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Real Oruro vs Aurora• Primera División, Bolivia

#111.2:1.81-0FTToday · Oruro2.0:1.4#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.02PINX3.70B36522.25B365Margin at best4.6%Books4Markets84Rating49 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 17:11 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3652.753.702.257.8%
Pinnacle3.023.612.079.1%
1xBet2.933.552.0710.6%
William Hill2.883.302.1511.5%
Best of all books3.023.702.254.6%
Average2.893.542.149.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real OruroAurora
Last 10#11Table position#61.14Points per game1.487Form pts · last 591.2Goals for · last 52.01.8Goals against · last 51.438Attack rating6344Defence rating5647Form rating5371H2H rating2934Goals model6649Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Real Oruro

4W 1D 5L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against

10 OctAUniversitario de Vinto3-1W
6 OctHReal Tomayapo4-0W
3 OctANacional Potosí0-2L
30 SepHAlways Ready2-2D
27 SepAReal Tomayapo1-2L
20 SepHGualberto Villarroel SJ1-0W
15 SepHReal Potosí0-2L
12 SepAThe Strongest0-5L
9 SepHNacional Potosí0-2L
4 SepHSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2-0W

Aurora

6W 3D 1L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against

11 OctHNacional Potosí2-2D
7 OctHABB2-0W
3 OctAReal Potosí1-1D
30 SepHSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2-2D
25 SepAABB1-0W
19 SepHUniversitario de Vinto4-2W
16 SepAGuabirá1-3L
11 SepASan Antonio Bulo Bulo2-0W
8 SepHReal Potosí1-0W
5 SepHGualberto Villarroel SJ3-0W

Head to head

1Real Oruro wins
2draws
0Aurora wins

3 meetings · goals 8:6 · last 3: 1W 2D 0L for Real Oruro

13 May 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAurora1-1Real Oruro
17 Sep 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónReal Oruro5-3Aurora
25 Apr 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAurora2-2Real Oruro

Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Primera División table, Real Oruro sit 11th with 24 points from 21 games, while Aurora are 6th with 31 points from 21.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Always Ready21146149:13+3648
2Bolívar21153355:22+3348
3The Strongest21126339:23+1642
4Real Potosí22108429:14+1538
5Oriente Petrolero21103837:27+1033
6Aurora21710433:29+431
7Guabirá2185833:43-1029
8Nacional Potosí2184932:30+228
9Blooming2169630:23+727
10Independiente Petrolero21741027:37-1025
11Real Oruro21731135:51-1624
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo21631221:40-1921
13ABB22621431:47-1620
14Real Tomayapo22551216:39-2320
15Universitario de Vinto21531327:42-1518
16Gualberto Villarroel SJ22381125:39-1417

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.90X26%3.54243%2.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 17:501 2.90X 3.542 2.14
12.97 → 2.90 -2.4%X3.74 → 3.54 -5.3%22.02 → 2.14 +5.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.482.606.0%
Pinnacle1.452.597.6%
1xBet1.412.5210.6%
Best of all books1.482.606.0%
Average1.452.578.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.402.807.1%
Bet3651.402.757.8%
1xBet1.392.738.6%
Best of all books1.402.807.1%
Average1.402.767.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Oruro 10%Draw 45%Aurora 45%

The statistical model rated Real Oruro at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Aurora at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.90 | 3.54 | 2.14, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Real Oruro are 11th (24 pts, 35-51 goals), Aurora 6th (31 pts, 33-29).

Over their last five matches, Real Oruro averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Aurora averaged 2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Aurora.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Real Oruro

4-2-3-1

Coach: Robledo Marcelo

Goalkeeper

  • 66Juan Kevin Aztete Ajhuacho

Defence

  • 33F. Gatti
  • 5L. Corulo
  • 22E. Rivera
  • 31R. J. Balceras Cuellar

Midfield

  • 26H. Tifner
  • 6A. Rivera
  • 30J. Ari Cruz
  • 65Adán Alexis Félix Bravo
  • 18Y. Calle

Attack

  • 9D. Pinto
Substitutes (12)
  • 42R. Ardaya
  • 55S. Garcia
  • 77C. Siles
  • 10A. Quiñonez
  • 13I. Peña
  • 32R. Méndez
  • 50J. Montenegro
  • 37J. Velez
  • 48J. Berrios
  • 70J. P. Gomez
  • 23Yhon Jairo Villegas Soleto
  • 15D. Castellón

Aurora

4-4-2

Coach: David Díaz

Goalkeeper

  • 12R. Cordano

Defence

  • 16D. Barro
  • 22J. Velázquez
  • 4I. Vidaurre
  • 70J. Torrico

Midfield

  • 69A. Terrazas
  • 5A. Amarilla
  • 14H. Sánchez
  • 8Leonardo Viviani

Attack

  • 9M. Rangel
  • 20A. Pacheco
Substitutes (11)
  • 11H. Mojica
  • 15Jose Cordova
  • 18S. Rojas
  • 23I. Huayhuata
  • 21M. Ortiz
  • 10R. Ramallo
  • 25Alvaro Rios
  • 1J. Terrazas
  • 28O. Vaca
  • 7H. Vaca
  • 26D. Villca

Match Statistics

Real OruroAurora
1.98Expected Goals1.3
264Passes accurate291
9Shots insidebox6
13Shots outsidebox6
2Blocked Shots1
14Free Kicks15
9Shots on Goal4
4Goalkeeper Saves8
11Shots off Goal7
1Offsides2
344Total passes373
22Total Shots12
4Yellow Cards3
3Corner Kicks8
15Fouls14
0Red Cards0
48%Ball Possession52%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.903.542.14

Double chance

1XX212
1.611.361.26

Draw no bet

12
2.131.65

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.402.76

1st half

1X2
3.282.442.58

2nd half

1X2
2.962.752.45

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.5213.321.5
HT X7.156.586.03
HT 224.513.13.39

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9521.01.80

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0218.3
1.51.115.65
2.51.452.57
3.52.091.67
4.53.421.26
5.56.251.09
6.513.01.04
7.526.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0311.5
1.751.114.85
21.144.40
2.251.283.08
2.751.532.32
31.662.07
3.251.891.84
3.752.371.51
42.831.36
4.253.091.28
4.754.111.16
55.401.09
5.255.701.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.861.39
-0.252.501.48
02.201.62
+0.251.871.88
+0.51.682.16
+0.751.502.43
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.901.02
-210.01.01
-1.756.951.07
-1.55.381.12
-1.254.901.14
-14.581.16
-0.753.251.29
+11.343.02
+1.251.263.42
+1.51.223.79
+1.751.154.88
+21.096.43
+2.251.107.00
+2.51.047.00
+31.057.00
+3.51.048.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.026.94
6.51.104.78
7.51.293.08
8.51.562.24
9.51.981.74
10.52.501.44
11.53.421.23
12.55.031.09
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.036.65
61.017.29
6.251.075.46
6.751.124.54
71.134.31
7.251.213.54
7.751.322.91
81.362.74
8.251.472.44
8.751.642.12
91.762.01
9.251.841.86
9.752.071.67
102.241.56
10.252.371.50
10.752.751.36
113.101.28
11.253.261.25
11.753.911.17
124.641.11
12.254.841.10