GOES vs FC Lisse• Derde Divisie, Netherlands

#81.8:1.82-6FT18/101.6:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.301XBX4.10B36521.67WHMargin at best7.5%Books5Markets45Rating29 · 71Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 11:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	4.30	3.92	1.61	10.9%
Pinnacle	4.13	3.91	1.63	11.1%
Bet365	3.70	4.10	1.67	11.3%
Marathonbet	4.20	3.92	1.59	12.2%
William Hill	4.00	3.60	1.67	12.7%
Best of all books	4.30	4.10	1.67	7.5%
Average	4.07	3.89	1.63	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GOESFC Lisse

Last 10#8Table position#31.56Points per game2.449Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 51.61.8Goals against · last 50.853Attack rating4731Defence rating6947Form rating537H2H rating9317Goals model8329Overall rating71

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

GOES

4W 2D 4L · goals 17:20 · per match 1.7 for, 2.0 against

11 Oct	A	Groene Ster	1-2	L
4 Oct	H	UDI '19	0-4	L
26 Sep	A	Poortugaal	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	UNA	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Dongen	3-2	W
6 Sep	A	Blauw Geel	2-2	D
2 Sep	H	Noordwijk	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Rijnvogels	1-4	L
23 Aug	A	Gemert	2-2	D
16 Aug	H	EVV	3-2	W

FC Lisse

7W 1D 2L · goals 17:9 · per match 1.7 for, 0.9 against

10 Oct	H	Rijnvogels	2-0	W
4 Oct	A	Gemert	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	EVV	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Zwaluwen	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	TOGB	3-2	W
5 Sep	A	Vvsb	2-1	W
1 Sep	A	SC Genemuiden	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Excelsior Maassluis	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Roosendaal	1-0	W
18 Aug	H	Aalsmeer	4-2	W

Head to head

0GOES wins

1draws

6FC Lisse wins

7 meetings · goals 5:20 · last 7: 0W 1D 6L for GOES

19 Apr 2026Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	GOES1-1FC Lisse
15 Nov 2025Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	FC Lisse3-0GOES
10 May 2025Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	FC Lisse3-0GOES
1 Dec 2024Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	GOES2-3FC Lisse
21 May 2022Derde Divisie	Derde Divisie	FC Lisse4-0GOES
6 Feb 2022Derde Divisie	Derde Divisie	GOES1-4FC Lisse
9 Nov 2019Derde Divisie	Derde Divisie	GOES1-2FC Lisse

Derde Divisie tableDerde Divisieupdated 18 Oct 14:10 UTC

In the Derde Divisie table, GOES sit 8th with 14 points from 9 games, while FC Lisse are 3rd with 22 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	ACV	10	7	2	1	26:10	+16	23
1	Noordwijk	10	8	1	1	22:2	+20	25
2	VV Scherpenzeel	10	7	2	1	18:10	+8	23
2	Excelsior Maassluis	10	7	2	1	21:7	+14	23
3	Harkemase Boys	10	7	2	1	20:14	+6	23
3	FC Lisse	9	7	1	1	16:6	+10	22
4	Excelsior '31	10	7	1	2	28:9	+19	22
4	Rijnvogels	10	6	2	2	25:12	+13	20
5	SC Genemuiden	10	7	0	3	22:15	+7	21
5	UDI '19	9	5	2	2	18:9	+9	17
6	TEC	10	6	2	2	29:17	+12	20
6	Zwaluwen	10	5	1	4	11:14	-3	16
7	Sportlust '46	10	5	4	1	18:14	+4	19
7	Poortugaal	10	5	0	5	12:14	-2	15
8	Purmersteijn	10	5	3	2	19:12	+7	18
8	GOES	9	4	2	3	17:19	-2	14
9	Sparta Nijkerk	10	4	2	4	22:21	+1	14
9	Dongen	9	4	1	4	21:21	0	13
10	Hoogeveen	10	4	1	5	24:23	+1	13
10	Gemert	10	3	4	3	14:17	-3	13
11	ADO '20	10	4	1	5	19:21	-2	13
11	Blauw Geel	10	3	3	4	14:14	0	12
12	Hercules	10	3	1	6	12:22	-10	10
12	Roosendaal	9	3	0	6	15:20	-5	9
13	Staphorst	10	2	3	5	16:21	-5	9
13	Groene Ster	9	2	3	4	14:21	-7	9
14	Eemdijk	9	2	1	6	13:28	-15	7
14	TOGB	10	2	3	5	16:24	-8	9
15	DVS 33 Ermelo	10	1	3	6	13:19	-6	6
15	UNA	9	1	5	3	12:14	-2	8
16	Dovo	10	1	2	7	12:25	-13	5
16	Vvsb	10	2	2	6	13:21	-8	8
17	Hollandia	9	1	1	7	16:27	-11	4
17	Achilles Veen	10	2	0	8	8:22	-14	6
18	SVZW	10	0	1	9	9:28	-19	1
18	EVV	9	0	2	7	8:20	-12	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.07X23%3.89255%1.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.90 → 4.05 +3.8%X4.07 → 3.87 -4.9%21.64 → 1.63 -0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	1.44	2.54	8.8%
1xBet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.54	6.0%
Average	1.44	2.50	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.46	2.46	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.41	10.0%
William Hill	1.44	2.45	10.3%
Best of all books	1.46	2.46	9.1%
Average	1.45	2.44	9.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

GOES 10%Draw 45%FC Lisse 45%

The statistical model rated GOES at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FC Lisse at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.07 | 3.89 | 1.63, which imply roughly 25.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Derde Divisie table: GOES are 8th (14 pts, 17-19 goals), FC Lisse 3rd (22 pts, 16-6).

Over their last five matches, GOES averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; FC Lisse averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or FC Lisse.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.07	3.89	1.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.03	1.17	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
3.00	1.36

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.45	2.44

1st half

1	X	2
4.33	2.44	2.11

2nd half

1	X	2
4.11	2.82	1.91

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.40	16.0	20.0
HT X	9.55	6.95	4.90
HT 2	32.0	15.5	2.49

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.47	18.8	1.53

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.5
1.5	1.12	5.00
2.5	1.44	2.51
3.5	2.11	1.64
4.5	3.42	1.23
5.5	6.50	1.08

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.5
2	1.14	4.33
2.25	1.28	3.08
2.75	1.53	2.28
3	1.66	2.02
3.25	1.89	1.79
3.75	2.37	1.48
4	2.85	1.34
4.25	3.14	1.27
5	5.55	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.50	1.43
+0.5	2.17	1.62
+0.75	1.91	1.79
+1	1.68	2.02
+1.25	1.52	2.26
+1.5	1.42	2.52

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.70	1.04
-1	8.10	1.02
-0.25	3.70	1.20
0	3.28	1.26
+1.75	1.29	3.04
+2	1.18	3.92
+2.5	1.12	4.65
+3	1.01	8.30

Latest Derde Divisie results

18 Oct	EVV 3-3 Roosendaal
17 Oct	Gemert 2-0 Achilles Veen
17 Oct	Hoogeveen 1-4 ACV
11 Oct	Groene Ster 2-1 GOES
10 Oct	Vvsb 0-2 Blauw Geel
10 Oct	Excelsior Maassluis 3-2 TOGB