Sporting Lagos vs Ikorodu City• NPFL, Nigeria

#111.4:1.40-0FT30/09 · Mobolaji Johnson Arena, Lagos1.6:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.711XBX3.291XB22.631XBMargin at best5.3%Books5Markets35Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 16:33 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.29	3.40	3.14	4.9%
Betano	2.25	3.05	3.15	9.0%
Betfair	2.20	3.00	3.10	11.0%
Bet365	2.15	3.00	3.20	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.16	3.02	3.05	12.2%
Best of all books	2.29	3.40	3.20	4.3%
Average	2.21	3.09	3.13	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sporting LagosIkorodu City

Last 10#11Table position#41.29Points per game1.506Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.047Attack rating5342Defence rating5847Form rating530H2H rating017Goals model8338Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 14:11 UTC

Sporting Lagos

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

3 Oct	A	Kano Pillars	1-1	D
30 Sep	H	Ikorodu City	0-0	D
26 Sep	H	Barau FC	1-1	D
23 Sep	A	Enyimba	3-2	W
20 Sep	H	Abia Warriors	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	Inter Lagos	3-0	W
30 Aug	A	Doma United	0-2	L
23 Jun	A	Shooting Stars	0-1	L
16 Jun	H	Enyimba	2-1	W
12 Jun	H	Plateau United	1-2	L

Ikorodu City

2W 5D 3L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

4 Oct	A	Rivers United	0-2	L
30 Sep	A	Sporting Lagos	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Enugu Rangers	2-0	W
23 Sep	A	Bendel Insurance	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Barau FC	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Abia Warriors	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	Ranchers Bees	3-1	W
11 Jul	A	El Kanemi Warriors	0-1	L
17 Jun	A	Nasarawa United	1-1	D
11 Jun	H	Barau FC	2-2	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Sporting Lagos and Ikorodu City on record.

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 11 Oct 17:01 UTC

In the NPFL table, Sporting Lagos sit 11th with 9 points from 7 games, while Ikorodu City are 4th with 12 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	7	5	1	1	12:7	+5	16
2	Rivers United	7	4	3	0	13:2	+11	15
3	Doma United	7	4	1	2	10:8	+2	13
4	Ikorodu City	8	3	3	2	10:7	+3	12
5	Barau FC	7	3	3	1	10:7	+3	12
6	Bendel Insurance	7	4	0	3	13:11	+2	12
7	Katsina United	8	3	3	2	10:11	-1	12
8	Kano Pillars	7	2	5	0	11:7	+4	11
9	Plateau United	7	3	2	2	9:8	+1	11
10	Kwara United	8	3	1	4	9:9	0	10
11	Sporting Lagos	7	2	3	2	8:8	0	9
12	Niger Tornadoes	8	2	3	3	6:7	-1	9
13	Ranchers Bees	8	2	2	4	9:10	-1	8
14	Shooting Stars	7	2	2	3	7:9	-2	8
15	Nasarawa United	7	2	2	3	6:8	-2	8
16	Abia Warriors	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8
17	Enyimba	8	2	1	5	11:14	-3	7
18	Warri Wolves	7	2	1	4	3:6	-3	7
19	Inter Lagos	7	1	2	4	4:10	-6	5
20	Kun Khalifat FC	7	1	2	4	5:14	-9	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.50X30%3.01234%2.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.21 → 2.61 +18.1%X3.09 → 3.02 -2.3%23.13 → 2.58 -17.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.24	1.64	5.6%
Bet365	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Betano	2.15	1.55	11.0%
Best of all books	2.30	1.64	4.5%
Average	2.22	1.59	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.75	9.8%
Betano	1.87	1.75	10.6%
Best of all books	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Average	1.89	1.76	9.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sporting Lagos 10%Draw 45%Ikorodu City 45%

The statistical model rated Sporting Lagos at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ikorodu City at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.50 | 3.01 | 2.67, which imply roughly 33.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Sporting Lagos are 11th (9 pts, 8-8 goals), Ikorodu City 4th (12 pts, 10-7).

Over their last five matches, Sporting Lagos averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Ikorodu City averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Ikorodu City.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.21	3.09	3.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.56	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.56	2.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.76

1st half

1	X	2
2.93	1.99	3.84

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.84	6.98	2.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	6.75
1.5	1.40	2.65
2.5	2.22	1.59
3.5	3.89	1.19
4.5	7.48	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.07	5.75
1.25	1.23	3.64
1.75	1.48	2.33
2	1.64	2.02
2.25	1.96	1.76
2.75	2.56	1.40
3	3.28	1.25
3.25	3.65	1.22
4	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.48	1.22
-0.75	2.56	1.40
-0.25	1.88	1.82
0	1.57	2.19
+0.25	1.40	2.56
+0.75	1.19	3.80

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.60	1.01
-1.5	4.35	1.14
-1.25	3.92	1.18
+1	1.07	5.75
+1.5	1.04	6.75

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.83	1.88