Tapachula vs Zacatepec 1948• Primera Premier, Mexico

#171.2:2.618:00Today0.8:2.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.90BVCX4.00B36521.85PINMargin at best4.7%Books8Markets45Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.65	3.75	1.85	8.1%
Betano	3.60	3.75	1.83	9.1%
BetVictor	3.90	3.50	1.80	9.8%
Bet365	3.80	4.00	1.70	10.1%
1xBet	3.86	3.55	1.76	10.9%
William Hill	3.60	3.50	1.80	11.9%
Pinnacle	3.11	3.86	1.85	12.1%
Marathonbet	3.76	3.55	1.74	12.2%
Best of all books	3.90	4.00	1.85	4.7%
Average	3.66	3.68	1.79	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TapachulaZacatepec 1948

Last 10#17Table position#110.67Points per game1.223Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 50.82.6Goals against · last 52.060Attack rating4043Defence rating5743Form rating570H2H rating050Goals model5049Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 18:31 UTC

Tapachula

2W 1D 7L · goals 10:25 · per match 1.0 for, 2.5 against

31 Oct	A	Tigres de Alica	1-4	L
24 Oct	H	H2O Purepechas	1-0	W
20 Oct	H	Deportiva Venados	1-4	L
11 Oct	A	Montañeses	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Chapulineros	2-3	L
19 Sep	A	Pioneros de Cancún	1-5	L
12 Sep	H	Inter Playa del Carmen	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Celaya	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Racing de Veracruz	0-4	L
19 Apr	H	Tritons Vallarta	1-1	D

Zacatepec 1948

3W 4D 3L · goals 10:15 · per match 1.0 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	H	Racing de Veracruz	1-5	L
24 Oct	A	Pioneros de Cancún	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Irapuato	0-2	L
3 Oct	H	Reboceros La Piedad	2-2	D
26 Sep	A	Cordobés	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	H2O Purepechas	1-0	W
11 Sep	A	Tritons Vallarta	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Lobos ULMX	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Tigres de Alica	1-3	L
26 Apr	A	Durango	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Tapachula and Zacatepec 1948 on record.

Primera Premier tableRegular Seasonupdated 5 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the Primera Premier table, Tapachula sit 17th with 6 points from 9 games, while Zacatepec 1948 are 11th with 11 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Irapuato	9	9	0	0	22:6	+16	27
2	Racing de Veracruz	9	6	3	0	24:8	+16	21
3	Celaya	9	6	1	2	18:9	+9	19
4	Pioneros de Cancún	9	5	2	2	20:10	+10	17
5	Tigres de Alica	10	5	2	3	18:11	+7	17
6	Reboceros La Piedad	9	5	0	4	16:16	0	15
7	Jaguares de Chiapas	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14
8	Chapulineros	9	3	3	3	11:15	-4	12
9	Deportiva Venados	9	3	2	4	18:18	0	11
10	Lobos ULMX	9	3	2	4	11:12	-1	11
11	Zacatepec 1948	9	3	2	4	9:15	-6	11
12	Cordobés	9	3	1	5	9:13	-4	10
13	Los Cabos United	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
14	Montañeses	10	3	1	6	14:20	-6	10
15	H2O Purepechas	8	2	1	5	5:9	-4	7
16	Inter Playa del Carmen	9	2	1	6	8:17	-9	7
17	Tapachula	9	2	0	7	9:24	-15	6
18	Tritons Vallarta	8	1	2	5	7:11	-4	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.66X25%3.68251%1.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.20 → 3.66 +14.4%X3.70 → 3.68 -0.5%21.91 → 1.79 -6.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Betano	1.72	2.02	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.74	1.96	8.5%
1xBet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
BetVictor	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Best of all books	1.74	2.10	5.1%
Average	1.73	1.99	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Betano	1.67	2.05	8.7%
1xBet	1.65	2.07	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.03	9.9%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.67	2.05	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tapachula 45%Draw 45%Zacatepec 1948 10%

The statistical model rates Tapachula at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Zacatepec 1948 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.66 | 3.68 | 1.79, which imply roughly 27.3% for a Tapachula win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Premier table: Tapachula are 17th (6 pts, 9-24 goals), Zacatepec 1948 11th (11 pts, 9-15).

Over their last five matches, Tapachula averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Zacatepec 1948 averaged 0.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Tapachula or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.66	3.68	1.79

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.91	1.20	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
2.77	1.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.05

1st half

1	X	2
4.23	2.23	2.33

2nd half

1	X	2
3.84	2.53	2.17

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.73	15.8	21.7
HT X	8.03	5.77	5.03
HT 2	31.0	15.8	2.96

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.48	14.3	1.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.5
1.5	1.21	3.74
2.5	1.73	1.99
3.5	2.81	1.35
4.5	5.19	1.11
5.5	9.53	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.24	3.34
2	1.32	2.90
2.25	1.53	2.26
2.75	1.92	1.75
3	2.19	1.58
3.25	2.52	1.43
3.75	3.42	1.23
4	4.65	1.12
4.25	5.00	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.76	1.37
+0.25	2.18	1.57
+0.5	1.91	1.81
+0.75	1.71	2.00
+1	1.51	2.38
+1.25	1.36	2.76

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	5.50	1.11
-1	7.90	1.02
-0.75	4.50	1.17
-0.25	3.10	1.29
+1.5	1.27	3.14
+1.75	1.17	3.96
+2	1.08	5.70
+2.5	1.05	6.60
+3.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.91	1.86

Latest Primera Premier results

1 Nov	H2O Purepechas 2-1 Montañeses
1 Nov	Los Cabos United 1-4 Celaya
1 Nov	Irapuato 2-1 Deportiva Venados
1 Nov	Lobos ULMX 1-1 Chapulineros
31 Oct	Tritons Vallarta 3-2 Pioneros de Cancún
31 Oct	Zacatepec 1948 1-5 Racing de Veracruz