Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos• NPFL, Nigeria

#32.2:1.02-2LiveToday · Rwang Pam Stadium, Jos1.4:1.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50WHX3.50B36526.391XBMargin at best10.9%Books4Markets45Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 11:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.50	3.50	6.39	10.9%
Bet365	1.50	3.50	6.00	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.49	3.50	6.05	12.2%
William Hill	1.50	3.30	6.00	13.6%
Best of all books	1.50	3.50	6.39	10.9%
Average	1.50	3.45	6.11	12.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Plateau UnitedSporting Lagos

Last 10#3Table position#81.75Points per game1.5010Form pts · last 592.2Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 51.061Attack rating3950Defence rating5053Form rating47100H2H rating075Goals model2563Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

Plateau United

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	H	Kano Pillars	4-0	W
4 Oct	A	Enyimba	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	Inter Lagos	2-0	W
23 Sep	A	Doma United	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Shooting Stars	3-1	W
14 Sep	A	Niger Tornadoes	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Kwara United	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Rivers United	0-2	L
11 Jun	A	Nasarawa United	1-2	L
6 Jun	H	Basira	2-1	W

Sporting Lagos

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	H	Bendel Insurance	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	Kano Pillars	1-1	D
30 Sep	H	Ikorodu City	0-0	D
26 Sep	H	Barau FC	1-1	D
23 Sep	A	Enyimba	3-2	W
20 Sep	H	Abia Warriors	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	Inter Lagos	3-0	W
30 Aug	A	Doma United	0-2	L
23 Jun	A	Shooting Stars	0-1	L
16 Jun	H	Enyimba	2-1	W

Head to head

2Plateau United wins

0draws

0Sporting Lagos wins

2 meetings · goals 3:1 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Plateau United

12 Jun 2024NPFL	NPFL	Sporting Lagos1-2Plateau United
28 Dec 2023NPFL	NPFL	Plateau United1-0Sporting Lagos

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the NPFL table, Plateau United sit 3rd with 14 points from 8 games, while Sporting Lagos are 8th with 12 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	8	5	2	1	14:9	+5	17
2	Rivers United	8	4	4	0	13:2	+11	16
3	Plateau United	8	4	2	2	13:8	+5	14
4	Doma United	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14
5	Barau FC	8	3	4	1	12:9	+3	13
6	Ikorodu City	8	3	3	2	10:7	+3	12
7	Bendel Insurance	8	4	0	4	14:13	+1	12
8	Sporting Lagos	8	3	3	2	10:9	+1	12
9	Katsina United	8	3	3	2	10:11	-1	12
10	Kano Pillars	8	2	5	1	11:11	0	11
11	Kwara United	9	3	2	4	10:10	0	11
12	Nasarawa United	8	3	2	3	8:8	0	11
13	Shooting Stars	9	3	2	4	10:12	-2	11
14	Warri Wolves	8	3	1	4	6:7	-1	10
15	Abia Warriors	9	2	4	3	9:12	-3	10
16	Niger Tornadoes	8	2	3	3	6:7	-1	9
17	Kun Khalifat FC	9	2	3	4	8:15	-7	9
18	Ranchers Bees	9	2	2	5	10:13	-3	8
19	Enyimba	8	2	1	5	11:14	-3	7
20	Inter Lagos	8	1	2	5	5:13	-8	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.50X26%3.45215%6.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.50 → 1.50 0.0%X3.58 → 3.45 -3.6%25.83 → 6.11 +4.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.17	1.60	8.6%
1xBet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
Best of all books	2.17	1.70	4.9%
Average	2.13	1.64	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.16	1.59	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.16	1.57	10.0%
Best of all books	2.16	1.65	6.9%
Average	2.14	1.60	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Plateau United 45%Draw 45%Sporting Lagos 10%

The statistical model rates Plateau United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sporting Lagos at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.50 | 3.45 | 6.11, which imply roughly 66.7% for a Plateau United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Plateau United are 3rd (14 pts, 13-8 goals), Sporting Lagos 8th (12 pts, 10-9).

Over their last five matches, Plateau United averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Sporting Lagos averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Plateau United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.50	3.45	6.11

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.27	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.14	1.60

1st half

1	X	2
2.09	2.07	6.33

2nd half

1	X	2
1.90	2.38	5.76

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.20	15.5	55.5
HT X	4.00	5.50	12.5
HT 2	23.0	18.0	11.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.44	7.30	3.40

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.97
1.5	1.36	2.73
2.5	2.13	1.64
3.5	3.74	1.19
4.5	8.50	1.06
5.5	21.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.07	5.90
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.45	2.42
2	1.61	2.10
2.25	1.88	1.79
2.75	2.46	1.44
3	3.09	1.28
3.25	3.34	1.24
4	6.50	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.53	1.41
-1.25	2.23	1.54
-1	1.93	1.79
-0.75	1.66	2.01
-0.5	1.51	2.30
-0.25	1.33	2.87

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	4.90	1.11
-2	4.15	1.16
-1.75	3.06	1.28
0	1.14	4.45
+0.25	1.10	5.05

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.83	1.83

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