KCB vs APS Bomet• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#21.6:1.00-0LiveToday0.8:0.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.98BTNX3.15DAF23.90DAFMargin at best7.9%Books6Markets38Rating57 · 44Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 06:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.98	3.15	3.90	7.9%
Betano	1.98	3.00	3.70	10.9%
1xBet	1.94	3.02	3.81	10.9%
Betfair	1.91	3.00	3.90	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.92	3.02	3.70	12.2%
Bet365	1.90	3.00	3.80	12.3%
Best of all books	1.98	3.15	3.90	7.9%
Average	1.94	3.03	3.80	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KCBAPS Bomet

Last 10#2Table position#92.00Points per game1.2010Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 50.467Attack rating3329Defence rating7163Form rating3850H2H rating5073Goals model2757Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 18:31 UTC

KCB

5W 2D 3L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against

1 Nov	A	GOR Mahia	2-1	W
28 Oct	H	Mombasa Elite	3-1	W
23 Oct	A	Posta Rangers FC	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	Mathare United	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Nairobi United	2-2	D
14 Jun	H	Bandari	0-2	L
31 May	A	Shabana	2-1	W
27 May	A	Sofapaka	2-1	W
23 May	H	Posta Rangers FC	0-1	L
16 May	A	Tusker	0-0	D

APS Bomet

5W 4D 1L · goals 12:4 · per match 1.2 for, 0.4 against

1 Nov	H	Murang'a SEAL	0-0	D
28 Oct	H	3K	3-0	W
25 Oct	A	Nairobi United	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	GOR Mahia	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Mathare United	0-0	D
31 May	A	Tusker	1-1	D
24 May	H	AFC Leopards	2-1	W
20 May	A	Bandari	2-0	W
10 May	A	Mathare United	2-0	W
6 May	H	KCB	1-0	W

Head to head

1KCB wins

0draws

1APS Bomet wins

2 meetings · goals 4:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for KCB

6 May 2026FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	APS Bomet1-0KCB
16 Dec 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	KCB4-2APS Bomet

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 5 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, KCB sit 2nd with 10 points from 5 games, while APS Bomet are 9th with 6 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	5	4	0	1	8:4	+4	12
2	KCB	5	3	1	1	8:5	+3	10
3	AFC Leopards	5	2	3	0	4:1	+3	9
4	Kenya Police	5	2	2	1	4:3	+1	8
5	3K	5	2	2	1	7:8	-1	8
6	Murang'a SEAL	5	2	1	2	11:9	+2	7
7	Tusker	3	2	0	1	6:3	+3	6
8	Migori Youth	4	1	3	0	4:2	+2	6
9	APS Bomet	5	1	3	1	4:2	+2	6
10	Shabana	5	1	3	1	2:2	0	6
11	Mara Sugar	5	1	3	1	5:6	-1	6
12	Mathare United	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5
13	Ulinzi Stars	5	1	2	2	3:5	-2	5
14	Nairobi United	5	0	4	1	6:7	-1	4
15	Bandari	5	0	4	1	2:3	-1	4
16	Homeboyz	4	1	1	2	2:4	-2	4
17	Posta Rangers FC	5	1	1	3	3:8	-5	4
18	Mombasa Elite	5	0	1	4	2:8	-6	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.02X30%3.02226%3.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Betfair	2.55	1.45	8.2%
1xBet	2.43	1.44	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.43	1.44	10.6%
Best of all books	2.55	1.50	5.9%
Average	2.48	1.46	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.20	1.60	8.0%
1xBet	2.11	1.62	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.11	1.60	9.9%
Best of all books	2.20	1.62	7.2%
Average	2.14	1.61	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

KCB 45%Draw 45%APS Bomet 10%

The statistical model rates KCB at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and APS Bomet at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.02 | 3.02 | 3.40, which imply roughly 49.5% for a KCB win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: KCB are 2nd (10 pts, 8-5 goals), APS Bomet 9th (6 pts, 4-2).

Over their last five matches, KCB averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; APS Bomet averaged 0.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : KCB or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.94	3.03	3.80

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.71	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.66

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.14	1.61

1st half

1	X	2
2.67	1.90	4.64

2nd half

1	X	2
2.39	2.15	4.19

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.21	14.6	47.0
HT X	4.54	4.28	7.88
HT 2	29.0	15.8	6.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	6.45	2.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.10
1.5	1.47	2.43
2.5	2.48	1.46
3.5	5.13	1.11
4.5	11.0	1.02

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.06	6.15
1	1.09	5.35
1.25	1.27	3.15
1.75	1.59	2.13
2	1.85	1.78
2.25	2.13	1.58
2.75	2.97	1.30
3	4.05	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.05	1.28
-0.75	2.29	1.51
-0.5	1.94	1.77
-0.25	1.65	2.01
0	1.39	2.67
+0.25	1.27	3.14

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.70	1.02
-2	8.70	1.01
-1.5	4.05	1.17
-1.25	3.50	1.22
+0.75	1.10	5.00
+1	1.01	8.70
+1.5	1.02	8.75

Latest FKF Premier League results

2 Nov	Shabana 0-1 Kenya Police
2 Nov	Tusker 3-1 Mara Sugar
2 Nov	Posta Rangers FC 1-2 3K
2 Nov	Ulinzi Stars 2-1 Mathare United
1 Nov	GOR Mahia 1-2 KCB
1 Nov	Nairobi United 1-1 Bandari