Bournemouth vs AC Milan• UEFA Europa League, World

#52.5:0.519:00Today · Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth2.0:1.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.07MARX3.76PIN23.70B365Margin at best1.9%Books6Markets80Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 00:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.07	3.72	3.58	3.1%
Marathonbet	2.07	3.72	3.58	3.1%
Pinnacle	2.01	3.78	3.68	3.4%
Bet365	1.95	3.80	3.60	5.4%
BetVictor	1.95	3.70	3.50	6.9%
William Hill	2.00	3.50	3.40	8.0%
Best of all books	2.07	3.80	3.68	1.8%
Average	2.01	3.70	3.56	4.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BournemouthAC Milan

Last 10#5Table position#163.00Points per game1.509Form pts · last 5102.5Goals for · last 52.00.5Goals against · last 51.056Attack rating4467Defence rating3367Form rating330H2H rating00Goals model063Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:02 UTC

Bournemouth

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	H	Sunderland	2-0	W
15 Oct	H	Sturm Graz	3-0	W
10 Oct	A	Chelsea	1-5	L
20 Sep	H	Liverpool	0-1	L
17 Sep	A	Real Sociedad	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Brentford	2-2	D
8 Sep	H	Lincoln	4-0	W
5 Sep	A	Newcastle	2-2	D
29 Aug	H	Everton	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Manchester City	1-2	L

AC Milan

6W 3D 1L · goals 22:11 · per match 2.2 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	H	Atalanta	3-2	W
15 Oct	A	Red Bull Salzburg	4-0	W
11 Oct	A	Sassuolo	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Lecce	3-0	W
16 Sep	H	Benfica	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Lazio	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Juventus	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	Venezia	2-0	W
23 Aug	A	Torino	2-1	W
15 Aug	A	Manchester United	4-2	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Bournemouth and AC Milan on record.

UEFA Europa League tableUEFA Europa Leagueupdated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the UEFA Europa League table, Bournemouth sit 5th with 6 points from 2 games, while AC Milan are 16th with 3 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	7:1	+6	6
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	6:0	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	6:1	+5	6
4	Beşiktaş	2	2	0	0	7:3	+4	6
5	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	5:1	+4	6
6	Omonia Nicosia	2	2	0	0	4:0	+4	6
7	Ferencvarosi TC	2	2	0	0	5:2	+3	6
8	Lyon	2	2	0	0	5:3	+2	6
9	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	3:1	+2	6
10	Olympiakos Piraeus	2	2	0	0	3:1	+2	6
11	Sparta Praha	2	1	1	0	5:2	+3	4
12	Union St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	4:1	+3	4
13	Rennes	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
14	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
15	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	6:3	+3	3
16	AC Milan	2	1	0	1	4:2	+2	3
17	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	4:3	+1	3
18	OFI	2	1	0	1	3:2	+1	3
19	Torreense	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
20	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
21	Red Bull Salzburg	2	1	0	1	1:4	-3	3
22	Real Sociedad	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
23	Lillestrom	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
24	Levski Sofia	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
25	Hapoel Beer Sheva	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
26	Sturm Graz	2	0	1	1	0:3	-3	1
27	NEC Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	1:6	-5	1
28	Celta Vigo	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
29	Anderlecht	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
30	1899 Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0
31	Plzen	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
32	Marseille	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
33	Celtic	2	0	0	2	2:7	-5	0
34	Ararat-Armenia	2	0	0	2	2:7	-5	0
35	Celje	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0
36	Lech Poznan	2	0	0	2	0:8	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%2.01X26%3.67227%3.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.19 → 2.01 -8.2%X3.52 → 3.67 +4.3%23.09 → 3.58 +15.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.74	2.19	3.1%
Pinnacle	1.75	2.14	3.9%
Marathonbet	1.72	2.16	4.4%
Bet365	1.73	2.10	5.4%
BetVictor	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Best of all books	1.75	2.19	2.8%
Average	1.72	2.13	5.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.58	2.26	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.23	8.1%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Best of all books	1.62	2.26	6.0%
Average	1.59	2.24	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bournemouth 45%Draw 45%AC Milan 10%

The statistical model rates Bournemouth at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and AC Milan at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.01 | 3.67 | 3.58, which imply roughly 49.8% for a Bournemouth win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Europa League table: Bournemouth are 5th (6 pts, 5-1 goals), AC Milan 16th (3 pts, 4-2).

Over their last five matches, Bournemouth averaged 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; AC Milan averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bournemouth or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.01	3.70	3.56

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.78	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.45	2.56

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.24

1st half

1	X	2
2.54	2.30	3.93

2nd half

1	X	2
2.33	2.60	3.53

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.06	14.0	33.0
HT X	5.17	5.77	8.07
HT 2	23.7	14.8	5.77

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.69	13.6	2.29

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	13.4
1.5	1.21	4.19
2.5	1.72	2.13
3.5	2.69	1.43
4.5	4.98	1.14
5.5	9.45	1.03
6.5	21.0	1.01
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	10.2
1.25	1.10	5.62
1.75	1.25	3.67
2	1.32	3.13
2.25	1.53	2.50
2.75	1.89	1.90
3	2.15	1.66
3.25	2.42	1.52
3.75	3.11	1.30
4	4.10	1.17
4.25	4.39	1.14
4.75	5.90	1.07
5	8.30	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.80	1.41
-0.75	2.25	1.61
-0.5	1.97	1.85
-0.25	1.73	2.10
0	1.48	2.65
+0.25	1.36	3.02

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.07	1.06
-2.25	6.60	1.11
-2	6.28	1.08
-1.75	4.39	1.17
-1.5	3.55	1.27
-1.25	3.16	1.33
+0.5	1.28	3.50
+0.75	1.21	4.33
+1	1.09	6.53
+1.25	1.08	6.82
+1.5	1.07	7.00
+1.75	1.01	9.30

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3	1.29	3.25
3.5	1.67	2.11
4	1.85	1.93
4.5	2.21	1.62
5	2.91	1.36

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	6.49
6.5	1.13	4.36
7.5	1.27	2.99
8.5	1.55	2.25
9.5	1.94	1.80
10.5	2.47	1.46
11.5	3.19	1.25
12.5	4.38	1.13
13.5	5.96	1.06

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.29
7	1.15	3.75
7.75	1.30	2.90
8	1.34	2.73
8.25	1.42	2.44
8.75	1.61	2.13
9	1.72	2.04
9.25	1.85	1.89
9.75	2.07	1.64
10	2.22	1.61
10.25	2.35	1.46
10.75	2.72	1.34
11	2.82	1.32
11.25	3.20	1.22
12	3.62	1.16
13	4.77	1.08

Next UEFA Europa League matches

22 Oct	Ararat-Armenia – AZ Alkmaar
22 Oct	Dinamo Zagreb – NEC Nijmegen
22 Oct	Sturm Graz – Marseille
22 Oct	Ferencvarosi TC – Torreense
22 Oct	Juventus – Rennes
22 Oct	Lech Poznan – Sunderland

All UEFA Europa League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Europa League results

15 Oct	Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Anderlecht
15 Oct	Marseille 0-1 Olympiakos Piraeus
15 Oct	Bournemouth 3-0 Sturm Graz
15 Oct	Benfica 4-1 Celtic
15 Oct	Celta Vigo 1-2 Juventus
15 Oct	Ferencvarosi TC 2-1 Plzen