Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion• Division Profesional - Clausura, Paraguay

#50.8:1.222:30Today · Dr. Nicolás Leoz, Asunción1.2:0.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.24PINX3.50BFR23.15BTNMargin at best5.0%Books9Markets74Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.20	3.55	3.19	5.0%
1xBet	2.23	3.38	3.07	7.0%
Betano	2.22	3.30	3.15	7.1%
Betfair	2.20	3.30	3.10	8.0%
Bet365	2.15	3.25	3.10	9.5%
BetVictor	2.20	3.13	3.10	9.7%
William Hill	2.15	3.30	3.00	10.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	3.24	2.94	11.8%
SBO	2.16	2.96	2.85	15.2%
Best of all books	2.23	3.55	3.19	4.4%
Average	2.18	3.27	3.06	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Libertad AsuncionNacional Asuncion

Last 10#5Table position#21.67Points per game1.786Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 50.640Attack rating6033Defence rating6731Form rating6920H2H rating8045Goals model5533Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 03:01 UTC

Libertad Asuncion

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

4 Nov	H	Cerro Porteno	0-1	L
31 Oct	A	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	1-2	L
27 Oct	H	Independiente F.b.c.	3-1	W
23 Oct	H	Sportivo Luqueno	1-0	W
18 Oct	A	Sportivo Trinidense	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	Club Guarani	2-2	D
5 Oct	A	Deportivo Recoleta	2-1	W
28 Sep	H	Olimpia	0-1	L
23 Sep	A	Fernando De La Mora	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Sportivo Ameliano	1-1	D

Nacional Asuncion

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:7 · per match 1.4 for, 0.7 against

3 Nov	H	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	0-2	L
31 Oct	A	Sportivo Luqueno	3-0	W
24 Oct	H	Sportivo Trinidense	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Club Guarani	2-0	W
12 Oct	H	Deportivo Recoleta	1-0	W
6 Oct	A	Olimpia	1-1	D
30 Sep	A	Independiente F.b.c.	2-2	D
25 Sep	H	Sportivo Ameliano	1-1	D
18 Sep	H	2 de Mayo	3-0	W
13 Sep	A	Rubio NU	1-0	W

Head to head

25Libertad Asuncion wins

5draws

14Nacional Asuncion wins

44 meetings · goals 67:43 · last 10: 4W 0D 6L for Libertad Asuncion

2 Sep 2026Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Nacional Asuncion3-0Libertad Asuncion
24 May 2026Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Nacional Asuncion2-1Libertad Asuncion
18 Mar 2026Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Libertad Asuncion2-1Nacional Asuncion
27 Sep 2025Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Nacional Asuncion3-1Libertad Asuncion
19 Jul 2025Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Libertad Asuncion0-1Nacional Asuncion
11 Apr 2025Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Libertad Asuncion1-0Nacional Asuncion
29 Jan 2025Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Nacional Asuncion0-3Libertad Asuncion
6 Dec 2024Copa Paraguay	Copa Paraguay	Libertad Asuncion1-0Nacional Asuncion
29 Sep 2024Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Nacional Asuncion2-1Libertad Asuncion
28 Jul 2024Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Libertad Asuncion1-2Nacional Asuncion

Division Profesional - Clausura tablePrimera Division: Clausuraupdated 7 Nov 02:10 UTC

