Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen• UEFA Europa League, World

#140.5:0.016:45Today · Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb0.5:3.0#27

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.691XBX4.42PIN25.00B365Margin at best1.8%Books6Markets88Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 00:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.69	4.26	4.91	3.0%
Marathonbet	1.67	4.20	4.85	4.3%
Pinnacle	1.62	4.46	4.90	4.6%
Bet365	1.62	4.20	5.00	5.5%
BetVictor	1.62	4.20	4.75	6.6%
William Hill	1.62	4.00	4.80	7.6%
Best of all books	1.69	4.46	5.00	1.6%
Average	1.64	4.22	4.87	5.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Dinamo ZagrebNEC Nijmegen

Last 10#14Table position#272.00Points per game0.5012Form pts · last 540.5Goals for · last 50.50.0Goals against · last 53.050Attack rating50100Defence rating080Form rating200H2H rating0100Goals model065Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:03 UTC

Dinamo Zagreb

6W 2D 2L · goals 23:11 · per match 2.3 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	A	NK Slaven Belupo	5-1	W
15 Oct	H	Anderlecht	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	HNK Hajduk Split	1-2	L
4 Oct	A	Vukovar	4-0	W
20 Sep	H	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	3-2	W
16 Sep	A	Hapoel Beer Sheva	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	NK Osijek	2-4	L
9 Sep	A	Bedem Ivankovo	4-0	W
5 Sep	H	HNK Gorica	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Istra 1961	2-2	D

NEC Nijmegen

1W 5D 4L · goals 11:22 · per match 1.1 for, 2.2 against

18 Oct	H	Fortuna Sittard	2-2	D
15 Oct	H	Levski Sofia	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Ajax	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	GO Ahead Eagles	1-1	D
17 Sep	A	Juventus	0-5	L
12 Sep	A	Cambuur	0-3	L
8 Sep	H	Excelsior	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Feyenoord	1-3	L
29 Aug	A	PEC Zwolle	3-1	W
25 Aug	A	Bodo/Glimt	0-3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Dinamo Zagreb and NEC Nijmegen on record.

UEFA Europa League tableUEFA Europa Leagueupdated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the UEFA Europa League table, Dinamo Zagreb sit 14th with 4 points from 2 games, while NEC Nijmegen are 27th with 1 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	7:1	+6	6
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	6:0	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	6:1	+5	6
4	Beşiktaş	2	2	0	0	7:3	+4	6
5	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	5:1	+4	6
6	Omonia Nicosia	2	2	0	0	4:0	+4	6
7	Ferencvarosi TC	2	2	0	0	5:2	+3	6
8	Lyon	2	2	0	0	5:3	+2	6
9	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	3:1	+2	6
10	Olympiakos Piraeus	2	2	0	0	3:1	+2	6
11	Sparta Praha	2	1	1	0	5:2	+3	4
12	Union St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	4:1	+3	4
13	Rennes	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
14	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
15	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	6:3	+3	3
16	AC Milan	2	1	0	1	4:2	+2	3
17	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	4:3	+1	3
18	OFI	2	1	0	1	3:2	+1	3
19	Torreense	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
20	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
21	Red Bull Salzburg	2	1	0	1	1:4	-3	3
22	Real Sociedad	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
23	Lillestrom	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
24	Levski Sofia	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
25	Hapoel Beer Sheva	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
26	Sturm Graz	2	0	1	1	0:3	-3	1
27	NEC Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	1:6	-5	1
28	Celta Vigo	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
29	Anderlecht	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
30	1899 Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0
31	Plzen	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
32	Marseille	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
33	Celtic	2	0	0	2	2:7	-5	0
34	Ararat-Armenia	2	0	0	2	2:7	-5	0
35	Celje	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0
36	Lech Poznan	2	0	0	2	0:8	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.65X23%4.21220%4.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.70 → 1.65 -2.9%X4.01 → 4.21 +5.0%24.43 → 4.83 +9.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.56	2.49	4.3%
Bet365	1.57	2.38	5.7%
BetVictor	1.53	2.29	9.0%
1xBet	1.52	2.31	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.31	9.1%
Best of all books	1.57	2.49	3.9%
Average	1.54	2.36	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.56	2.30	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.27	8.2%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.38	3.7%
Average	1.57	2.29	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Dinamo Zagreb 45%Draw 45%NEC Nijmegen 10%

