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Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ• Primera División, Bolivia

#150.6:1.41-0FT17/10 · Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija1.8:2.8#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85WHX3.80B36524.00B365Margin at best5.4%Books6Markets87Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 17:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3651.733.804.009.1%
BetVictor1.833.703.609.4%
1xBet1.823.563.6210.7%
Pinnacle1.853.583.4810.7%
Marathonbet1.803.563.5411.9%
William Hill1.853.403.5012.0%
Best of all books1.853.804.005.4%
Average1.813.603.6210.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real TomayapoGualberto Villarroel SJ
Last 10#15Table position#160.91Points per game0.775Form pts · last 560.6Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 52.825Attack rating7567Defence rating3350Form rating5040H2H rating6052Goals model4845Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:51 UTC

Real Tomayapo

2W 2D 6L · goals 8:22 · per match 0.8 for, 2.2 against

9 OctASan Antonio Bulo Bulo0-0D
6 OctAReal Oruro0-4L
3 OctAAlways Ready0-4L
30 SepHNacional Potosí1-1D
27 SepHReal Oruro2-1W
22 SepAIndependiente Petrolero1-5L
17 SepHOriente Petrolero0-2L
14 SepHBolívar1-2L
10 SepHAlways Ready2-0W
6 SepAThe Strongest1-3L

Gualberto Villarroel SJ

2W 0D 8L · goals 13:26 · per match 1.3 for, 2.6 against

12 OctHGuabirá4-1W
7 OctAIndependiente Petrolero0-1L
4 OctHBlooming3-2W
1 OctABolívar2-3L
27 SepHIndependiente Petrolero1-3L
20 SepAReal Oruro0-1L
18 SepABolívar2-4L
12 SepHNacional Potosí0-3L
10 SepABlooming1-5L
5 SepAAurora0-3L

Head to head

2Real Tomayapo wins
0draws
3Gualberto Villarroel SJ wins

5 meetings · goals 7:12 · last 5: 2W 0D 3L for Real Tomayapo

7 Jul 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónGualberto Villarroel SJ3-2Real Tomayapo
3 Aug 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónReal Tomayapo2-1Gualberto Villarroel SJ
30 Mar 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónGualberto Villarroel SJ3-1Real Tomayapo
24 Sep 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónGualberto Villarroel SJ5-0Real Tomayapo
11 May 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónReal Tomayapo2-0Gualberto Villarroel SJ

Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 18 Oct 21:00 UTC

In the Primera División table, Real Tomayapo sit 15th with 20 points from 22 games, while Gualberto Villarroel SJ are 16th with 17 points from 22.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Always Ready21146149:13+3648
2Bolívar21153355:22+3348
3The Strongest21126339:23+1642
4Real Potosí22108429:14+1538
5Oriente Petrolero21103837:27+1033
6Aurora22710533:30+331
7Guabirá2185833:43-1029
8Blooming22610630:23+728
9Nacional Potosí2184932:30+228
10Real Oruro22831136:51-1527
11Independiente Petrolero22751027:37-1026
12Universitario de Vinto22631329:43-1421
13San Antonio Bulo Bulo22631322:42-2021
14ABB22621431:47-1620
15Real Tomayapo22551216:39-2320
16Gualberto Villarroel SJ22381125:39-1417

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.81X25%3.62225%3.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0116 Oct 17:301 1.81X 3.602 3.62
11.83 → 1.81 -1.1%X3.69 → 3.60 -2.4%23.54 → 3.62 +2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.572.356.2%
Pinnacle1.572.248.3%
BetVictor1.562.229.1%
1xBet1.532.2110.6%
Marathonbet1.532.2110.6%
Best of all books1.572.356.2%
Average1.552.259.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
William Hill1.502.408.3%
1xBet1.522.348.5%
Marathonbet1.522.309.3%
Best of all books1.572.405.4%
Average1.522.348.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Tomayapo 10%Draw 45%Gualberto Villarroel SJ 45%

The statistical model rated Real Tomayapo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gualberto Villarroel SJ at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.81 | 3.62 | 3.65, which imply roughly 27.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Real Tomayapo are 15th (20 pts, 16-39 goals), Gualberto Villarroel SJ 16th (17 pts, 25-39).