In the Division Profesional - Clausura table, Libertad Asuncion sit 5th with 30 points from 18 games, while Nacional Asuncion are 2nd with 32 points from 18.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Olimpia	18	12	3	3	34:13	+21	39
2	Nacional Asuncion	18	9	5	4	26:11	+15	32
3	Club Guarani	18	8	7	3	20:14	+6	31
4	Sportivo Trinidense	18	9	4	5	28:18	+10	31
5	Libertad Asuncion	18	9	3	6	25:20	+5	30
6	2 de Mayo	18	8	6	4	18:18	0	30
7	Cerro Porteno	18	8	3	7	24:19	+5	27
8	Sportivo Ameliano	18	4	7	7	19:25	-6	19
9	Sportivo Luqueno	17	5	1	11	17:33	-16	16
10	Rubio NU	17	4	4	9	19:29	-10	16
11	Deportivo Recoleta	18	4	3	11	20:32	-12	15
12	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	18	2	4	12	12:30	-18	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.19X28%3.28230%3.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.20 → 2.19 -0.5%X3.39 → 3.28 -3.2%23.02 → 3.02 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.11	1.73	5.2%
Betfair	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Betano	2.07	1.72	6.4%
1xBet	2.05	1.72	6.9%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
BetVictor	2.03	1.67	9.1%
Best of all books	2.11	1.73	5.2%
Average	2.07	1.71	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.90	1.90	5.3%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.83	1.87	8.1%
Betano	1.82	1.88	8.1%
1xBet	1.81	1.88	8.4%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.85	9.3%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.84	1.87	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Libertad Asuncion 10%Draw 45%Nacional Asuncion 45%

The statistical model rates Libertad Asuncion at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nacional Asuncion at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.19 | 3.28 | 3.02, which imply roughly 30.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Division Profesional - Clausura table: Libertad Asuncion are 5th (30 pts, 25-20 goals), Nacional Asuncion 2nd (32 pts, 26-11).

Over their last five matches, Libertad Asuncion averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Nacional Asuncion averaged 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nacional Asuncion.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.18	3.27	3.06

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.59	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.60	2.24

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
2.81	2.08	3.73

2nd half

1	X	2
2.56	2.34	3.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.54	14.1	32.0
HT X	5.40	4.91	6.86
HT 2	27.5	14.2	5.04

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.82	8.60	2.24

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.35
1.5	1.34	3.04
2.5	2.07	1.71
3.5	3.68	1.24
4.5	7.46	1.07
5.5	14.9	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.60
1	1.04	6.99
1.25	1.17	3.96
1.75	1.42	2.62
2	1.56	2.30
2.25	1.82	1.89
2.75	2.36	1.53
3	2.88	1.35
3.25	3.23	1.27
3.75	4.41	1.15
4	6.49	1.07
4.25	6.40	1.05
5	10.4	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.56	1.45
-0.5	2.18	1.65
-0.25	1.89	1.85
0	1.59	2.25
+0.25	1.44	2.62
+0.5	1.36	3.12

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.78	1.01
-2	8.30	1.02
-1.75	5.60	1.10
-1.5	4.28	1.17
-1.25	3.86	1.22
-1	3.41	1.28
+0.75	1.23	3.78
+1	1.11	5.62
+1.25	1.09	6.04
+1.5	1.07	6.53
+1.75	1.01	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	4.76
7.5	1.28	3.20
8.5	1.54	2.30
9.5	1.91	1.80
10.5	2.48	1.47
11.5	3.38	1.25
12.5	5.04	1.09

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.12	4.54
7	1.13	4.30
7.25	1.21	3.54
7.75	1.32	2.91
8	1.37	2.74
8.25	1.47	2.44
8.75	1.64	2.12
9	1.73	2.02
9.25	1.84	1.86
9.75	2.07	1.67
10	2.24	1.58
10.25	2.37	1.50
10.75	2.75	1.36
11	3.10	1.28
11.25	3.27	1.25
11.75	3.92	1.17
12	4.65	1.11
12.25	4.84	1.10
12.75	5.83	1.05
13	7.26	1.01

Next Division Profesional - Clausura matches

7 Nov	Club Guarani – Olimpia
8 Nov	Cerro Porteno – Deportivo Recoleta
8 Nov	Sportivo Trinidense – Sportivo Ameliano
9 Nov	Club Sp. San Lorenzo – Rubio NU
9 Nov	Sportivo Luqueno – 2 de Mayo

All Division Profesional - Clausura fixtures and the table

Latest Division Profesional - Clausura results

5 Nov	Rubio NU 0-5 Sportivo Luqueno
5 Nov	Olimpia 4-1 Deportivo Recoleta
4 Nov	Libertad Asuncion 0-1 Cerro Porteno
4 Nov	Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 Club Guarani
3 Nov	Nacional Asuncion 0-2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3 Nov	2 de Mayo 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense