Vvsb vs Blauw Geel• Derde Divisie, Netherlands

#151.2:2.216:00Today1.8:1.2#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.12DAFX3.90B36523.061XBMargin at best5.5%Books7Markets41Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 11:39 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.12	3.80	3.00	6.8%
Betano	2.07	3.60	2.90	10.6%
1xBet	2.00	3.55	3.06	10.8%
Bet365	2.00	3.90	2.75	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.98	3.55	2.98	12.2%
Pinnacle	2.04	3.45	2.90	12.5%
William Hill	2.05	3.60	2.70	13.6%
Best of all books	2.12	3.90	3.06	5.5%
Average	2.04	3.64	2.90	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VvsbBlauw Geel

Last 10#15Table position#100.88Points per game1.136Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 51.82.2Goals against · last 51.240Attack rating6035Defence rating6527Form rating7340H2H rating6045Goals model5538Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:13 UTC

Vvsb

4W 1D 5L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against

3 Oct	H	Excelsior Maassluis	2-3	L
26 Sep	A	Roosendaal	1-3	L
22 Sep	A	Rijnvogels	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Achilles Veen	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Noordwijk	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	FC Lisse	1-2	L
2 Sep	H	Ajax Amateurs	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Groene Ster	3-3	D
22 Aug	H	UDI '19	0-2	L
15 Aug	A	Poortugaal	1-0	W

Blauw Geel

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

4 Oct	H	UNA	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Excelsior Maassluis	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Dongen	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Roosendaal	3-1	W
6 Sep	H	GOES	2-2	D
1 Sep	A	Sportlust '46	1-3	L
29 Aug	A	Achilles Veen	2-3	L
23 Aug	H	Rijnvogels	0-0	D
15 Aug	A	Noordwijk	0-2	L
23 May	A	Zwaluwen	0-3	L

Head to head

2Vvsb wins

0draws

4Blauw Geel wins

6 meetings · goals 11:17 · last 6: 2W 0D 4L for Vvsb

28 Mar 2026Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Vvsb3-1Blauw Geel
25 Oct 2025Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Blauw Geel2-0Vvsb
18 Jan 2025Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Blauw Geel4-0Vvsb
24 Aug 2024Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Vvsb3-5Blauw Geel
1 Apr 2023Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Vvsb3-2Blauw Geel
8 Oct 2022Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Blauw Geel3-2Vvsb

Derde Divisie tableDerde Divisieupdated 10 Oct 14:52 UTC

In the Derde Divisie table, Vvsb sit 15th with 7 points from 8 games, while Blauw Geel are 10th with 9 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Excelsior '31	8	6	1	1	22:6	+16	19
1	Rijnvogels	8	6	2	0	25:7	+18	20
2	ACV	8	6	1	1	21:8	+13	19
2	Noordwijk	8	6	1	1	15:2	+13	19
3	VV Scherpenzeel	8	6	1	1	15:9	+6	19
3	FC Lisse	8	6	1	1	14:6	+8	19
4	SC Genemuiden	8	6	0	2	19:9	+10	18
4	Excelsior Maassluis	8	5	2	1	16:7	+9	17
5	Harkemase Boys	8	5	2	1	15:11	+4	17
5	UDI '19	8	4	2	2	14:9	+5	14
6	TEC	8	5	1	2	27:16	+11	16
6	GOES	8	4	2	2	16:17	-1	14
7	Sportlust '46	8	4	3	1	16:13	+3	15
7	Dongen	8	4	1	3	21:17	+4	13
8	Sparta Nijkerk	8	4	2	2	22:16	+6	14
8	Zwaluwen	8	4	1	3	7:10	-3	13
9	Purmersteijn	8	4	2	2	15:11	+4	14
9	Gemert	8	2	4	2	12:13	-1	10
10	Hoogeveen	8	4	1	3	22:17	+5	13
10	Blauw Geel	8	2	3	3	11:11	0	9
11	ADO '20	8	3	1	4	15:18	-3	10
11	Roosendaal	8	3	0	5	13:16	-3	9
12	Hercules	8	3	0	5	12:20	-8	9
12	Poortugaal	8	3	0	5	8:13	-5	9
13	DVS 33 Ermelo	8	1	2	5	10:15	-5	5
13	UNA	8	1	5	2	12:13	-1	8
14	Dovo	8	1	2	5	9:19	-10	5
14	TOGB	8	2	2	4	13:18	-5	8
15	Eemdijk	7	1	0	6	9:26	-17	3
15	Vvsb	8	2	1	5	10:16	-6	7
16	Staphorst	8	0	3	5	10:18	-8	3
16	Groene Ster	8	1	3	4	12:20	-8	6
17	Hollandia	7	0	1	6	13:23	-10	1
17	Achilles Veen	8	1	0	7	7:20	-13	3
18	SVZW	8	0	1	7	9:26	-17	1
18	EVV	8	0	2	6	8:19	-11	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.04X25%3.64231%2.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.71 → 2.04 +19.3%X4.04 → 3.64 -9.9%23.69 → 2.90 -21.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.41	2.59	9.5%
1xBet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Best of all books	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Average	1.41	2.58	9.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.38	2.74	9.0%
William Hill	1.40	2.62	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.67	9.9%
Best of all books	1.40	2.74	7.9%
Average	1.39	2.68	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vvsb 10%Draw 45%Blauw Geel 45%

The statistical model rates Vvsb at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Blauw Geel at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.04 | 3.64 | 2.90, which imply roughly 27.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Derde Divisie table: Vvsb are 15th (7 pts, 10-16 goals), Blauw Geel 10th (9 pts, 11-11).

Over their last five matches, Vvsb averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Blauw Geel averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Blauw Geel.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.04	3.64	2.90

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.70	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.60	2.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.39	2.68

1st half

1	X	2
2.44	2.39	3.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	18.9	2.07

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	19.0
1.5	1.12	5.50
2.5	1.41	2.58
3.5	2.05	1.66
4.5	3.20	1.26
5.5	6.00	1.10

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
2	1.14	4.40
2.25	1.27	3.14
2.75	1.49	2.32
3	1.64	2.06
3.25	1.83	1.83
3.75	2.27	1.52
4	2.70	1.37
4.25	2.97	1.30
5	5.10	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.77	1.36
-0.75	2.19	1.59
-0.5	2.01	1.67
-0.25	1.79	1.91
0	1.53	2.24
+0.25	1.41	2.55

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.25	1.06
-2	5.60	1.08
-1.75	4.14	1.16
-1.5	3.34	1.24
-1.25	3.05	1.30
+0.5	1.34	2.85
+1	1.11	4.85
+1.5	1.08	5.60