Kun Khalifat FC vs Kwara United• NPFL, Nigeria

#180.8:2.61-0FT27/091.4:1.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83B365X3.40BFR25.00BFRMargin at best4.1%Books5Markets38Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.85	3.05	4.45	9.3%
Betfair	1.80	3.10	4.40	10.5%
1xBet	1.80	3.04	4.46	10.9%
Bet365	1.83	3.00	4.20	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.78	3.04	4.33	12.2%
Best of all books	1.85	3.10	4.46	8.7%
Average	1.81	3.05	4.37	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Kun Khalifat FCKwara United

Last 10#18Table position#131.00Points per game1.256Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 51.42.6Goals against · last 51.036Attack rating6428Defence rating7222Form rating7850H2H rating50100Goals model034Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:11 UTC

Kun Khalifat FC

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

11 Oct	H	Shooting Stars	2-0	W
4 Oct	A	Niger Tornadoes	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Kwara United	1-0	W
24 Sep	A	Rivers United	0-5	L
20 Sep	H	Enugu Rangers	2-4	L
13 Sep	A	Bendel Insurance	2-4	L
6 Sep	H	Barau FC	0-0	D
31 Aug	A	Abia Warriors	0-0	D
24 May	H	Wikki Tourist	3-1	W
10 May	A	Abia Warriors	2-0	W

Kwara United

4W 1D 5L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

4 Oct	H	Ranchers Bees	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Kun Khalifat FC	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Nasarawa United	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Warri Wolves	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Katsina United	3-0	W
6 Sep	A	Plateau United	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Kano Pillars	2-2	D
1 Jun	H	Sokoto	0-1	L
24 May	A	Bayelsa United	0-4	L
10 May	H	Enyimba	2-0	W

Head to head

1Kun Khalifat FC wins

0draws

1Kwara United wins

2 meetings · goals 1:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Kun Khalifat FC

29 Jan 2026NPFL	NPFL	Kun Khalifat FC1-0Kwara United
7 Sep 2025NPFL	NPFL	Kwara United2-0Kun Khalifat FC

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 16 Oct 21:20 UTC

In the NPFL table, Kun Khalifat FC sit 18th with 8 points from 8 games, while Kwara United are 13th with 10 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	8	5	2	1	14:9	+5	17
2	Rivers United	8	4	4	0	13:2	+11	16
3	Plateau United	8	4	2	2	13:8	+5	14
4	Barau FC	8	3	4	1	12:9	+3	13
5	Doma United	8	4	1	3	10:10	0	13
6	Ikorodu City	8	3	3	2	10:7	+3	12
7	Bendel Insurance	8	4	0	4	14:13	+1	12
8	Sporting Lagos	8	3	3	2	10:9	+1	12
9	Katsina United	8	3	3	2	10:11	-1	12
10	Kano Pillars	8	2	5	1	11:11	0	11
11	Nasarawa United	8	3	2	3	8:8	0	11
12	Shooting Stars	9	3	2	4	10:12	-2	11
13	Kwara United	8	3	1	4	9:9	0	10
14	Warri Wolves	8	3	1	4	6:7	-1	10
15	Niger Tornadoes	8	2	3	3	6:7	-1	9
16	Abia Warriors	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9
17	Ranchers Bees	9	2	2	5	10:13	-3	8
18	Kun Khalifat FC	8	2	2	4	7:14	-7	8
19	Enyimba	8	2	1	5	11:14	-3	7
20	Inter Lagos	8	1	2	5	5:13	-8	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.74X29%3.14220%4.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.81 → 1.74 -3.9%X3.05 → 3.14 +3.0%24.37 → 4.62 +5.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.60	1.48	6.0%
1xBet	2.49	1.42	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.49	1.42	10.6%
Betano	2.37	1.45	11.2%
Best of all books	2.60	1.48	6.0%
Average	2.49	1.44	9.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.24	1.53	10.0%
Betano	2.15	1.55	11.0%
Best of all books	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Average	2.21	1.54	10.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kun Khalifat FC 10%Draw 45%Kwara United 45%

The statistical model rated Kun Khalifat FC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Kwara United at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.74 | 3.14 | 4.62, which imply roughly 31.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Kun Khalifat FC are 18th (8 pts, 7-14 goals), Kwara United 13th (10 pts, 9-9).

Over their last five matches, Kun Khalifat FC averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Kwara United averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Kwara United.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.81	3.05	4.37

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	1.85	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.32	3.06

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.21	1.54

1st half

1	X	2
2.54	1.87	5.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.61	6.55	2.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	5.98
1.5	1.48	2.36
2.5	2.49	1.44
3.5	4.77	1.12
4.5	8.70	1.05

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.07	5.80
1	1.10	5.10
1.25	1.29	3.07
1.75	1.63	2.07
2	1.87	1.78
2.25	2.19	1.54
2.75	3.06	1.29
3	4.25	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.16	1.27
-1	2.74	1.37
-0.75	2.08	1.60
-0.5	1.82	1.88
-0.25	1.54	2.19
0	1.28	3.08

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.01
-2	7.50	1.03
-1.75	4.75	1.12
-1.5	3.58	1.21
+0.25	1.20	3.68
+1.5	1.01	9.50