Dovo vs ADO '20• Derde Divisie, Netherlands

#161.0:2.61-3FT03/101.6:2.4#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.261XBX4.101XB22.78PINMargin at best4.6%Books5Markets38Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 06:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.25	4.20	2.72	5.0%
Betano	2.20	3.45	2.72	11.2%
Marathonbet	2.14	3.54	2.69	12.2%
William Hill	2.25	3.25	2.70	12.3%
Pinnacle	2.16	3.40	2.71	12.6%
Best of all books	2.25	4.20	2.72	5.0%
Average	2.20	3.57	2.71	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DovoADO '20

Last 10#16Table position#110.50Points per game1.303Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 51.62.6Goals against · last 52.438Attack rating6248Defence rating5243Form rating5750H2H rating5039Goals model6142Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Oct 13:41 UTC

Dovo

3W 2D 5L · goals 14:21 · per match 1.4 for, 2.1 against

26 Sep	A	Excelsior '31	0-3	L
22 Sep	A	Koninklijke HFC	1-3	L
19 Sep	A	Sportlust '46	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Hoogeveen	1-4	L
5 Sep	A	Purmersteijn	2-1	W
2 Sep	A	Surhusterfean	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	VV Scherpenzeel	2-3	L
22 Aug	A	SVZW	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	Staphorst	2-2	D
1 Aug	A	Eemdijk	3-1	W

ADO '20

3W 2D 5L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against

27 Sep	H	Hoogeveen	1-5	L
20 Sep	A	Purmersteijn	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	VV Scherpenzeel	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	SVZW	6-4	W
1 Sep	H	Excelsior Maassluis	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Staphorst	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	Eemdijk	1-4	L
16 Aug	H	Hercules	3-1	W
8 Aug	H	Koninklijke HFC	1-0	W
6 Jun	A	Ijsselmeervogels	0-1	L

Head to head

1Dovo wins

0draws

1ADO '20 wins

2 meetings · goals 1:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Dovo

23 May 2026Derde Divisie	Derde Divisie	Dovo1-0ADO '20
13 Dec 2025Derde Divisie	Derde Divisie	ADO '202-0Dovo

Derde Divisie tableDerde Divisieupdated 18 Oct 14:10 UTC

In the Derde Divisie table, Dovo sit 16th with 5 points from 10 games, while ADO '20 are 11th with 13 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	ACV	10	7	2	1	26:10	+16	23
1	Noordwijk	10	8	1	1	22:2	+20	25
2	VV Scherpenzeel	10	7	2	1	18:10	+8	23
2	Excelsior Maassluis	10	7	2	1	21:7	+14	23
3	Harkemase Boys	10	7	2	1	20:14	+6	23
3	FC Lisse	9	7	1	1	16:6	+10	22
4	Excelsior '31	10	7	1	2	28:9	+19	22
4	Rijnvogels	10	6	2	2	25:12	+13	20
5	SC Genemuiden	10	7	0	3	22:15	+7	21
5	UDI '19	9	5	2	2	18:9	+9	17
6	TEC	10	6	2	2	29:17	+12	20
6	Zwaluwen	10	5	1	4	11:14	-3	16
7	Sportlust '46	10	5	4	1	18:14	+4	19
7	Poortugaal	10	5	0	5	12:14	-2	15
8	Purmersteijn	10	5	3	2	19:12	+7	18
8	GOES	9	4	2	3	17:19	-2	14
9	Sparta Nijkerk	10	4	2	4	22:21	+1	14
9	Dongen	9	4	1	4	21:21	0	13
10	Hoogeveen	10	4	1	5	24:23	+1	13
10	Gemert	10	3	4	3	14:17	-3	13
11	ADO '20	10	4	1	5	19:21	-2	13
11	Blauw Geel	10	3	3	4	14:14	0	12
12	Hercules	10	3	1	6	12:22	-10	10
12	Roosendaal	9	3	0	6	15:20	-5	9
13	Staphorst	10	2	3	5	16:21	-5	9
13	Groene Ster	9	2	3	4	14:21	-7	9
14	Eemdijk	9	2	1	6	13:28	-15	7
14	TOGB	10	2	3	5	16:24	-8	9
15	DVS 33 Ermelo	10	1	3	6	13:19	-6	6
15	UNA	9	1	5	3	12:14	-2	8
16	Dovo	10	1	2	7	12:25	-13	5
16	Vvsb	10	2	2	6	13:21	-8	8
17	Hollandia	9	1	1	7	16:27	-11	4
17	Achilles Veen	10	2	0	8	8:22	-14	6
18	SVZW	10	0	1	9	9:28	-19	1
18	EVV	9	0	2	7	8:20	-12	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.22X26%3.45233%2.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.20 → 2.22 +0.9%X3.57 → 3.45 -3.4%22.71 → 2.76 +1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.47	2.61	6.3%
Pinnacle	1.46	2.45	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Best of all books	1.47	2.61	6.3%
Average	1.45	2.51	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.39	2.69	9.1%
William Hill	1.40	2.62	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.63	10.0%
Best of all books	1.40	2.69	8.6%
Average	1.39	2.65	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Dovo 10%Draw 45%ADO '20 45%

The statistical model rated Dovo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and ADO '20 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 3.45 | 2.76, which imply roughly 29% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Derde Divisie table: Dovo are 16th (5 pts, 12-25 goals), ADO '20 11th (13 pts, 19-21).

Over their last five matches, Dovo averaged 1 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; ADO '20 averaged 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or ADO '20 and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.20	3.57	2.71

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.54	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.65	2.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.39	2.65

1st half

1	X	2
2.67	2.38	3.19

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.77	17.8	2.00

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.10	5.53
2.5	1.45	2.51
3.5	2.11	1.64
4.5	3.45	1.25
5.5	6.37	1.07

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.15	4.20
2.25	1.32	3.09
2.75	1.54	2.21
3	1.69	1.97
3.25	1.93	1.77
3.75	2.41	1.46
4	2.91	1.32
4.25	3.28	1.27
5	5.75	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.46	1.44
-0.5	2.15	1.61
-0.25	1.89	1.76
0	1.65	2.06
+0.25	1.48	2.34
+0.5	1.39	2.67

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.70	1.02
-2	6.95	1.04
-1.5	3.88	1.18
-1.25	3.50	1.22
-1	3.11	1.28
+0.75	1.26	3.20
+1	1.14	4.40
+1.5	1.10	5.20

Latest Derde Divisie results

18 Oct	GOES 2-6 FC Lisse
18 Oct	EVV 3-3 Roosendaal
17 Oct	Gemert 2-0 Achilles Veen
17 Oct	Hoogeveen 1-4 ACV
11 Oct	Groene Ster 2-1 GOES
10 Oct	Vvsb 0-2 Blauw Geel