Agoncillo vs River Ebro• Tercera División RFEF - Group 16, Spain

#92.4:1.01-0FT01/111.6:1.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.42B365X4.30DAF27.501XBMargin at best7.0%Books7Markets47Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.42	4.25	6.70	8.9%
Dafabet	1.39	4.30	6.80	9.9%
Pinnacle	1.41	4.25	6.28	10.4%
1xBet	1.35	4.25	7.50	10.9%
William Hill	1.40	3.90	7.00	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.34	4.25	7.10	12.2%
Bet365	1.42	4.20	5.50	12.4%
Best of all books	1.42	4.30	7.50	7.0%
Average	1.39	4.20	6.70	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AgoncilloRiver Ebro

Last 10#9Table position#141.60Points per game0.708Form pts · last 572.4Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 51.660Attack rating4062Defence rating3859Form rating4162H2H rating3880Goals model2066Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 16:30 UTC

Agoncillo

4W 4D 2L · goals 20:14 · per match 2.0 for, 1.4 against

8 Nov	A	Cenicero	2-2	D
1 Nov	H	River Ebro	1-0	W
25 Oct	A	Berceo	3-1	W
17 Oct	H	Comillas	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	Varea	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Vianés	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Casalarreina	5-1	W
18 Sep	H	Calahorra	3-5	L
13 Sep	A	Anguiano	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Haro Deportivo	1-1	D

River Ebro

3W 1D 6L · goals 10:20 · per match 1.0 for, 2.0 against

25 Oct	H	Oyonesa	2-1	W
18 Oct	A	La Calzada	1-2	L
8 Oct	H	Pradejón	1-2	L
4 Oct	A	San Marcial	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Cenicero	3-2	W
18 Sep	A	Yagüe	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	Berceo	0-7	L
6 Sep	H	Comillas	1-2	L
11 May	H	Vianés	0-2	L
4 May	A	Peña Balsamaiso	1-0	W

Head to head

2Agoncillo wins

4draws

2River Ebro wins

8 meetings · goals 7:6 · last 8: 2W 4D 2L for Agoncillo

16 Feb 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	River Ebro0-0Agoncillo
5 Oct 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Agoncillo2-0River Ebro
12 Mar 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	River Ebro0-0Agoncillo
5 Nov 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Agoncillo3-1River Ebro
3 Apr 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Agoncillo0-1River Ebro
21 Nov 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	River Ebro3-1Agoncillo
23 May 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	River Ebro1-1Agoncillo
18 Apr 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Agoncillo0-0River Ebro

Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 tableTercera: Group 16updated 13 Nov 16:30 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 table, Agoncillo sit 9th with 16 points from 10 games, while River Ebro are 14th with 7 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Haro Deportivo	10	8	1	1	25:15	+10	25
2	La Calzada	10	8	0	2	16:11	+5	24
3	Alfaro	10	7	1	2	15:9	+6	22
4	Calahorra	10	7	0	3	29:11	+18	21
5	Varea	10	5	4	1	10:5	+5	19
6	Berceo	10	6	0	4	22:14	+8	18
7	Anguiano	10	5	2	3	16:9	+7	17
8	Oyonesa	10	5	2	3	15:11	+4	17
9	Agoncillo	10	4	4	2	20:14	+6	16
10	San Marcial	10	4	3	3	12:8	+4	15
11	Pradejón	10	4	1	5	10:13	-3	13
12	Yagüe	10	4	0	6	13:22	-9	12
13	Calasancio	10	3	2	5	12:19	-7	11
14	River Ebro	10	2	1	7	10:22	-12	7
15	Comillas	10	1	3	6	8:15	-7	6
16	Cenicero	10	1	3	6	10:18	-8	6
17	Vianés	10	1	1	8	11:20	-9	4
18	Casalarreina	10	1	0	9	9:27	-18	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.39X22%4.20213%6.70

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.27 → 1.39 +9.4%X5.00 → 4.20 -16.0%27.50 → 6.70 -10.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.75	1.97	7.9%
Betano	1.72	2.00	8.1%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Best of all books	1.75	2.25	1.6%
Average	1.70	2.04	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.91	1.77	8.9%
Betano	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.91	1.74	9.8%
Best of all books	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Average	1.91	1.77	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Agoncillo 50%Draw 50%River Ebro 0%

The statistical model rated Agoncillo at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and River Ebro at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 4.20 | 6.70, which imply roughly 71.9% for a Agoncillo win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 table: Agoncillo are 9th (16 pts, 20-14 goals), River Ebro 14th (7 pts, 10-22).

Over their last five matches, Agoncillo averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; River Ebro averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Agoncillo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.39	4.20	6.70

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	2.75	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.14	4.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.91	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
1.85	2.36	6.60

2nd half

1	X	2
1.70	2.76	6.07

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.04	19.5	53.7
HT X	4.03	6.70	14.0
HT 2	20.0	19.5	11.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.34	14.1	3.39

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.0
1.5	1.20	3.73
2.5	1.70	2.04
3.5	2.74	1.37
4.5	4.95	1.12
5.5	9.55	1.05

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.24	3.34
2	1.32	2.93
2.25	1.52	2.29
2.75	1.90	1.77
3	2.17	1.59
3.25	2.49	1.43
3.75	3.34	1.24
4	4.45	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.36	1.54
-1.5	2.11	1.66
-1.25	1.90	1.81
-1	1.64	2.08
-0.75	1.47	2.39
-0.5	1.39	2.72

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.00	1.02
-3	7.10	1.04
-2.5	3.86	1.18
-2.25	3.50	1.22
-2	3.12	1.28
-0.25	1.22	3.50
0	1.08	5.55

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 matches

14 Nov

Agoncillo – San Marcial

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 results

8 Nov	Varea 2-0 Anguiano
8 Nov	Berceo 1-3 Alfaro
25 Oct	Berceo 1-3 Agoncillo