Calasancio vs Cenicero• Tercera División RFEF - Group 16, Spain

#131.0:1.415:30Tomorrow0.8:2.2#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.971XBX3.50B36523.90B365Margin at best5.0%Books6Markets41Rating66 · 35Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.97	3.20	3.74	8.7%
Betano	1.90	3.40	3.70	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.95	3.24	3.60	9.9%
Dafabet	1.91	3.35	3.60	10.0%
Bet365	1.73	3.50	3.90	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.83	3.30	3.65	12.3%
Best of all books	1.97	3.50	3.90	5.0%
Average	1.88	3.33	3.70	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CalasancioCenicero

Last 10#13Table position#161.10Points per game0.606Form pts · last 511.0Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 52.256Attack rating4461Defence rating3986Form rating140H2H rating059Goals model4166Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 19:30 UTC

Calasancio

3W 2D 5L · goals 12:19 · per match 1.2 for, 1.9 against

8 Nov	A	River Ebro	3-1	W
31 Oct	H	Berceo	0-1	L
25 Oct	A	Comillas	2-0	W
18 Oct	H	Varea	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Vianés	0-4	L
4 Oct	H	Casalarreina	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Calahorra	0-5	L
18 Sep	H	Anguiano	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Haro Deportivo	3-4	L
6 Sep	H	Alfaro	2-2	D

Cenicero

1W 3D 6L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against

8 Nov	H	Agoncillo	2-2	D
1 Nov	A	Oyonesa	1-4	L
25 Oct	H	La Calzada	0-1	L
18 Oct	A	Pradejón	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	San Marcial	1-3	L
3 Oct	A	Yagüe	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	River Ebro	2-3	L
20 Sep	H	Berceo	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Comillas	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Varea	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Calasancio and Cenicero on record.

Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 tableTercera: Group 16updated 14 Nov 19:31 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 table, Calasancio sit 13th with 11 points from 10 games, while Cenicero are 16th with 6 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Haro Deportivo	10	8	1	1	25:15	+10	25
2	La Calzada	10	8	0	2	16:11	+5	24
3	Alfaro	10	7	1	2	15:9	+6	22
4	Calahorra	10	7	0	3	29:11	+18	21
5	Varea	10	5	4	1	10:5	+5	19
6	Berceo	10	6	0	4	22:14	+8	18
7	Anguiano	10	5	2	3	16:9	+7	17
8	Oyonesa	10	5	2	3	15:11	+4	17
9	Agoncillo	10	4	4	2	20:14	+6	16
10	San Marcial	10	4	3	3	12:8	+4	15
11	Pradejón	10	4	1	5	10:13	-3	13
12	Yagüe	10	4	0	6	13:22	-9	12
13	Calasancio	10	3	2	5	12:19	-7	11
14	River Ebro	10	2	1	7	10:22	-12	7
15	Comillas	10	1	3	6	8:15	-7	6
16	Cenicero	10	1	3	6	10:18	-8	6
17	Vianés	10	1	1	8	11:20	-9	4
18	Casalarreina	10	1	0	9	9:27	-18	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.88X27%3.33225%3.70

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.94	1.81	6.8%
1xBet	1.92	1.79	7.9%
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	1.94	1.90	4.2%
Average	1.90	1.83	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.80	1.92	7.6%
Betano	1.72	1.95	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.90	9.8%
Best of all books	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Average	1.76	1.92	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Calasancio 45%Draw 45%Cenicero 10%

The statistical model rates Calasancio at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cenicero at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.88 | 3.33 | 3.70, which imply roughly 53.2% for a Calasancio win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 table: Calasancio are 13th (11 pts, 12-19 goals), Cenicero 16th (6 pts, 10-18).

Over their last five matches, Calasancio averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Cenicero averaged 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Calasancio or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.88	3.33	3.70

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.82	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.37	2.95

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
2.45	2.11	4.29

2nd half

1	X	2
2.26	2.45	3.84

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.95	15.0	35.7
HT X	4.78	5.27	8.40
HT 2	23.7	16.0	6.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.63	9.50	2.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.00
1.5	1.27	3.23
2.5	1.90	1.83
3.5	3.10	1.30
4.5	5.70	1.10

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.70
1.75	1.34	2.90
2	1.45	2.51
2.25	1.67	2.04
2.75	2.15	1.61
3	2.58	1.42
3.25	2.91	1.34
3.75	3.92	1.18
4	5.23	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.06	1.31
-1	2.73	1.38
-0.75	2.11	1.66
-0.5	1.91	1.83
-0.25	1.64	2.08
0	1.40	2.66

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.10	1.04
-2	6.20	1.06
-1.75	4.30	1.15
-1.5	3.42	1.25
+0.25	1.30	3.11
+1	1.03	7.40
+1.5	1.01	8.40

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 results

14 Nov	Agoncillo 1-1 San Marcial
8 Nov	Berceo 1-3 Alfaro
8 Nov	Varea 2-0 Anguiano
1 Nov	Agoncillo 1-0 River Ebro
25 Oct	Berceo 1-3 Agoncillo