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Sporting Lagos vs Ikorodu City• NPFL, Nigeria

#81.4:1.40-0FT30/09 · Mobolaji Johnson Arena, Lagos1.6:1.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.711XBX3.291XB22.631XBMargin at best5.3%Books5Markets35Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 16:33 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.293.403.144.9%
Betano2.253.053.159.0%
Betfair2.203.003.1011.0%
Bet3652.153.003.2011.1%
Marathonbet2.163.023.0512.2%
Best of all books2.293.403.204.3%
Average2.213.093.139.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sporting LagosIkorodu City
Last 10#8Table position#61.50Points per game1.509Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.047Attack rating5342Defence rating5847Form rating530H2H rating017Goals model8338Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

Sporting Lagos

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

11 OctHBendel Insurance2-1W
3 OctAKano Pillars1-1D
30 SepHIkorodu City0-0D
26 SepHBarau FC1-1D
23 SepAEnyimba3-2W
20 SepHAbia Warriors0-2L
13 SepAInter Lagos3-0W
30 AugADoma United0-2L
23 JunAShooting Stars0-1L
16 JunHEnyimba2-1W

Ikorodu City

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

10 OctHKwara United2-0W
4 OctARivers United0-2L
30 SepASporting Lagos0-0D
27 SepHEnugu Rangers2-0W
23 SepABendel Insurance1-2L
19 SepHBarau FC0-0D
13 SepAAbia Warriors2-2D
30 AugHRanchers Bees3-1W
11 JulAEl Kanemi Warriors0-1L
17 JunANasarawa United1-1D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Sporting Lagos and Ikorodu City on record.

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 18 Oct 17:01 UTC

In the NPFL table, Sporting Lagos sit 8th with 12 points from 8 games, while Ikorodu City are 6th with 12 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Enugu Rangers852114:9+517
2Rivers United844013:2+1116
3Plateau United842213:8+514
4Doma United942311:11014
5Barau FC834112:9+313
6Ikorodu City833210:7+312
7Bendel Insurance840414:13+112
8Sporting Lagos833210:9+112
9Katsina United833210:11-112
10Kano Pillars825111:11011
11Kwara United932410:10011
12Nasarawa United83238:8011
13Shooting Stars932410:12-211
14Warri Wolves83146:7-110
15Abia Warriors92439:12-310
16Niger Tornadoes82336:7-19
17Kun Khalifat FC92348:15-79
18Ranchers Bees922510:13-38
19Enyimba821511:14-37
20Inter Lagos81255:13-82

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.50X30%3.01234%2.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Sep 17:2130 Sep 06:411 2.61X 3.022 2.58
12.21 → 2.61 +18.1%X3.09 → 3.02 -2.3%23.13 → 2.58 -17.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.241.645.6%
Bet3652.301.606.0%
Marathonbet2.201.579.1%
Betano2.151.5511.0%
Best of all books2.301.644.5%
Average2.221.597.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.901.788.8%
Marathonbet1.901.759.8%
Betano1.871.7510.6%
Best of all books1.901.788.8%
Average1.891.769.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sporting Lagos 10%Draw 45%Ikorodu City 45%

The statistical model rated Sporting Lagos at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ikorodu City at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.50 | 3.01 | 2.67, which imply roughly 33.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Sporting Lagos are 8th (12 pts, 10-9 goals), Ikorodu City 6th (12 pts, 10-7).

Over their last five matches, Sporting Lagos averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Ikorodu City averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Ikorodu City.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.213.093.13

Double chance

1XX212
1.291.561.30

Draw no bet

12
1.562.20

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.891.76

1st half

1X2
2.931.993.84

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.846.982.30

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.056.75
1.51.402.65
2.52.221.59
3.53.891.19
4.57.481.04
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.075.75
1.251.233.64
1.751.482.33
21.642.02
2.251.961.76
2.752.561.40
33.281.25
3.253.651.22
47.101.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.481.22
-0.752.561.40
-0.251.881.82
01.572.19
+0.251.402.56
+0.751.193.80
5 more lines
LineHomeAway
-28.601.01
-1.54.351.14
-1.253.921.18
+11.075.75
+1.51.046.75

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.831.88

Latest NPFL results

18 OctNiger Tornadoes 2-1 Ikorodu City
18 OctEnyimba 0-0 Warri Wolves
18 OctRivers United 0-0 Barau FC
18 OctPlateau United 2-3 Sporting Lagos
18 OctInter Lagos 0-2 Nasarawa United
17 OctDoma United 1-1 Kun Khalifat FC