europa League table: Bournemouth are 10th (3 pts, 2-1 goals), Sturm Graz 17th (1 pts, 0-0).

Over their last five matches, Bournemouth averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Sturm Graz averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Bournemouth and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Bournemouth

4-4-2

Coach: M. Rose

Goalkeeper

1Đ. Petrović

Defence

15A. Smith
14António Silva
18B. Diakité
6J. Soler

Midfield

16M. Tavernier
4L. Cook
12T. Adams
11B. Doak

Attack

30Á. Rodríguez
9Evanilson

Substitutes (10)

27A. Tóth
10R. Christie
7D. Brooks
55M. Allan
21A. Adli
20M. Di Gregorio
5J. Hill
19J. Kluivert
37Rayan
3A. Truffert

Sturm Graz

4-4-2

Coach: F. Ingolitsch

Goalkeeper

53D. Khudyakov

Defence

23A. Malic
2J. Quarshie
21P. Petrović
27L. Balbo

Midfield

28J. Heil
4J. Gorenc Stankovič
78V. Matoshi
43Jacob Peter Hödl

Attack

19S. Seidl
26B. Beganović

Substitutes (11)

39Luca Weinhandl
5A. Vallci
41E. Lorenz
30P. Koller
11A. Kayombo
22A. Helac
40J. Halwachs
14O. Diakité
25M. Grgic
38Jonas Peinhart
37J. Petritsch

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.15	8.24	15.6

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	5.29	1.08

Draw no bet

1	2
1.03	11.8

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.91	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
1.45	3.31	10.2

2nd half

1	X	2
1.36	3.87	9.33

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.51	23.4	76.2
HT X	4.31	12.2	28.2
HT 2	19.2	26.0	24.3

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.20	30.0	4.38

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	22.3
1.5	1.07	7.18
2.5	1.30	3.34
3.5	1.83	1.99
4.5	2.77	1.42
5.5	4.79	1.16
6.5	8.70	1.07
7.5	15.9	1.02
8.5	24.8	1.01
9.5	51.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	20.0
1.75	1.06	6.16
2	1.08	5.80
2.25	1.20	3.89
2.75	1.36	2.89
3	1.44	2.69
3.25	1.64	2.25
3.75	1.98	1.79
4	2.26	1.61
4.25	2.48	1.49
4.75	3.11	1.29
5	3.86	1.18
5.25	4.14	1.16
6	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	2.36	1.57
-2.5	2.10	1.73
-2.25	1.89	1.93
-2	1.67	2.21
-1.75	1.54	2.42
-1.5	1.44	2.70

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-5.5	11.5	1.01
-4.5	5.65	1.08
-4.25	5.48	1.11
-4	5.15	1.12
-3.75	3.90	1.20
-3.5	3.31	1.27
-3.25	3.08	1.34
-3	2.79	1.41
-1.25	1.31	3.22
-1	1.19	4.26
-0.75	1.17	4.48
-0.5	1.14	5.75
-0.25	1.07	8.05
0	1.04	14.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.09	6.70
2.5	1.27	3.51
3.5	1.62	2.23
4.5	2.26	1.60
5.5	3.15	1.33
6.5	4.70	1.17
7.5	6.90	1.08
8.5	9.50	1.04
9.5	11.8	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.36	2.96
4	1.93	1.86
5	3.26	1.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.5
4.5	1.02	11.6
5.5	1.03	8.18
6.5	1.12	5.26
7.5	1.25	3.46
8.5	1.47	2.52
9.5	1.81	1.93
10.5	2.33	1.55
11.5	3.03	1.32
12.5	4.22	1.17
13.5	5.98	1.09
14.5	7.90	1.04
15.5	11.3	1.02
16.5	11.8	1.02
17.5	13.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.24	3.34
8.25	1.36	2.81
8.75	1.49	2.40
9	1.50	2.50
9.25	1.67	2.08
9.75	1.87	1.83
10	1.92	1.83
10.25	2.12	1.62
10.75	2.41	1.46
11	2.55	1.47
11.25	2.82	1.36