Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City• NPFL, Nigeria

#160.2:0.41-0LiveToday · Bako Kontagora Stadium1.0:0.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57WHX3.30B36526.971XBMargin at best8.3%Books4Markets42Rating44 · 57Exp. goals L51.2

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 11:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.55	3.30	6.25	10.8%
1xBet	1.53	3.20	6.97	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.51	3.20	6.75	12.3%
William Hill	1.57	3.10	6.00	12.6%
Best of all books	1.57	3.30	6.97	8.3%
Average	1.54	3.20	6.49	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Niger TornadoesIkorodu City

Last 10#16Table position#61.13Points per game1.505Form pts · last 570.2Goals for · last 51.00.4Goals against · last 50.817Attack rating8367Defence rating3342Form rating5836H2H rating6463Goals model3744Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

Niger Tornadoes

3W 4D 3L · goals 7:7 · per match 0.7 for, 0.7 against

10 Oct	A	Ranchers Bees	0-0	D
4 Oct	H	Kun Khalifat FC	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Nasarawa United	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Warri Wolves	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Katsina United	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	Plateau United	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Kano Pillars	2-3	L
30 Aug	H	Enyimba	2-1	W
24 May	H	Shooting Stars	1-0	W
10 May	A	El Kanemi Warriors	0-0	D

Ikorodu City

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

10 Oct	H	Kwara United	2-0	W
4 Oct	A	Rivers United	0-2	L
30 Sep	A	Sporting Lagos	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Enugu Rangers	2-0	W
23 Sep	A	Bendel Insurance	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Barau FC	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Abia Warriors	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	Ranchers Bees	3-1	W
11 Jul	A	El Kanemi Warriors	0-1	L
17 Jun	A	Nasarawa United	1-1	D

Head to head

1Niger Tornadoes wins

1draws

2Ikorodu City wins

4 meetings · goals 4:7 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Niger Tornadoes

8 Feb 2026NPFL	NPFL	Ikorodu City2-0Niger Tornadoes
21 Sep 2025NPFL	NPFL	Niger Tornadoes4-2Ikorodu City
13 Apr 2025NPFL	NPFL	Ikorodu City3-0Niger Tornadoes
23 Nov 2024NPFL	NPFL	Niger Tornadoes0-0Ikorodu City

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the NPFL table, Niger Tornadoes sit 16th with 9 points from 8 games, while Ikorodu City are 6th with 12 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	8	5	2	1	14:9	+5	17
2	Rivers United	8	4	4	0	13:2	+11	16
3	Plateau United	8	4	2	2	13:8	+5	14
4	Doma United	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14
5	Barau FC	8	3	4	1	12:9	+3	13
6	Ikorodu City	8	3	3	2	10:7	+3	12
7	Bendel Insurance	8	4	0	4	14:13	+1	12
8	Sporting Lagos	8	3	3	2	10:9	+1	12
9	Katsina United	8	3	3	2	10:11	-1	12
10	Kano Pillars	8	2	5	1	11:11	0	11
11	Kwara United	9	3	2	4	10:10	0	11
12	Nasarawa United	8	3	2	3	8:8	0	11
13	Shooting Stars	9	3	2	4	10:12	-2	11
14	Warri Wolves	8	3	1	4	6:7	-1	10
15	Abia Warriors	9	2	4	3	9:12	-3	10
16	Niger Tornadoes	8	2	3	3	6:7	-1	9
17	Kun Khalifat FC	9	2	3	4	8:15	-7	9
18	Ranchers Bees	9	2	2	5	10:13	-3	8
19	Enyimba	8	2	1	5	11:14	-3	7
20	Inter Lagos	8	1	2	5	5:13	-8	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.52X28%3.25213%6.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.61 → 1.54 -4.3%X3.21 → 3.20 -0.3%25.45 → 6.49 +19.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
1xBet	2.46	1.46	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.46	1.46	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.57	1.41	9.8%
Best of all books	2.57	1.50	5.6%
Average	2.50	1.46	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.47	1.46	9.0%
William Hill	2.50	1.44	9.4%
Marathonbet	2.47	1.44	9.9%
Best of all books	2.50	1.46	8.5%
Average	2.48	1.45	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Niger Tornadoes 10%Draw 45%Ikorodu City 45%

The statistical model rates Niger Tornadoes at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ikorodu City at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.52 | 3.25 | 6.89, which imply roughly 30.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Niger Tornadoes are 16th (9 pts, 6-7 goals), Ikorodu City 6th (12 pts, 10-7).

Over their last five matches, Niger Tornadoes averaged 0.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Ikorodu City averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ikorodu City and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.54	3.20	6.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	2.20	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.48	1.45

1st half

1	X	2
2.19	1.92	7.45

2nd half

1	X	2
1.96	2.22	6.42

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.45	17.5	58.0
HT X	4.00	4.63	11.5
HT 2	27.5	18.0	10.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	6.13	3.70

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.25
1.5	1.47	2.37
2.5	2.50	1.46
3.5	4.75	1.12
4.5	12.0	1.03
5.5	29.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.11	4.90
1.25	1.30	3.02
1.75	1.62	2.08
2	1.86	1.79
2.25	2.18	1.57
2.75	2.98	1.30
3	3.94	1.17
3.25	4.35	1.14
4	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.71	1.36
-1.25	2.37	1.48
-1	2.04	1.70
-0.75	1.75	1.95
-0.5	1.56	2.26
-0.25	1.33	2.85

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.70	1.08
-2	4.80	1.12
-1.75	3.34	1.24
0	1.13	4.71
+0.25	1.07	5.75

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