Rivers United vs Barau FC• NPFL, Nigeria

#21.6:0.20-0FTToday · Yakubu Gowon Stadium, Port Harcourt1.2:1.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.341XBX3.90WH211.11XBMargin at best9.3%Books4Markets50Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 11:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.34	3.66	11.1	11.0%
Bet365	1.33	3.75	10.0	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.33	3.66	10.3	12.3%
William Hill	1.30	3.90	10.0	12.6%
Best of all books	1.34	3.90	11.1	9.3%
Average	1.32	3.74	10.3	11.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Rivers UnitedBarau FC

Last 10#2Table position#52.00Points per game1.639Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 51.20.2Goals against · last 51.457Attack rating4388Defence rating1360Form rating4050H2H rating50100Goals model058Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

Rivers United

4W 6D 0L · goals 16:5 · per match 1.6 for, 0.5 against

11 Oct	A	Abia Warriors	0-0	D
4 Oct	H	Ikorodu City	2-0	W
30 Sep	A	Katsina United	1-1	D
28 Sep	A	Ranchers Bees	0-0	D
24 Sep	H	Kun Khalifat FC	5-0	W
20 Sep	A	Nasarawa United	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Warri Wolves	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	San-Pédro	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	San-Pédro	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Plateau United	2-0	W

Barau FC

4W 5D 1L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

11 Oct	H	Enugu Rangers	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Bendel Insurance	1-4	L
26 Sep	A	Sporting Lagos	1-1	D
23 Sep	H	Abia Warriors	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Ikorodu City	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Ranchers Bees	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Kun Khalifat FC	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Nasarawa United	3-1	W
11 Jun	A	Ikorodu City	2-2	D
6 Jun	A	Sunshine Stars U19	2-1	W

Head to head

1Rivers United wins

0draws

1Barau FC wins

2 meetings · goals 2:4 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Rivers United

25 Feb 2026NPFL	NPFL	Rivers United1-0Barau FC
19 Dec 2025NPFL	NPFL	Barau FC4-1Rivers United

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 18 Oct 17:01 UTC

In the NPFL table, Rivers United sit 2nd with 16 points from 8 games, while Barau FC are 5th with 13 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	8	5	2	1	14:9	+5	17
2	Rivers United	8	4	4	0	13:2	+11	16
3	Plateau United	8	4	2	2	13:8	+5	14
4	Doma United	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14
5	Barau FC	8	3	4	1	12:9	+3	13
6	Ikorodu City	8	3	3	2	10:7	+3	12
7	Bendel Insurance	8	4	0	4	14:13	+1	12
8	Sporting Lagos	8	3	3	2	10:9	+1	12
9	Katsina United	8	3	3	2	10:11	-1	12
10	Kano Pillars	8	2	5	1	11:11	0	11
11	Kwara United	9	3	2	4	10:10	0	11
12	Nasarawa United	8	3	2	3	8:8	0	11
13	Shooting Stars	9	3	2	4	10:12	-2	11
14	Warri Wolves	8	3	1	4	6:7	-1	10
15	Abia Warriors	9	2	4	3	9:12	-3	10
16	Niger Tornadoes	8	2	3	3	6:7	-1	9
17	Kun Khalifat FC	9	2	3	4	8:15	-7	9
18	Ranchers Bees	9	2	2	5	10:13	-3	8
19	Enyimba	8	2	1	5	11:14	-3	7
20	Inter Lagos	8	1	2	5	5:13	-8	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg167%1.33X24%3.7629%10.1

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.40 → 1.33 -5.0%X3.57 → 3.74 +4.8%28.13 → 10.3 +27.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
1xBet	2.27	1.54	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.27	1.54	9.0%
Pinnacle	2.27	1.53	9.4%
Best of all books	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Average	2.29	1.55	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	3.00	1.33	8.5%
1xBet	2.88	1.35	8.8%
Marathonbet	2.88	1.33	9.9%
Best of all books	3.00	1.35	7.4%
Average	2.92	1.34	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rivers United 45%Draw 45%Barau FC 10%

The statistical model rated Rivers United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Barau FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.33 | 3.76 | 10.09, which imply roughly 75.2% for a Rivers United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Rivers United are 2nd (16 pts, 13-2 goals), Barau FC 5th (13 pts, 12-9).

Over their last five matches, Rivers United averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Barau FC averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Rivers United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.33	3.74	10.3

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.02	2.83	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.08	7.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.92	1.34

1st half

1	X	2
1.92	2.04	10.1

2nd half

1	X	2
1.68	2.43	9.10

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.00	18.0	78.5
HT X	3.63	5.50	16.0
HT 2	26.0	22.5	16.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.32	6.20	5.10

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.10
1.5	1.41	2.53
2.5	2.29	1.55
3.5	4.00	1.17
4.5	9.50	1.05
5.5	23.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.11	4.85
1.25	1.27	3.19
1.75	1.53	2.25
2	1.72	1.94
2.25	2.00	1.68
2.75	2.64	1.38
3	3.34	1.24
3.25	3.68	1.20
4	7.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.43	1.45
-1.5	2.09	1.62
-1.25	1.84	1.86
-1	1.57	2.19
-0.75	1.42	2.52
-0.5	1.32	2.94

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.30	1.03
-3	6.60	1.05
-2.5	3.74	1.19
-2.25	3.34	1.24
-2	3.09	1.29
-0.25	1.18	3.88
0	1.03	7.50
+0.25	1.04	7.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.73	2.00
9	1.98	1.82

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