Lobos ULMX vs Chapulineros• Primera Premier, Mexico

#101.4:1.21-1FT01/111.6:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.23DAFX3.75B36523.80B365Margin9.8%Books8Markets45Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 19:54 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.23	3.20	3.15	7.8%
Betano	2.22	3.15	3.10	9.0%
BetVictor	2.15	3.13	3.20	9.7%
Bet365	1.75	3.75	3.80	10.1%
1xBet	2.06	3.15	3.26	11.0%
Pinnacle	2.20	2.94	3.09	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.04	3.15	3.18	12.2%
William Hill	2.15	2.90	3.20	12.2%
Best of all books	2.23	3.75	3.80	-2.2%
Average	2.10	3.17	3.25	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lobos ULMXChapulineros

Last 10#10Table position#81.22Points per game1.339Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 51.447Attack rating5354Defence rating4647Form rating530H2H rating072Goals model2855Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 23:01 UTC

Lobos ULMX

4W 1D 5L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

25 Oct	A	Montañeses	3-0	W
18 Oct	H	Cordobés	2-0	W
11 Oct	A	H2O Purepechas	0-2	L
4 Oct	H	Tritons Vallarta	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Irapuato	0-3	L
19 Sep	A	Tigres de Alica	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Los Cabos United	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Zacatepec 1948	1-2	L
12 Apr	A	Calor de San Pedro	1-4	L
29 Mar	H	Zitacuaro	1-0	W

Chapulineros

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

24 Oct	H	Tritons Vallarta	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Montañeses	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	Tapachula	3-2	W
26 Sep	H	Pioneros de Cancún	1-3	L
19 Sep	A	Inter Playa del Carmen	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Celaya	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Racing de Veracruz	1-5	L
29 Aug	H	Jaguares de Chiapas	0-1	L
11 Apr	H	Pioneros de Cancún	1-1	D
29 Mar	A	Jaguares de Chiapas	0-0	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Lobos ULMX and Chapulineros on record.

Primera Premier tableRegular Seasonupdated 5 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the Primera Premier table, Lobos ULMX sit 10th with 11 points from 9 games, while Chapulineros are 8th with 12 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Irapuato	9	9	0	0	22:6	+16	27
2	Racing de Veracruz	9	6	3	0	24:8	+16	21
3	Celaya	9	6	1	2	18:9	+9	19
4	Pioneros de Cancún	9	5	2	2	20:10	+10	17
5	Tigres de Alica	10	5	2	3	18:11	+7	17
6	Reboceros La Piedad	9	5	0	4	16:16	0	15
7	Jaguares de Chiapas	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14
8	Chapulineros	9	3	3	3	11:15	-4	12
9	Deportiva Venados	9	3	2	4	18:18	0	11
10	Lobos ULMX	9	3	2	4	11:12	-1	11
11	Zacatepec 1948	9	3	2	4	9:15	-6	11
12	Cordobés	9	3	1	5	9:13	-4	10
13	Los Cabos United	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
14	Montañeses	10	3	1	6	14:20	-6	10
15	H2O Purepechas	8	2	1	5	5:9	-4	7
16	Inter Playa del Carmen	9	2	1	6	8:17	-9	7
17	Tapachula	9	2	0	7	9:24	-15	6
18	Tritons Vallarta	8	1	2	5	7:11	-4	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.02X27%3.32228%3.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Betano	2.07	1.67	8.2%
Pinnacle	2.11	1.63	8.7%
BetVictor	2.07	1.65	8.9%
1xBet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Best of all books	2.11	1.75	4.5%
Average	2.08	1.66	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.85	1.83	8.7%
1xBet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Betano	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.80	9.9%
Best of all books	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Average	1.84	1.83	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lobos ULMX 45%Draw 45%Chapulineros 10%

The statistical model rated Lobos ULMX at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Chapulineros at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.02 | 3.32 | 3.31, which imply roughly 49.5% for a Lobos ULMX win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Premier table: Lobos ULMX are 10th (11 pts, 11-12 goals), Chapulineros 8th (12 pts, 11-15).

Over their last five matches, Lobos ULMX averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Chapulineros averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Lobos ULMX or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.10	3.17	3.25

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.26	1.66	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.51	2.48

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
2.70	2.03	4.07

2nd half

1	X	2
2.51	2.30	3.51

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.32	15.7	37.0
HT X	4.97	4.75	7.60
HT 2	27.3	15.8	5.83

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.75	8.10	2.34

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.48
1.5	1.35	2.84
2.5	2.08	1.66
3.5	3.76	1.21
4.5	7.47	1.07
5.5	19.0	1.02

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.70
1.25	1.18	3.84
1.75	1.44	2.50
2	1.59	2.15
2.25	1.84	1.83
2.75	2.40	1.47
3	2.92	1.33
3.25	3.14	1.28
3.75	4.29	1.17
4	6.75	1.04
4.25	5.50	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.39	1.51
-0.5	2.06	1.71
-0.25	1.81	1.85
0	1.52	2.28
+0.25	1.38	2.68
+0.5	1.31	3.00

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	6.20	1.09
-2	8.20	1.02
-1.75	5.30	1.09
-1.5	4.10	1.16
-1.25	3.34	1.26
-1	3.05	1.32
+0.75	1.22	3.80
+1	1.06	6.35
+1.25	1.09	6.00
+1.5	1.03	7.40

Next Primera Premier matches

6 Nov

Tapachula – Zacatepec 1948

All Primera Premier fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Premier results

1 Nov	H2O Purepechas 2-1 Montañeses
1 Nov	Los Cabos United 1-4 Celaya
1 Nov	Irapuato 2-1 Deportiva Venados
31 Oct	Tritons Vallarta 3-2 Pioneros de Cancún
31 Oct	Zacatepec 1948 1-5 Racing de Veracruz
31 Oct	Reboceros La Piedad 1-2 Inter Playa del Carmen