The statistical model rates Dinamo Zagreb at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and NEC Nijmegen at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.65 | 4.21 | 4.83, which imply roughly 60.6% for a Dinamo Zagreb win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Europa League table: Dinamo Zagreb are 14th (4 pts, 1-0 goals), NEC Nijmegen 27th (1 pts, 1-6).

Over their last five matches, Dinamo Zagreb averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; NEC Nijmegen averaged 0.5 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Dinamo Zagreb or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.64	4.22	4.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	2.22	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.65

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.29

1st half

1	X	2
2.13	2.48	4.79

2nd half

1	X	2
1.95	2.80	4.38

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.39	15.1	36.7
HT X	4.72	6.73	11.0
HT 2	20.3	15.4	8.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	17.1	2.65

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.3
1.5	1.15	4.85
2.5	1.54	2.36
3.5	2.37	1.58
4.5	4.05	1.22
5.5	7.50	1.05
6.5	15.0	1.03
7.5	29.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	13.0
1.75	1.16	4.16
2	1.20	3.75
2.25	1.37	2.75
2.75	1.65	2.13
3	1.85	1.89
3.25	2.11	1.72
3.75	2.65	1.42
4	3.34	1.28
4.25	3.59	1.23
4.75	4.69	1.13
5	6.20	1.06
5.25	6.45	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.61	1.48
-1.25	2.33	1.59
-1	2.05	1.77
-0.75	1.76	2.00
-0.5	1.60	2.30
-0.25	1.43	2.69

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.01
-3	8.00	1.02
-2.75	5.80	1.09
-2.5	4.53	1.15
-2.25	4.26	1.18
-2	4.04	1.21
-1.75	3.17	1.36
0	1.26	3.62
+0.25	1.21	4.08
+0.5	1.18	4.80
+0.75	1.10	5.79
+1	1.02	8.10
+1.5	1.01	8.80

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.35	2.96
3	1.51	2.45
3.5	1.83	1.90
4	2.37	1.54
4.5	2.81	1.38

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	8.40
6.5	1.10	4.84
7.5	1.23	3.30
8.5	1.47	2.46
9.5	1.82	1.91
10.5	2.27	1.56
11.5	2.93	1.31
12.5	3.90	1.17
13.5	5.31	1.08
14.5	5.62	1.04

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.55
7	1.12	4.12
7.75	1.21	3.18
8	1.26	2.90
8.25	1.34	2.72
8.75	1.48	2.30
9	1.59	2.21
9.25	1.71	2.05
9.75	1.93	1.80
10	2.03	1.73
10.25	2.16	1.58
10.75	2.44	1.42
11	2.55	1.39
11.25	2.87	1.32
12	3.27	1.20
13	4.35	1.10
14	5.50	1.05

Next UEFA Europa League matches

22 Oct	Ararat-Armenia – AZ Alkmaar
22 Oct	Sturm Graz – Marseille
22 Oct	Ferencvarosi TC – Torreense
22 Oct	Juventus – Rennes
22 Oct	Lech Poznan – Sunderland
22 Oct	OFI – Bayer Leverkusen

All UEFA Europa League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Europa League results

15 Oct	Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Anderlecht
15 Oct	Marseille 0-1 Olympiakos Piraeus
15 Oct	Bournemouth 3-0 Sturm Graz
15 Oct	Benfica 4-1 Celtic
15 Oct	Celta Vigo 1-2 Juventus
15 Oct	Ferencvarosi TC 2-1 Plzen