Over their last five matches, Real Tomayapo averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Gualberto Villarroel SJ averaged 1.8 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Real Tomayapo

4-1-4-1

Coach: J. Alfonso

Goalkeeper

  • 1L. Cárdenas

Defence

  • 19Robson
  • 24D. Robles
  • 17M. Bejarano
  • 14V. Gálvez

Midfield

  • 27Ruan Costa
  • 12J. Ribera
  • 7Cristhian Arabe
  • 8J. Mamani
  • 6V. Melgar

Attack

  • 18R. Eguez
Substitutes (12)
  • 36J. Chavez
  • 70Bernabé David Aguirre Aramayo
  • 55G. Barbieri
  • 99A. Cervantes
  • 25R. Cuéllar
  • 15J. Guerra
  • 5L. Montenegro
  • 11F. Nouet
  • 9J. Orozco
  • 28D. Wayar
  • 50Yordy Álvarez
  • 32R. Suárez

Gualberto Villarroel SJ

4-2-3-1

Coach: J. Baldivieso

Goalkeeper

  • 25Roberto Carlos Rivas Rivera

Defence

  • 2J. Ramallo
  • 26J. Lencinas
  • 20F. Aguilar
  • 4Gonzalo Vaca Salvatierra

Midfield

  • 17Elmer Quispe
  • 38L. Vargas
  • 55J. Goyeneche
  • 11Moresche
  • 37L. R. Cruz Valverde

Attack

  • 9R. Monteiro
Substitutes (7)
  • 66D. Akologo
  • 29S. Galindo
  • 36G. Justiniano
  • 8R. Orihuela
  • 18Santiago Pinto Soliz
  • 21S. Valdez
  • 30L. Zeballos

Match Statistics

Real TomayapoGualberto Villarroel SJ
2.61Expected Goals1.07
267Passes accurate249
15Shots insidebox11
5Shots outsidebox4
2Blocked Shots1
13Free Kicks14
6Shots on Goal2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
12Shots off Goal12
3Offsides1
352Total passes339
20Total Shots15
1Yellow Cards3
3Corner Kicks3
14Fouls14
0Red Cards0
47%Ball Possession53%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.813.603.62

Double chance

1XX212
1.221.861.22

Draw no bet

12
1.362.93

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.522.34

1st half

1X2
2.332.364.10

2nd half

1X2
2.142.693.66

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.7413.730.3
HT X4.936.138.83
HT 220.314.56.20

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5916.32.36

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.3
1.51.154.63
2.51.552.25
3.52.371.51
4.54.201.18
5.58.051.05
6.517.01.02
7.534.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0110.0
1.251.066.20
1.751.173.96
21.223.50
2.251.392.64
2.751.682.01
31.881.78
3.252.121.61
3.752.751.36
43.341.24
4.253.681.20
4.754.901.11
56.551.05
5.256.851.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.731.38
-12.461.47
-0.752.051.67
-0.51.841.90
-0.251.612.15
01.392.68
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.512.01.04
-311.01.05
-2.756.751.04
-2.55.921.09
-2.255.571.10
-25.201.12
-1.753.751.22
-1.53.011.33
+0.251.323.06
+0.51.303.45
+0.751.164.33
+11.086.37
+1.251.076.77
+1.51.047.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.094.93
7.51.273.18
8.51.522.28
9.51.871.80
10.52.441.45
11.53.311.25
12.54.861.10
13.57.281.01
22 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.017.25
6.251.075.44
6.751.114.69
71.124.46
7.251.203.65
7.751.302.99
81.342.82
8.251.442.50
8.751.612.16
91.702.03
9.251.801.90
9.752.031.70
102.191.59
10.252.321.52
10.752.681.38
113.011.30
11.253.171.27
11.753.781.18
124.471.12
12.254.661.11
12.755.731.06
137.121.01

Next Primera División matches

18 OctGuabirá – Oriente Petrolero

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

18 OctNacional Potosí 0-1 Bolívar
17 OctBlooming 0-0 Independiente Petrolero
17 OctUniversitario de Vinto 2-1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
17 OctReal Oruro 1-0 Aurora
16 OctABB 0-1 Real Potosí
12 OctAlways Ready 2-0 Independiente Petrolero