TOGB vs Roosendaal• Derde Divisie, Netherlands

#141.4:2.24-3FT03/101.4:2.0#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.061XBX4.601XB21.981XBMargin at best4.9%Books5Markets38Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 06:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.06	4.60	1.98	4.9%
Betano	3.00	3.75	1.95	11.3%
Marathonbet	3.02	3.82	1.89	12.2%
Pinnacle	3.01	3.71	1.91	12.5%
William Hill	3.00	3.50	1.95	13.2%
Best of all books	3.06	4.60	1.98	4.9%
Average	3.02	3.88	1.94	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TOGBRoosendaal

Last 10#14Table position#120.89Points per game1.136Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 51.42.2Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5048Defence rating5240Form rating6080H2H rating2049Goals model5154Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:13 UTC

TOGB

3W 2D 5L · goals 20:26 · per match 2.0 for, 2.6 against

3 Oct	H	Roosendaal	4-3	W
26 Sep	A	Achilles Veen	1-0	W
23 Sep	H	ROHDA Raalte	4-6	L
19 Sep	H	Noordwijk	0-3	L
12 Sep	A	FC Lisse	2-3	L
5 Sep	H	Groene Ster	3-3	D
2 Sep	H	Katwijk	3-2	W
30 Aug	A	UDI '19	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Poortugaal	1-3	L
16 Aug	A	UNA	1-1	D

Roosendaal

5W 0D 5L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against

26 Sep	H	Vvsb	3-1	W
22 Sep	A	Eemdijk	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Excelsior Maassluis	0-5	L
12 Sep	H	Blauw Geel	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Achilles Veen	3-0	W
2 Sep	A	GSV 28	4-0	W
29 Aug	A	Noordwijk	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	FC Lisse	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	Groene Ster	3-1	W
23 May	H	UDI '19	4-3	W

Head to head

1TOGB wins

1draws

0Roosendaal wins

2 meetings · goals 4:3 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for TOGB

19 Apr 2026Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	Roosendaal1-1TOGB
16 Nov 2025Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	TOGB3-2Roosendaal

Derde Divisie tableDerde Divisieupdated 10 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the Derde Divisie table, TOGB sit 14th with 8 points from 9 games, while Roosendaal are 12th with 9 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	VV Scherpenzeel	9	7	1	1	17:9	+8	22
1	Noordwijk	9	7	1	1	19:2	+17	22
2	SC Genemuiden	9	7	0	2	22:10	+12	21
2	FC Lisse	9	7	1	1	16:6	+10	22
3	ACV	9	6	2	1	22:9	+13	20
3	Rijnvogels	9	6	2	1	25:9	+16	20
4	Harkemase Boys	9	6	2	1	17:12	+5	20
4	Excelsior Maassluis	9	6	2	1	19:9	+10	20
5	Excelsior '31	9	6	1	2	23:9	+14	19
5	UDI '19	8	4	2	2	14:9	+5	14
6	TEC	9	6	1	2	28:16	+12	19
6	GOES	8	4	2	2	16:17	-1	14
7	Sportlust '46	9	4	4	1	16:13	+3	16
7	Dongen	8	4	1	3	21:17	+4	13
8	Purmersteijn	9	4	3	2	16:12	+4	15
8	Zwaluwen	8	4	1	3	7:10	-3	13
9	Sparta Nijkerk	9	4	2	3	22:18	+4	14
9	Poortugaal	9	4	0	5	9:13	-4	12
10	Hoogeveen	9	4	1	4	23:19	+4	13
10	Gemert	9	2	4	3	12:17	-5	10
11	ADO '20	9	4	1	4	18:19	-1	13
11	Blauw Geel	8	2	3	3	11:11	0	9
12	Hercules	9	3	1	5	12:20	-8	10
12	Roosendaal	8	3	0	5	13:16	-3	9
13	DVS 33 Ermelo	9	1	3	5	12:17	-5	6
13	UNA	9	1	5	3	12:14	-2	8
14	Staphorst	9	1	3	5	14:20	-6	6
14	TOGB	9	2	2	5	15:21	-6	8
15	Dovo	9	1	2	6	10:22	-12	5
15	Vvsb	8	2	1	5	10:16	-6	7
16	Eemdijk	8	1	1	6	11:28	-17	4
16	Groene Ster	8	1	3	4	12:20	-8	6
17	Hollandia	8	0	1	7	15:27	-12	1
17	Achilles Veen	9	2	0	7	8:20	-12	6
18	SVZW	9	0	1	8	9:27	-18	1
18	EVV	9	0	2	7	8:20	-12	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.03X23%3.90247%1.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.30	3.30	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.28	3.08	10.6%
Best of all books	1.30	3.30	7.2%
Average	1.29	3.19	8.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.30	3.10	9.2%
1xBet	1.28	3.21	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.28	3.12	10.2%
Best of all books	1.30	3.21	8.1%
Average	1.29	3.14	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

TOGB 35%Draw 35%Roosendaal 30%

The statistical model rated TOGB at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Roosendaal at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.03 | 3.90 | 1.94, which imply roughly 33% for a TOGB win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Derde Divisie table: TOGB are 14th (8 pts, 15-21 goals), Roosendaal 12th (9 pts, 13-16).

Over their last five matches, TOGB averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Roosendaal averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : TOGB or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.02	3.88	1.94

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.69	1.29	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
2.25	1.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.29	3.14

1st half

1	X	2
3.34	2.59	2.37

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.10	27.0	1.64

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.03	7.80
2.5	1.29	3.19
3.5	1.77	1.93
4.5	2.64	1.42
5.5	4.35	1.17
6.5	8.35	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.07	5.90
2.75	1.34	2.82
3	1.42	2.53
3.25	1.61	2.18
3.75	1.92	1.73
4	2.19	1.55
4.25	2.46	1.47
4.75	3.14	1.27
5	3.94	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.64	1.39
0	2.36	1.49
+0.25	1.97	1.69
+0.5	1.76	1.90
+0.75	1.59	2.12
+1	1.42	2.51

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.70	1.08
-1	4.95	1.11
-0.75	3.58	1.21
+1.25	1.34	2.80
+1.5	1.28	3.08
+2	1.10	5.10
+2.5	1.07	5.80