Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United• NPFL, Nigeria

#200.8:1.40-2FTToday1.0:0.6#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95WHX3.10B36523.80WHMargin at best9.9%Books4Markets39Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 11:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.91	3.10	3.80	10.9%
Bet365	1.90	3.10	3.80	11.2%
William Hill	1.95	2.90	3.80	12.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	3.10	3.70	12.2%
Best of all books	1.95	3.10	3.80	9.9%
Average	1.91	3.05	3.77	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Inter LagosNasarawa United

Last 10#20Table position#120.25Points per game1.385Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 50.644Attack rating5630Defence rating7038Form rating620H2H rating025Goals model7534Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

Inter Lagos

1W 2D 5L · goals 5:13 · per match 0.6 for, 1.6 against

11 Oct	A	Warri Wolves	1-3	L
4 Oct	H	Katsina United	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Plateau United	0-2	L
23 Sep	H	Kano Pillars	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Enyimba	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Sporting Lagos	0-3	L
5 Sep	H	Doma United	0-1	L
28 Aug	A	Shooting Stars	1-2	L

Nasarawa United

4W 3D 3L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	H	Doma United	2-0	W
4 Oct	A	Shooting Stars	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Niger Tornadoes	1-0	W
23 Sep	A	Kwara United	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Rivers United	1-1	D
18 Sep	A	Enugu Rangers	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Bendel Insurance	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Barau FC	1-3	L
17 Jun	H	Ikorodu City	1-1	D
11 Jun	H	Plateau United	2-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Inter Lagos and Nasarawa United on record.

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 18 Oct 17:01 UTC

In the NPFL table, Inter Lagos sit 20th with 2 points from 8 games, while Nasarawa United are 12th with 11 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	8	5	2	1	14:9	+5	17
2	Rivers United	8	4	4	0	13:2	+11	16
3	Plateau United	8	4	2	2	13:8	+5	14
4	Doma United	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14
5	Barau FC	8	3	4	1	12:9	+3	13
6	Ikorodu City	8	3	3	2	10:7	+3	12
7	Bendel Insurance	8	4	0	4	14:13	+1	12
8	Sporting Lagos	8	3	3	2	10:9	+1	12
9	Katsina United	8	3	3	2	10:11	-1	12
10	Kano Pillars	8	2	5	1	11:11	0	11
11	Kwara United	9	3	2	4	10:10	0	11
12	Nasarawa United	8	3	2	3	8:8	0	11
13	Shooting Stars	9	3	2	4	10:12	-2	11
14	Warri Wolves	8	3	1	4	6:7	-1	10
15	Abia Warriors	9	2	4	3	9:12	-3	10
16	Niger Tornadoes	8	2	3	3	6:7	-1	9
17	Kun Khalifat FC	9	2	3	4	8:15	-7	9
18	Ranchers Bees	9	2	2	5	10:13	-3	8
19	Enyimba	8	2	1	5	11:14	-3	7
20	Inter Lagos	8	1	2	5	5:13	-8	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.91X29%3.05224%3.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.90 → 1.91 +0.5%X3.10 → 3.05 -1.6%23.77 → 3.78 +0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.40	1.53	7.0%
1xBet	2.33	1.51	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.33	1.51	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.35	1.49	9.7%
Best of all books	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Average	2.35	1.51	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.03	1.67	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.03	1.65	9.9%
William Hill	2.00	1.67	9.9%
Best of all books	2.03	1.67	9.1%
Average	2.02	1.66	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Inter Lagos 10%Draw 45%Nasarawa United 45%

The statistical model rated Inter Lagos at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nasarawa United at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.91 | 3.05 | 3.78, which imply roughly 32.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Inter Lagos are 20th (2 pts, 5-13 goals), Nasarawa United 12th (11 pts, 8-8).

Over their last five matches, Inter Lagos averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Nasarawa United averaged 1 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nasarawa United and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.91	3.05	3.78

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.73	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.02	1.66

1st half

1	X	2
2.59	1.96	4.57

2nd half

1	X	2
2.37	2.17	4.16

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.18	14.0	41.0
HT X	4.88	4.63	8.00
HT 2	26.0	16.0	6.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.70	6.95	2.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.20
1.5	1.41	2.55
2.5	2.35	1.51
3.5	4.55	1.13
4.5	10.0	1.05
5.5	26.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.07	5.90
1.25	1.25	3.30
1.75	1.54	2.25
2	1.74	1.92
2.25	2.04	1.66
2.75	2.76	1.35
3	3.68	1.20
3.25	4.11	1.16
4	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.90	1.32
-0.75	2.24	1.53
-0.5	1.94	1.82
-0.25	1.65	2.04
0	1.38	2.70
+0.25	1.27	3.15

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.10	1.02
-1.5	3.88	1.18
-1.25	3.36	1.24
+0.75	1.11	4.95
+1	1.01	8.50
+1.5	1.02	8.35

Latest NPFL results

18 Oct	Rivers United 0-0 Barau FC
18 Oct	Niger Tornadoes 2-1 Ikorodu City
18 Oct	Enyimba 0-0 Warri Wolves
18 Oct	Plateau United 2-3 Sporting Lagos
17 Oct	Doma United 1-1 Kun Khalifat FC
16 Oct	Shooting Stars 3-1 Ranchers Bees