Los Cabos United vs Celaya• Primera Premier, Mexico

#130.6:0.81-4FT01/111.6:1.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.80BTNX3.70B36522.33DAFMargin at best5.7%Books7Markets43Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 23:43 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.80	3.40	2.33	8.0%
Betano	2.80	3.35	2.30	9.0%
Bet365	2.60	3.70	2.25	9.9%
Pinnacle	2.72	3.31	2.23	11.8%
William Hill	2.75	3.10	2.30	12.1%
1xBet	2.64	3.28	2.28	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.64	3.28	2.28	12.2%
Best of all books	2.80	3.70	2.33	5.7%
Average	2.71	3.35	2.28	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Los Cabos UnitedCelaya

Last 10#13Table position#31.11Points per game2.117Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 51.60.8Goals against · last 51.427Attack rating7364Defence rating3644Form rating560H2H rating022Goals model7839Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 23:01 UTC

Los Cabos United

3W 1D 6L · goals 7:13 · per match 0.7 for, 1.3 against

24 Oct	A	Racing de Veracruz	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Reboceros La Piedad	1-2	L
5 Oct	H	Cordobés	0-2	L
27 Sep	A	H2O Purepechas	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	Tritons Vallarta	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Lobos ULMX	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Tigres de Alica	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Irapuato	1-2	L
12 Apr	H	Tigres de Alica	0-2	L
28 Mar	A	Tritons Vallarta	0-2	L

Celaya

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

25 Oct	H	Cordobés	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Racing de Veracruz	1-2	L
6 Oct	H	Jaguares de Chiapas	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Deportiva Venados	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Montañeses	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Chapulineros	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Tapachula	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Pioneros de Cancún	3-0	W
26 Apr	A	Cimarrones	1-2	L
23 Apr	H	Cimarrones	2-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Los Cabos United and Celaya on record.

Primera Premier tableRegular Seasonupdated 5 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the Primera Premier table, Los Cabos United sit 13th with 10 points from 9 games, while Celaya are 3rd with 19 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Irapuato	9	9	0	0	22:6	+16	27
2	Racing de Veracruz	9	6	3	0	24:8	+16	21
3	Celaya	9	6	1	2	18:9	+9	19
4	Pioneros de Cancún	9	5	2	2	20:10	+10	17
5	Tigres de Alica	10	5	2	3	18:11	+7	17
6	Reboceros La Piedad	9	5	0	4	16:16	0	15
7	Jaguares de Chiapas	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14
8	Chapulineros	9	3	3	3	11:15	-4	12
9	Deportiva Venados	9	3	2	4	18:18	0	11
10	Lobos ULMX	9	3	2	4	11:12	-1	11
11	Zacatepec 1948	9	3	2	4	9:15	-6	11
12	Cordobés	9	3	1	5	9:13	-4	10
13	Los Cabos United	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
14	Montañeses	10	3	1	6	14:20	-6	10
15	H2O Purepechas	8	2	1	5	5:9	-4	7
16	Inter Playa del Carmen	9	2	1	6	8:17	-9	7
17	Tapachula	9	2	0	7	9:24	-15	6
18	Tritons Vallarta	8	1	2	5	7:11	-4	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.71X27%3.35240%2.28

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.74 → 2.71 -1.1%X3.26 → 3.35 +2.8%22.30 → 2.28 -0.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Betano	1.72	2.00	8.1%
Pinnacle	1.67	2.05	8.7%
1xBet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Best of all books	1.78	2.10	3.8%
Average	1.73	1.99	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Betano	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.08	9.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Average	1.60	2.15	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Los Cabos United 10%Draw 45%Celaya 45%

The statistical model rated Los Cabos United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Celaya at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.71 | 3.35 | 2.28, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Premier table: Los Cabos United are 13th (10 pts, 8-13 goals), Celaya 3rd (19 pts, 18-9).

Over their last five matches, Los Cabos United averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Celaya averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Celaya.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.71	3.35	2.28

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.52	1.36	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.01	1.70

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.15

1st half

1	X	2
3.27	2.20	2.81

2nd half

1	X	2
3.06	2.47	2.60

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.49	14.3	23.0
HT X	6.63	5.73	5.80
HT 2	26.0	14.3	3.63

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.01	12.6	1.84

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.30
1.5	1.25	3.36
2.5	1.73	1.99
3.5	2.77	1.36
4.5	4.58	1.15
5.5	8.55	1.05

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	6.30
1	1.01	8.30
1.25	1.18	3.88
1.75	1.31	2.98
2	1.43	2.60
2.25	1.54	2.22
2.75	1.93	1.74
3	2.24	1.53
3.25	2.52	1.42
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.65	1.12
4.25	4.20	1.18

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.66	1.39
-0.25	2.30	1.51
0	2.01	1.71
+0.25	1.73	1.98
+0.5	1.58	2.21
+0.75	1.38	2.63

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.30	1.09
-1.25	4.80	1.14
-1	4.50	1.13
-0.75	3.18	1.27
+1	1.22	3.50
+1.25	1.17	3.98
+1.5	1.14	4.40
+2	1.01	8.30
+2.5	1.01	9.00

Next Primera Premier matches

6 Nov

Tapachula – Zacatepec 1948

All Primera Premier fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Premier results

1 Nov	H2O Purepechas 2-1 Montañeses
1 Nov	Irapuato 2-1 Deportiva Venados
1 Nov	Lobos ULMX 1-1 Chapulineros
31 Oct	Tritons Vallarta 3-2 Pioneros de Cancún
31 Oct	Zacatepec 1948 1-5 Racing de Veracruz
31 Oct	Reboceros La Piedad 1-2 Inter Playa del Carmen