Mbarara City vs
Vipers• Premier League, Uganda
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 09:41 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 6.40 | 3.80 | 1.47 | 10.0% |
| Bet365 | 5.75 | 3.90 | 1.48 | 10.6% |
| Betano | 6.00 | 3.65 | 1.50 | 10.7% |
| 1xBet | 7.65 | 3.78 | 1.40 | 11.0% |
| Pinnacle | 6.60 | 3.84 | 1.40 | 12.6% |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 3.50 | 1.40 | 13.3% |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 3.30 | 1.36 | 20.5% |
| Best of all books | 7.65 | 3.90 | 1.50 | 5.4% |
| Average | 6.56 | 3.68 | 1.43 | 12.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 09:01 UTC
Mbarara City
3W 2D 5L · goals 7:12 · per match 0.7 for, 1.2 against
| 22 Oct | A | SC Villa | 0-2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Blacks Power | 2-1 | W |
| 7 Oct | A | Ntugasaze | 0-1 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Entebbe UPPC | 0-0 | D |
| 11 Sep | H | NEC | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Police | 0-1 | L |
| 23 May | A | KCCA | 1-4 | L |
| 19 May | H | Buhimba Saints | 2-0 | W |
| 13 May | H | SC Villa | 1-3 | L |
| 6 May | A | Lugazi | 1-0 | W |
Vipers
4W 4D 2L · goals 16:5 · per match 1.6 for, 0.5 against
| 23 Oct | H | Police | 0-0 | D |
| 15 Oct | A | Kataka | 5-0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Maroons | 1-1 | D |
| 8 Oct | A | Blacks Power | 4-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Ntugasaze | 3-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Nouadhibou | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep | H | Nouadhibou | 1-1 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | Entebbe UPPC | 0-1 | L |
| 30 Jul | A | APR | 1-2 | L |
| 27 Jul | A | GOR Mahia | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
16 meetings · goals 11:24 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for Mbarara City
| 7 Mar 2026Premier League | Premier League | Mbarara City1-2Vipers |
| 6 Jan 2026Premier League | Premier League | Vipers2-0Mbarara City |
| 2 Mar 2025Premier League | Premier League | Vipers1-0Mbarara City |
| 29 Oct 2024Premier League | Premier League | Mbarara City1-3Vipers |
| 18 May 2024Premier League | Premier League | Vipers4-1Mbarara City |
| 3 Oct 2023Premier League | Premier League | Mbarara City0-0Vipers |
| 5 Apr 2022Premier League | Premier League | Vipers2-0Mbarara City |
| 19 Nov 2021Premier League | Premier League | Mbarara City1-2Vipers |
| 18 May 2021Premier League | Premier League | Vipers2-3Mbarara City |
| 6 Mar 2021Premier League | Premier League | Mbarara City1-0Vipers |
Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 28 Oct 09:01 UTC
In the Premier League table, Mbarara City sit 15th with 5 points from 6 games, while Vipers are 6th with 11 points from 6.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | SC Villa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:3 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 | NEC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | +12 | 17 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | Vipers | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 11 |
| 7 | Police | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 |
| 9 | KCCA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 | UPDF | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Express | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | URA | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Mbarara City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Kataka | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:19 | -13 | 3 |
| 17 | Ntugasaze | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:18 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 6.4% |
| Pinnacle | 2.09 | 1.65 | 8.5% |
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 1.67 | 8.9% |
| Betano | 1.95 | 1.70 | 10.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 1.53 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.10 | 1.70 | 6.4% |
| Average | 2.00 | 1.65 | 10.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.20 | 1.57 | 9.1% |
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 1.55 | 9.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 1.44 | 20.7% |
| Best of all books | 2.24 | 1.57 | 8.3% |
| Average | 2.13 | 1.52 | 12.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Mbarara City at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Vipers at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.56 | 3.68 | 1.43, which imply roughly 27.2% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Mbarara City are 15th (5 pts, 2-5 goals), Vipers 6th (11 pts, 13-2).
Over their last five matches, Mbarara City averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Vipers averaged 2.6 scored and 0.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Vipers and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.56 | 3.68 | 1.43 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.45 | 1.08 | 1.18 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 4.08 | 1.14 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.13 | 1.52 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 2.12 | 1.96 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.34 | 2.44 | 1.80 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 12.1 | 19.8 | 26.7 |
| HT X | 12.9 | 5.25 | 3.83 |
| HT 2 | 58.7 | 19.2 | 2.18 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | 8.00 | 1.44 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 7.90 |
| 1.5 | 1.34 | 2.86 |
| 2.5 | 2.00 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 4.5 | 7.10 | 1.04 |
| 5.5 | 19.0 | 1.01 |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.03 | 7.30 |
| 1 | 1.05 | 6.60 |
| 1.25 | 1.18 | 3.88 |
| 1.75 | 1.42 | 2.54 |
| 2 | 1.56 | 2.20 |
| 2.25 | 1.76 | 1.79 |
| 2.75 | 2.38 | 1.49 |
| 3 | 2.95 | 1.32 |
| 3.25 | 3.22 | 1.27 |
| 3.75 | 4.51 | 1.14 |
| 4 | 6.30 | 1.06 |
| 4.25 | 6.70 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.5 | 2.66 | 1.39 |
| +0.75 | 2.30 | 1.51 |
| +1 | 1.91 | 1.72 |
| +1.25 | 1.70 | 1.93 |
| +1.5 | 1.51 | 2.29 |
| +1.75 | 1.36 | 2.73 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 9.00 | 1.01 |
| -0.25 | 6.20 | 1.06 |
| 0 | 5.50 | 1.08 |
| +0.25 | 3.37 | 1.25 |
| +2 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
| +2.25 | 1.17 | 3.94 |
| +2.5 | 1.14 | 4.33 |
| +2.75 | 1.08 | 5.55 |
| +3 | 1.02 | 8.20 |
| +3.25 | 1.03 | 7.60 |
| +3.5 | 1.01 | 9.00 |
Latest Premier League results
| 28 Oct | KCCA 2-1 Lugazi |
| 28 Oct | Entebbe UPPC 0-0 Maroons |
| 27 Oct | Express 2-2 Kataka |
| 27 Oct | NEC 5-1 Ntugasaze |
| 27 Oct | UPDF 0-1 URA |
| 23 Oct | Vipers 0-0 Police |