Excelsior Maassluis vs TOGB• Derde Divisie, Netherlands

#22.4:0.83-2FT10/102.0:2.4#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.67B365X4.33B36524.541XBMargin at best5.0%Books7Markets44Rating74 · 26Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 07:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.70	4.00	4.30	7.1%
1xBet	1.61	3.84	4.40	10.9%
Betano	1.70	4.05	3.60	11.3%
Bet365	1.80	4.00	3.25	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.59	3.84	4.30	12.2%
William Hill	1.62	3.90	4.00	12.4%
Pinnacle	1.62	3.68	3.80	15.2%
Best of all books	1.80	4.05	4.40	3.0%
Average	1.66	3.90	3.95	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Excelsior MaassluisTOGB

Last 10#2Table position#142.30Points per game0.9015Form pts · last 562.4Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 52.455Attack rating4575Defence rating2565Form rating3580H2H rating2091Goals model974Overall rating26

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:13 UTC

Excelsior Maassluis

6W 3D 1L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

3 Oct	A	Vvsb	3-2	W
26 Sep	H	Blauw Geel	1-0	W
22 Sep	A	Sportlust '46	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	Roosendaal	5-0	W
12 Sep	A	Achilles Veen	3-2	W
5 Sep	H	Noordwijk	0-0	D
1 Sep	A	ADO '20	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	FC Lisse	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Groene Ster	3-1	W
15 Aug	A	UDI '19	1-1	D

TOGB

3W 2D 5L · goals 20:26 · per match 2.0 for, 2.6 against

3 Oct	H	Roosendaal	4-3	W
26 Sep	A	Achilles Veen	1-0	W
23 Sep	H	ROHDA Raalte	4-6	L
19 Sep	H	Noordwijk	0-3	L
12 Sep	A	FC Lisse	2-3	L
5 Sep	H	Groene Ster	3-3	D
2 Sep	H	Katwijk	3-2	W
30 Aug	A	UDI '19	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Poortugaal	1-3	L
16 Aug	A	UNA	1-1	D

Head to head

1Excelsior Maassluis wins

1draws

0TOGB wins

2 meetings · goals 4:1 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Excelsior Maassluis

11 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Excelsior Maassluis3-0TOGB
30 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Excelsior Maassluis1-1TOGB

Derde Divisie tableDerde Divisieupdated 18 Oct 14:10 UTC

In the Derde Divisie table, Excelsior Maassluis sit 2nd with 23 points from 10 games, while TOGB are 14th with 9 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	ACV	10	7	2	1	26:10	+16	23
1	Noordwijk	10	8	1	1	22:2	+20	25
2	VV Scherpenzeel	10	7	2	1	18:10	+8	23
2	Excelsior Maassluis	10	7	2	1	21:7	+14	23
3	Harkemase Boys	10	7	2	1	20:14	+6	23
3	FC Lisse	9	7	1	1	16:6	+10	22
4	Excelsior '31	10	7	1	2	28:9	+19	22
4	Rijnvogels	10	6	2	2	25:12	+13	20
5	SC Genemuiden	10	7	0	3	22:15	+7	21
5	UDI '19	9	5	2	2	18:9	+9	17
6	TEC	10	6	2	2	29:17	+12	20
6	Zwaluwen	10	5	1	4	11:14	-3	16
7	Sportlust '46	10	5	4	1	18:14	+4	19
7	Poortugaal	10	5	0	5	12:14	-2	15
8	Purmersteijn	10	5	3	2	19:12	+7	18
8	GOES	9	4	2	3	17:19	-2	14
9	Sparta Nijkerk	10	4	2	4	22:21	+1	14
9	Dongen	9	4	1	4	21:21	0	13
10	Hoogeveen	10	4	1	5	24:23	+1	13
10	Gemert	10	3	4	3	14:17	-3	13
11	ADO '20	10	4	1	5	19:21	-2	13
11	Blauw Geel	10	3	3	4	14:14	0	12
12	Hercules	10	3	1	6	12:22	-10	10
12	Roosendaal	9	3	0	6	15:20	-5	9
13	Staphorst	10	2	3	5	16:21	-5	9
13	Groene Ster	9	2	3	4	14:21	-7	9
14	Eemdijk	9	2	1	6	13:28	-15	7
14	TOGB	10	2	3	5	16:24	-8	9
15	DVS 33 Ermelo	10	1	3	6	13:19	-6	6
15	UNA	9	1	5	3	12:14	-2	8
16	Dovo	10	1	2	7	12:25	-13	5
16	Vvsb	10	2	2	6	13:21	-8	8
17	Hollandia	9	1	1	7	16:27	-11	4
17	Achilles Veen	10	2	0	8	8:22	-14	6
18	SVZW	10	0	1	9	9:28	-19	1
18	EVV	9	0	2	7	8:20	-12	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.60X22%4.14222%4.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.83 → 1.60 -12.6%X3.91 → 4.14 +5.9%23.29 → 4.14 +25.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
1xBet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Pinnacle	1.43	2.42	11.3%
Best of all books	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Average	1.44	2.48	9.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.46	2.46	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.41	10.0%
William Hill	1.44	2.45	10.3%
Best of all books	1.46	2.46	9.1%
Average	1.45	2.44	9.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Excelsior Maassluis 45%Draw 45%TOGB 10%

The statistical model rated Excelsior Maassluis at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and TOGB at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.60 | 4.14 | 4.14, which imply roughly 62.5% for a Excelsior Maassluis win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Derde Divisie table: Excelsior Maassluis are 2nd (23 pts, 21-7 goals), TOGB 14th (9 pts, 16-24).

Over their last five matches, Excelsior Maassluis averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; TOGB averaged 2 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Excelsior Maassluis or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.66	3.90	3.95

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.99	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.69

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.45	2.44

1st half

1	X	2
2.14	2.41	4.21

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.56	17.0	2.40

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.0
1.5	1.12	5.00
2.5	1.44	2.48
3.5	2.09	1.62
4.5	3.50	1.22
5.5	6.50	1.08

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.14	4.40
2.25	1.28	3.08
2.75	1.53	2.24
3	1.67	1.99
3.25	1.88	1.77
3.75	2.37	1.46
4	2.86	1.32
4.25	3.20	1.26
5	5.75	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.51	1.41
-1.25	2.27	1.51
-1	2.02	1.66
-0.75	1.77	1.86
-0.5	1.70	2.00
-0.25	1.43	2.44

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.75	1.02
-3	8.90	1.01
-2.5	4.80	1.12
-2	4.05	1.16
-1.75	3.08	1.28
0	1.26	3.20
+0.25	1.19	3.79
+0.75	1.16	4.10
+1	1.01	8.65
+1.5	1.04	8.10

Latest Derde Divisie results

18 Oct	GOES 2-6 FC Lisse
18 Oct	EVV 3-3 Roosendaal
17 Oct	Gemert 2-0 Achilles Veen
17 Oct	Hoogeveen 1-4 ACV
11 Oct	Groene Ster 2-1 GOES
10 Oct	Vvsb 0-2 Blauw Geel