Sturm Graz vs Marseille• UEFA Europa League, World

#260.0:1.516:45Today · Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz0.5:2.5#32

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.70B365X3.731XB22.061XBMargin at best2.4%Books6Markets80Rating63 · 38Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 00:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.60	3.73	2.06	3.1%
Pinnacle	3.61	3.73	2.02	4.0%
Marathonbet	3.56	3.68	2.03	4.5%
Bet365	3.70	3.50	2.00	5.6%
BetVictor	3.40	3.60	2.00	7.2%
William Hill	3.40	3.50	2.00	8.0%
Best of all books	3.70	3.73	2.06	2.4%
Average	3.54	3.62	2.02	5.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sturm GrazMarseille

Last 10#26Table position#320.50Points per game0.009Form pts · last 560.0Goals for · last 50.51.5Goals against · last 52.50Attack rating10063Defence rating38100Form rating00H2H rating00Goals model063Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:03 UTC

Sturm Graz

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:14 · per match 1.9 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	H	Grazer AK	6-1	W
15 Oct	A	Bournemouth	0-3	L
10 Oct	A	Austria Vienna	2-0	W
2 Oct	H	Floridsdorfer AC	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	Red Bull Salzburg	0-3	L
16 Sep	H	Rennes	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Lask Linz	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Voitsberg	4-1	W
30 Aug	A	Rapid Vienna	1-3	L
22 Aug	H	Austria Lustenau	1-1	D

Marseille

3W 0D 7L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

18 Oct	A	Angers	5-2	W
15 Oct	H	Olympiakos Piraeus	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Estac Troyes	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Paris Saint Germain	1-2	L
17 Sep	A	Beşiktaş	1-4	L
11 Sep	A	Rennes	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Paris FC	2-3	L
30 Aug	A	Monaco	0-2	L
21 Aug	H	Strasbourg	4-0	W
14 Aug	H	Atletico Madrid	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Sturm Graz and Marseille on record.

UEFA Europa League tableUEFA Europa Leagueupdated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the UEFA Europa League table, Sturm Graz sit 26th with 1 points from 2 games, while Marseille are 32nd with 0 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	7:1	+6	6
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	6:0	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	6:1	+5	6
4	Beşiktaş	2	2	0	0	7:3	+4	6
5	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	5:1	+4	6
6	Omonia Nicosia	2	2	0	0	4:0	+4	6
7	Ferencvarosi TC	2	2	0	0	5:2	+3	6
8	Lyon	2	2	0	0	5:3	+2	6
9	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	3:1	+2	6
10	Olympiakos Piraeus	2	2	0	0	3:1	+2	6
11	Sparta Praha	2	1	1	0	5:2	+3	4
12	Union St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	4:1	+3	4
13	Rennes	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
14	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
15	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	6:3	+3	3
16	AC Milan	2	1	0	1	4:2	+2	3
17	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	4:3	+1	3
18	OFI	2	1	0	1	3:2	+1	3
19	Torreense	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
20	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
21	Red Bull Salzburg	2	1	0	1	1:4	-3	3
22	Real Sociedad	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
23	Lillestrom	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
24	Levski Sofia	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
25	Hapoel Beer Sheva	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
26	Sturm Graz	2	0	1	1	0:3	-3	1
27	NEC Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	1:6	-5	1
28	Celta Vigo	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
29	Anderlecht	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
30	1899 Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0
31	Plzen	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
32	Marseille	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
33	Celtic	2	0	0	2	2:7	-5	0
34	Ararat-Armenia	2	0	0	2	2:7	-5	0
35	Celje	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0
36	Lech Poznan	2	0	0	2	0:8	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.55X26%3.61247%2.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.43 → 3.55 +3.5%X3.58 → 3.61 +0.8%22.04 → 2.03 -0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.76	2.16	3.1%
Pinnacle	1.70	2.20	4.3%
Marathonbet	1.73	2.12	5.0%
Bet365	1.73	2.10	5.4%
BetVictor	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Best of all books	1.76	2.20	2.3%
Average	1.72	2.13	5.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.25	6.2%
1xBet	1.60	2.22	7.5%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.19	8.2%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.59	2.23	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sturm Graz 45%Draw 45%Marseille 10%

The statistical model rates Sturm Graz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Marseille at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.55 | 3.61 | 2.03, which imply roughly 28.2% for a Sturm Graz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Europa League table: Sturm Graz are 26th (1 pts, 0-3 goals), Marseille 32nd (0 pts, 1-5).

Over their last five matches, Sturm Graz averaged 0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Marseille averaged 0.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.55	3.62	2.02

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.78	1.30	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
2.56	1.45

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.23

1st half

1	X	2
3.88	2.31	2.56

2nd half

1	X	2
3.53	2.59	2.34

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.63	15.0	24.3
HT X	8.13	5.70	5.30
HT 2	35.0	14.2	3.06

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.30	13.6	1.69

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.6
1.5	1.20	4.20
2.5	1.72	2.13
3.5	2.67	1.43
4.5	5.03	1.14
5.5	10.0	1.04
6.5	19.0	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.5
1.25	1.09	5.66
1.75	1.25	3.61
2	1.31	3.12
2.25	1.52	2.50
2.75	1.86	1.89
3	2.15	1.65
3.25	2.42	1.51
3.75	3.23	1.27
4	4.25	1.15
4.25	4.64	1.12
4.75	6.35	1.06
5	9.10	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.05	1.37
0	2.62	1.49
+0.25	2.06	1.72
+0.5	1.81	1.99
+0.75	1.59	2.27
+1	1.39	2.83

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.50	1.04
-1.25	7.08	1.07
-1	6.67	1.08
-0.75	4.40	1.18
-0.5	3.56	1.29
+1.25	1.31	3.20
+1.5	1.26	3.56
+1.75	1.16	4.42
+2	1.07	6.45
+2.25	1.06	6.86
+2.5	1.05	7.27

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3	1.36	2.93
3.5	1.66	2.12
4	2.01	1.78
4.5	2.44	1.52
5	3.25	1.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.83
6.5	1.11	4.62
7.5	1.25	3.15
8.5	1.51	2.36
9.5	1.87	1.86
10.5	2.35	1.51
11.5	3.01	1.27
12.5	4.11	1.15
13.5	5.59	1.07

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.47
7	1.13	3.92
7.75	1.26	3.12
8	1.31	2.87
8.25	1.38	2.56
8.75	1.55	2.25
9	1.66	2.13
9.25	1.77	1.98
9.75	2.00	1.76
10	2.11	1.67
10.25	2.21	1.52
10.75	2.58	1.39
11	2.68	1.36
11.25	2.97	1.25
12	3.45	1.18
13	4.55	1.09

Next UEFA Europa League matches

22 Oct	Ararat-Armenia – AZ Alkmaar
22 Oct	Dinamo Zagreb – NEC Nijmegen
22 Oct	Ferencvarosi TC – Torreense
22 Oct	Juventus – Rennes
22 Oct	Lech Poznan – Sunderland
22 Oct	OFI – Bayer Leverkusen

All UEFA Europa League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Europa League results

15 Oct	Bournemouth 3-0 Sturm Graz
15 Oct	Benfica 4-1 Celtic
15 Oct	Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Anderlecht
15 Oct	Celta Vigo 1-2 Juventus
15 Oct	Ferencvarosi TC 2-1 Plzen
15 Oct	Marseille 0-1 Olympiakos Piraeus