H2O Purepechas vs Montañeses• Primera Premier, Mexico

#150.4:0.82-1FT01/111.4:2.0#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.80BVCX3.60B36522.50B365Margin at best3.5%Books7Markets42Rating48 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 15:12 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.70	3.40	2.39	8.3%
Betano	2.70	3.40	2.37	8.6%
BetVictor	2.80	3.30	2.30	9.5%
Bet365	2.30	3.60	2.50	11.3%
Pinnacle	2.69	3.33	2.24	11.8%
1xBet	2.65	3.30	2.26	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.65	3.30	2.26	12.3%
Best of all books	2.80	3.60	2.50	3.5%
Average	2.64	3.38	2.33	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

H2O PurepechasMontañeses

Last 10#15Table position#140.88Points per game1.003Form pts · last 560.4Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 52.022Attack rating7871Defence rating2933Form rating670H2H rating064Goals model3648Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 23:01 UTC

H2O Purepechas

1W 1D 5L · goals 3:8 · per match 0.4 for, 1.1 against

24 Oct	A	Tapachula	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	Lobos ULMX	2-0	W
4 Oct	A	Tigres de Alica	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Los Cabos United	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Zacatepec 1948	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Reboceros La Piedad	0-3	L
30 Aug	H	Cordobés	1-1	D

Montañeses

2W 2D 6L · goals 12:19 · per match 1.2 for, 1.9 against

25 Oct	H	Lobos ULMX	0-3	L
17 Oct	A	Chapulineros	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	Tapachula	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	Pioneros de Cancún	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Inter Playa del Carmen	3-2	W
20 Sep	A	Celaya	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Racing de Veracruz	1-3	L
6 Sep	A	Jaguares de Chiapas	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	Deportiva Venados	1-1	D
10 Apr	A	Héroes de Zaci	0-1	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between H2O Purepechas and Montañeses on record.

Primera Premier tableRegular Seasonupdated 5 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the Primera Premier table, H2O Purepechas sit 15th with 7 points from 8 games, while Montañeses are 14th with 10 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Irapuato	9	9	0	0	22:6	+16	27
2	Racing de Veracruz	9	6	3	0	24:8	+16	21
3	Celaya	9	6	1	2	18:9	+9	19
4	Pioneros de Cancún	9	5	2	2	20:10	+10	17
5	Tigres de Alica	10	5	2	3	18:11	+7	17
6	Reboceros La Piedad	9	5	0	4	16:16	0	15
7	Jaguares de Chiapas	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14
8	Chapulineros	9	3	3	3	11:15	-4	12
9	Deportiva Venados	9	3	2	4	18:18	0	11
10	Lobos ULMX	9	3	2	4	11:12	-1	11
11	Zacatepec 1948	9	3	2	4	9:15	-6	11
12	Cordobés	9	3	1	5	9:13	-4	10
13	Los Cabos United	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
14	Montañeses	10	3	1	6	14:20	-6	10
15	H2O Purepechas	8	2	1	5	5:9	-4	7
16	Inter Playa del Carmen	9	2	1	6	8:17	-9	7
17	Tapachula	9	2	0	7	9:24	-15	6
18	Tritons Vallarta	8	1	2	5	7:11	-4	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.64X27%3.38239%2.33

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.16 → 2.64 +22.2%X3.38 → 3.37 -0.3%22.95 → 2.33 -21.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betano	1.82	1.90	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.81	1.90	7.9%
BetVictor	1.79	1.88	9.1%
1xBet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.81	1.89	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Betano	1.65	2.05	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.08	9.8%
Best of all books	1.65	2.12	7.8%
Average	1.64	2.09	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

H2O Purepechas 35%Draw 35%Montañeses 30%

The statistical model rated H2O Purepechas at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Montañeses at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.64 | 3.38 | 2.33, which imply roughly 37.9% for a H2O Purepechas win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Primera Premier table: H2O Purepechas are 15th (7 pts, 5-9 goals), Montañeses 14th (10 pts, 14-20).

Over their last five matches, H2O Purepechas averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Montañeses averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : H2O Purepechas or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.64	3.38	2.33

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.50	1.40	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.93	1.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	2.09

1st half

1	X	2
3.28	2.14	2.99

2nd half

1	X	2
3.03	2.47	2.61

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.32	14.5	25.7
HT X	6.43	5.23	5.93
HT 2	28.0	14.7	3.88

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.91	11.4	2.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.60
1.5	1.23	3.51
2.5	1.81	1.89
3.5	2.95	1.32
4.5	5.71	1.09

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.00
1.75	1.28	3.13
2	1.37	2.73
2.25	1.58	2.17
2.75	1.99	1.69
3	2.35	1.49
3.25	2.66	1.38
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.95	1.11
4.25	5.00	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.30	1.55
-0.25	2.26	1.56
0	1.97	1.75
+0.25	1.71	1.97
+0.5	1.56	2.25
+0.75	1.38	2.68

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.35	1.02
-2	8.70	1.01
-1.5	5.75	1.07
-1.25	4.52	1.15
-1	4.80	1.12
-0.75	3.04	1.31
+1	1.22	3.58
+1.25	1.16	4.15
+1.5	1.12	4.65
+2.5	1.03	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.88	1.92
8.5	2.10	1.67

Next Primera Premier matches

6 Nov

Tapachula – Zacatepec 1948

All Primera Premier fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Premier results

1 Nov	Los Cabos United 1-4 Celaya
1 Nov	Irapuato 2-1 Deportiva Venados
1 Nov	Lobos ULMX 1-1 Chapulineros
31 Oct	Tritons Vallarta 3-2 Pioneros de Cancún
31 Oct	Zacatepec 1948 1-5 Racing de Veracruz
31 Oct	Reboceros La Piedad 1-2 Inter Playa del Carmen