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Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar• Primera División, Bolivia

#91.4:1.80-0LiveToday · Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte, Potosi3.0:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.241XBX4.10BVC21.75B365Margin at best5.1%Books6Markets83Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
BetVictor4.104.101.707.6%
Pinnacle4.084.041.679.1%
Bet3653.753.901.759.5%
1xBet4.243.881.6410.3%
Marathonbet4.153.881.6211.6%
William Hill4.003.601.7011.6%
Best of all books4.244.101.755.1%
Average4.053.901.689.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nacional PotosíBolívar
Last 10#9Table position#21.33Points per game2.2911Form pts · last 5131.4Goals for · last 53.01.8Goals against · last 50.832Attack rating6831Defence rating6932Form rating6829H2H rating7131Goals model6933Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:32 UTC

Nacional Potosí

5W 3D 2L · goals 24:12 · per match 2.4 for, 1.2 against

11 OctAAurora2-2D
8 OctAAlways Ready3-2W
3 OctHReal Oruro2-0W
30 SepAReal Tomayapo1-1D
25 SepHAlways Ready9-0W
22 SepHReal Potosí0-1L
20 SepAReal Potosí2-2D
16 SepHAlways Ready0-4L
12 SepAGualberto Villarroel SJ3-0W
9 SepAReal Oruro2-0W

Bolívar

7W 3D 0L · goals 23:8 · per match 2.3 for, 0.8 against

11 OctHBlooming1-0W
9 OctABlooming1-1D
4 OctAIndependiente Petrolero3-0W
1 OctHGualberto Villarroel SJ3-2W
27 SepHBlooming3-0W
20 SepAThe Strongest1-1D
18 SepHGualberto Villarroel SJ4-2W
14 SepAReal Tomayapo2-1W
11 SepHIndependiente Petrolero1-1D
6 SepAIndependiente Petrolero4-0W

Head to head

6Nacional Potosí wins
5draws
14Bolívar wins

25 meetings · goals 39:51 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Nacional Potosí

14 May 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónBolívar1-1Nacional Potosí
22 Dec 2025Copa de la División ProfesionalCopa de la División ProfesionalBolívar1-4Nacional Potosí
20 Dec 2025Copa de la División ProfesionalCopa de la División ProfesionalNacional Potosí0-2Bolívar
5 Dec 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónBolívar5-2Nacional Potosí
10 Jul 2025Copa de la División ProfesionalCopa de la División ProfesionalBolívar2-1Nacional Potosí
29 Jun 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónNacional Potosí1-1Bolívar
26 Jun 2025Copa de la División ProfesionalCopa de la División ProfesionalNacional Potosí3-0Bolívar
24 Nov 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónBolívar5-3Nacional Potosí
28 Jul 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónNacional Potosí2-1Bolívar
21 Oct 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónBolívar4-3Nacional Potosí

Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 18 Oct 03:30 UTC

In the Primera División table, Nacional Potosí sit 9th with 28 points from 21 games, while Bolívar are 2nd with 48 points from 21.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Always Ready21146149:13+3648
2Bolívar21153355:22+3348
3The Strongest21126339:23+1642
4Real Potosí22108429:14+1538
5Oriente Petrolero21103837:27+1033
6Aurora22710533:30+331
7Guabirá2185833:43-1029
8Blooming22610630:23+728
9Nacional Potosí2184932:30+228
10Real Oruro22831136:51-1527
11Independiente Petrolero22751027:37-1026
12Universitario de Vinto22631329:43-1421
13San Antonio Bulo Bulo22631322:42-2021
14ABB22621431:47-1620
15Real Tomayapo22551216:39-2320
16Gualberto Villarroel SJ22381125:39-1417

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.05X23%3.90254%1.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 09:501 4.04X 3.892 1.67
14.16 → 4.04 -2.9%X4.01 → 3.89 -3.0%21.64 → 1.67 +1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.482.606.0%
Pinnacle1.452.617.3%
BetVictor1.442.637.5%
1xBet1.402.5610.5%
Marathonbet1.402.5610.5%
Best of all books1.482.635.6%
Average1.432.598.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
1xBet1.442.568.5%
BetVictor1.442.558.7%
Marathonbet1.442.519.3%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Best of all books1.442.627.6%
Average1.442.558.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nacional Potosí 10%Draw 45%Bolívar 45%

The statistical model rates Nacional Potosí at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Bolívar at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.05 | 3.90 | 1.68, which imply roughly 25.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Nacional Potosí are 9th (28 pts, 32-30 goals), Bolívar 2nd (48 pts, 55-22).

Over their last five matches, Nacional Potosí averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Bolívar averaged 3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Bolívar.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Nacional Potosí

4-4-2

Coach: Dailer Gutiérrez

Goalkeeper

  • 23Pedro Galindo

Defence

  • 34K. Medina
  • 5S. Alvarez
  • 33L. Demiquel
  • 16A. Torrico

Midfield

  • 18P. Azogue
  • 21Ó. Baldomar
  • 28S. Peña

Bolívar

Coach: A. Restrepo

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.053.901.68

Double chance

1XX212
2.011.191.20

Draw no bet

12
3.031.34

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.442.55

1st half

1X2
4.282.462.16

2nd half

1X2
3.852.852.00

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.8015.019.4
HT X9.676.734.93
HT 232.014.02.50

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.3819.91.57

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.3
1.51.105.64
2.51.432.59
3.52.091.66
4.53.411.26
5.56.451.08
6.513.01.04
7.526.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0211.5
1.751.114.95
21.134.50
2.251.273.15
2.751.522.31
31.662.06
3.251.871.82
3.752.351.50
42.831.35
4.253.041.29
4.754.001.17
55.301.09
5.255.551.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.431.48
+0.52.091.69
+0.751.851.84
+11.632.14
+1.251.502.39
+1.51.412.66
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.501.01
-1.257.001.10
-17.471.05
-0.755.031.13
-0.53.801.25
-0.253.431.26
03.061.32
+1.751.293.20
+21.184.17
+2.251.154.55
+2.51.134.97
+2.751.086.27
+31.018.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.104.72
7.51.293.05
8.51.562.21
9.51.981.75
10.52.521.42
11.53.481.22
12.55.101.08
20 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.017.28
6.251.075.46
6.751.124.49
71.144.26
7.251.223.51
7.751.332.88
81.372.72
8.251.482.42
8.751.652.10
91.741.98
9.251.851.85
9.752.091.66
102.261.55
10.252.391.49
10.752.771.36
113.141.27
11.253.301.25
11.753.961.16
124.711.10
12.254.901.09

Next Primera División matches

18 OctThe Strongest – Always Ready
18 OctGuabirá – Oriente Petrolero

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

17 OctBlooming 0-0 Independiente Petrolero
17 OctUniversitario de Vinto 2-1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
17 OctReal Oruro 1-0 Aurora
17 OctReal Tomayapo 1-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ
16 OctABB 0-1 Real Potosí
12 OctAlways Ready 2-0 Independiente Petrolero