Berceo vs Agoncillo• Tercera División RFEF - Group 16, Spain

#62.0:1.41-3FT25/102.4:1.8#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.40BTNX3.60BFR22.75WHMargin at best5.8%Books8Markets39Rating57 · 44Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.40	3.35	2.67	9.0%
Dafabet	2.39	3.25	2.65	10.3%
Pinnacle	2.35	3.19	2.74	10.4%
Betfair	2.30	3.60	2.55	10.5%
1xBet	2.30	3.22	2.75	10.9%
Bet365	2.38	3.30	2.55	11.5%
William Hill	2.38	3.00	2.75	11.7%
Marathonbet	2.28	3.22	2.68	12.2%
Best of all books	2.40	3.60	2.75	5.8%
Average	2.35	3.27	2.67	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BerceoAgoncillo

Last 10#6Table position#91.80Points per game1.609Form pts · last 582.0Goals for · last 52.41.4Goals against · last 51.845Attack rating5556Defence rating4456Form rating4462H2H rating3870Goals model3057Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 03:01 UTC

Berceo

6W 0D 4L · goals 22:13 · per match 2.2 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	A	Calasancio	1-0	W
25 Oct	H	Agoncillo	1-3	L
18 Oct	A	Oyonesa	0-2	L
11 Oct	H	La Calzada	5-1	W
4 Oct	A	Pradejón	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	San Marcial	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Cenicero	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	River Ebro	7-0	W
5 Sep	A	Yagüe	2-1	W
10 May	A	Autol	1-2	L

Agoncillo

4W 4D 2L · goals 20:14 · per match 2.0 for, 1.4 against

8 Nov	A	Cenicero	2-2	D
1 Nov	H	River Ebro	1-0	W
25 Oct	A	Berceo	3-1	W
17 Oct	H	Comillas	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	Varea	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Vianés	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Casalarreina	5-1	W
18 Sep	H	Calahorra	3-5	L
13 Sep	A	Anguiano	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Haro Deportivo	1-1	D

Head to head

3Berceo wins

4draws

3Agoncillo wins

10 meetings · goals 13:15 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Berceo

21 Mar 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Agoncillo0-0Berceo
8 Nov 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Berceo1-6Agoncillo
26 Jan 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Agoncillo0-1Berceo
15 Sep 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Berceo4-0Agoncillo
19 Mar 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Agoncillo1-1Berceo
20 Nov 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Berceo1-0Agoncillo
6 Feb 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Berceo0-1Agoncillo
25 Sep 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Agoncillo1-1Berceo
7 Feb 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Berceo2-4Agoncillo
7 Nov 2020Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Agoncillo2-2Berceo

Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 tableTercera: Group 16updated 13 Nov 16:30 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 table, Berceo sit 6th with 18 points from 10 games, while Agoncillo are 9th with 16 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Haro Deportivo	10	8	1	1	25:15	+10	25
2	La Calzada	10	8	0	2	16:11	+5	24
3	Alfaro	10	7	1	2	15:9	+6	22
4	Calahorra	10	7	0	3	29:11	+18	21
5	Varea	10	5	4	1	10:5	+5	19
6	Berceo	10	6	0	4	22:14	+8	18
7	Anguiano	10	5	2	3	16:9	+7	17
8	Oyonesa	10	5	2	3	15:11	+4	17
9	Agoncillo	10	4	4	2	20:14	+6	16
10	San Marcial	10	4	3	3	12:8	+4	15
11	Pradejón	10	4	1	5	10:13	-3	13
12	Yagüe	10	4	0	6	13:22	-9	12
13	Calasancio	10	3	2	5	12:19	-7	11
14	River Ebro	10	2	1	7	10:22	-12	7
15	Comillas	10	1	3	6	8:15	-7	6
16	Cenicero	10	1	3	6	10:18	-8	6
17	Vianés	10	1	1	8	11:20	-9	4
18	Casalarreina	10	1	0	9	9:27	-18	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.35X28%3.27234%2.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.68	2.08	7.6%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Best of all books	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Average	1.68	2.07	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Betano	1.55	2.27	8.6%
1xBet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.24	10.0%
Best of all books	1.60	2.29	6.2%
Average	1.56	2.25	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Berceo 45%Draw 45%Agoncillo 10%

The statistical model rated Berceo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Agoncillo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.35 | 3.27 | 2.67, which imply roughly 42.6% for a Berceo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 table: Berceo are 6th (18 pts, 22-14 goals), Agoncillo 9th (16 pts, 20-14).

Over their last five matches, Berceo averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Agoncillo averaged 2.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Berceo or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.35	3.27	2.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.51	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.78	1.92

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
2.87	2.20	3.19

2nd half

1	X	2
2.60	2.53	2.96

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.78	13.3	25.3
HT X	5.87	5.53	6.50
HT 2	23.7	14.5	4.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.87	12.5	2.00

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.0
1.5	1.19	3.87
2.5	1.68	2.07
3.5	2.59	1.41
4.5	4.55	1.14
5.5	8.35	1.06

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.70
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.28	3.13
2.25	1.47	2.40
2.75	1.83	1.84
3	2.09	1.63
3.25	2.35	1.50
3.75	3.08	1.28
4	4.00	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.71	1.37
-0.5	2.31	1.54
-0.25	1.94	1.78
0	1.74	2.00
+0.25	1.51	2.33
+0.5	1.41	2.69

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.30	1.01
-1.5	4.35	1.14
-1.25	3.96	1.17
-1	3.50	1.22
+0.75	1.27	3.22
+1	1.13	4.50
+1.5	1.09	5.35

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 matches

14 Nov

Agoncillo – San Marcial

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 results

8 Nov	Varea 2-0 Anguiano
8 Nov	Berceo 1-3 Alfaro
1 Nov	Agoncillo 1-0 River Ebro