Celaya vs Tigres de Alica• Primera Premier, Mexico

#32.0:1.401:00Tomorrow · Celaya2.0:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.98BTNX3.45DAF23.60B365Margin at best7.3%Books6Markets43Rating55 · 46Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 11:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.97	3.45	3.55	7.9%
Betano	2.00	3.35	3.45	8.8%
BetVictor	1.95	3.40	3.50	9.3%
Bet365	1.95	3.20	3.60	10.3%
1xBet	1.91	3.36	3.47	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.89	3.36	3.38	12.3%
Best of all books	2.00	3.45	3.60	6.8%
Average	1.95	3.35	3.49	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CelayaTigres de Alica

Last 10#3Table position#52.11Points per game1.707Form pts · last 592.0Goals for · last 52.01.4Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5042Defence rating5850Form rating500H2H rating076Goals model2455Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 00:01 UTC

Celaya

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:11 · per match 1.8 for, 1.1 against

1 Nov	A	Los Cabos United	4-1	W
25 Oct	H	Cordobés	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Racing de Veracruz	1-2	L
6 Oct	H	Jaguares de Chiapas	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Deportiva Venados	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Montañeses	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Chapulineros	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Tapachula	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Pioneros de Cancún	3-0	W
26 Apr	A	Cimarrones	1-2	L

Tigres de Alica

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:11 · per match 1.8 for, 1.1 against

31 Oct	H	Tapachula	4-1	W
24 Oct	A	Deportiva Venados	1-3	L
17 Oct	H	Reboceros La Piedad	4-0	W
10 Oct	A	Cordobés	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	H2O Purepechas	1-0	W
27 Sep	H	Tritons Vallarta	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Lobos ULMX	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Irapuato	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Los Cabos United	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Zacatepec 1948	3-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Celaya and Tigres de Alica on record.

Primera Premier tableRegular Seasonupdated 6 Nov 22:40 UTC

In the Primera Premier table, Celaya sit 3rd with 19 points from 9 games, while Tigres de Alica are 5th with 17 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Irapuato	9	9	0	0	22:6	+16	27
2	Racing de Veracruz	9	6	3	0	24:8	+16	21
3	Celaya	9	6	1	2	18:9	+9	19
4	Pioneros de Cancún	9	5	2	2	20:10	+10	17
5	Tigres de Alica	10	5	2	3	18:11	+7	17
6	Reboceros La Piedad	9	5	0	4	16:16	0	15
7	Jaguares de Chiapas	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14
8	Zacatepec 1948	10	4	2	4	13:17	-4	14
9	Chapulineros	9	3	3	3	11:15	-4	12
10	Deportiva Venados	9	3	2	4	18:18	0	11
11	Lobos ULMX	9	3	2	4	11:12	-1	11
12	Cordobés	9	3	1	5	9:13	-4	10
13	Los Cabos United	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
14	Montañeses	10	3	1	6	14:20	-6	10
15	H2O Purepechas	8	2	1	5	5:9	-4	7
16	Inter Playa del Carmen	9	2	1	6	8:17	-9	7
17	Tapachula	10	2	0	8	11:28	-17	6
18	Tritons Vallarta	8	1	2	5	7:11	-4	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.94X27%3.35226%3.51

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.96 → 1.94 -1.0%X3.19 → 3.35 +5.0%23.62 → 3.51 -3.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
BetVictor	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.84	1.86	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.70	2.00	8.8%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.96	9.8%
Best of all books	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Average	1.70	1.99	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Celaya 45%Draw 45%Tigres de Alica 10%

The statistical model rates Celaya at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tigres de Alica at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.94 | 3.35 | 3.51, which imply roughly 51.5% for a Celaya win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Premier table: Celaya are 3rd (19 pts, 18-9 goals), Tigres de Alica 5th (17 pts, 18-11).

Over their last five matches, Celaya averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Tigres de Alica averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Celaya or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.95	3.35	3.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	1.72	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.46	2.55

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
2.52	2.14	4.03

2nd half

1	X	2
2.29	2.46	3.63

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.07	13.5	36.3
HT X	4.88	5.17	7.73
HT 2	24.7	14.7	5.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	9.50	2.39

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.20
1.5	1.26	3.35
2.5	1.84	1.86
3.5	3.06	1.30
4.5	5.75	1.10

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.90
1.25	1.19	3.87
1.75	1.35	2.80
2	1.47	2.45
2.25	1.62	2.09
2.75	2.04	1.64
3	2.43	1.45
3.25	2.75	1.35
3.75	3.70	1.20
4	4.95	1.11
4.25	5.50	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.76	1.35
-0.75	2.19	1.56
-0.5	1.96	1.77
-0.25	1.67	2.01
0	1.43	2.54
+0.25	1.32	2.88

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.00	1.04
-2	6.25	1.06
-1.5	3.42	1.23
-1.25	3.08	1.28
+0.75	1.15	4.20
+1	1.06	6.35
+1.5	1.03	7.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.74	2.01
9	2.00	1.80

Next Primera Premier matches

7 Nov	Pioneros de Cancún – Reboceros La Piedad
7 Nov	Racing de Veracruz – Irapuato
7 Nov	Deportiva Venados – Tritons Vallarta
8 Nov	Inter Playa del Carmen – Lobos ULMX

All Primera Premier fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Premier results

6 Nov	Tapachula 2-4 Zacatepec 1948
1 Nov	H2O Purepechas 2-1 Montañeses
1 Nov	Los Cabos United 1-4 Celaya
1 Nov	Irapuato 2-1 Deportiva Venados
1 Nov	Lobos ULMX 1-1 Chapulineros
31 Oct	Tritons Vallarta 3-2 Pioneros de Cancún