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Varea vs Anguiano• Tercera División RFEF - Group 16, Spain

#51.0:0.62-0FT08/112.4:0.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.38WHX3.25B36523.10B365Margin at best5.0%Books7Markets39Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.273.153.009.1%
Pinnacle2.343.002.969.9%
Dafabet2.233.103.059.9%
1xBet2.243.023.0111.0%
Bet3652.203.202.8811.4%
William Hill2.382.902.8012.2%
Marathonbet2.223.022.9312.3%
Best of all books2.383.203.056.1%
Average2.273.062.9510.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VareaAnguiano
Last 10#5Table position#71.90Points per game1.709Form pts · last 5121.0Goals for · last 52.40.6Goals against · last 50.629Attack rating7150Defence rating5045Form rating5538H2H rating62100Goals model040Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 03:01 UTC

Varea

4W 4D 2L · goals 8:8 · per match 0.8 for, 0.8 against

1 NovAHaro Deportivo1-2L
29 OctHFC Andorra0-3L
25 OctHAlfaro1-0W
18 OctACalasancio1-0W
11 OctHAgoncillo1-0W
4 OctAOyonesa1-1D
27 SepHLa Calzada1-0W
20 SepAPradejón1-1D
13 SepHSan Marcial0-0D
6 SepACenicero1-1D

Anguiano

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:7 · per match 1.8 for, 0.7 against

1 NovHVianés3-0W
25 OctACasalarreina2-1W
18 OctHCalahorra3-0W
10 OctHYagüe3-0W
4 OctAHaro Deportivo1-2L
27 SepHAlfaro1-2L
18 SepACalasancio0-0D
13 SepHAgoncillo1-1D
6 SepAOyonesa2-1W
10 MayASan Marcial2-0W

Head to head

6Varea wins
6draws
4Anguiano wins

16 meetings · goals 22:19 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Varea

26 Apr 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Varea0-0Anguiano
21 Dec 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Anguiano1-2Varea
26 May 2024Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offsTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offsAnguiano2-1Varea
19 May 2024Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offsTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offsVarea1-1Anguiano
4 Feb 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Varea0-2Anguiano
17 Sep 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Anguiano2-1Varea
7 May 2023Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offsTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offsVarea4-2Anguiano
30 Apr 2023Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offsTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offsAnguiano2-3Varea
5 Mar 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Varea2-0Anguiano
29 Oct 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Anguiano1-1Varea

Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 tableTercera: Group 16updated 14 Nov 16:30 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 table, Varea sit 5th with 19 points from 10 games, while Anguiano are 7th with 17 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Haro Deportivo1081125:15+1025
2La Calzada1080216:11+524
3Alfaro1071215:9+622
4Calahorra1070329:11+1821
5Varea1054110:5+519
6Berceo1060422:14+818
7Anguiano1052316:9+717
8Oyonesa1052315:11+417
9Agoncillo1044220:14+616
10San Marcial1043312:8+415
11Pradejón1041510:13-313
12Yagüe1040613:22-912
13Calasancio1032512:19-711
14River Ebro1021710:22-127
15Comillas101368:15-76
16Cenicero1013610:18-86
17Vianés1011811:20-94
18Casalarreina101099:27-183

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.27X30%3.06231%2.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Nov 03:017 Nov 19:011 2.24X 3.072 2.99
12.05 → 2.24 +9.3%X3.25 → 3.07 -5.5%23.10 → 2.99 -3.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.101.706.4%
Pinnacle2.131.667.2%
Betano2.071.678.2%
1xBet2.061.659.1%
Marathonbet2.061.659.1%
Best of all books2.131.705.8%
Average2.081.678.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.851.858.1%
Betano1.801.888.7%
1xBet1.811.869.0%
Marathonbet1.811.839.9%
Best of all books1.851.887.2%
Average1.821.858.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Varea 10%Draw 45%Anguiano 45%

The statistical model rated Varea at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Anguiano at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.27 | 3.06 | 2.95, which imply roughly 32.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 table: Varea are 5th (19 pts, 10-5 goals), Anguiano 7th (17 pts, 16-9).

Over their last five matches, Varea averaged 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Anguiano averaged 2.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Anguiano and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.273.062.95

Double chance

1XX212
1.311.551.29

Draw no bet

12
1.622.16

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.821.86

1st half

1X2
2.882.013.67

2nd half

1X2
2.652.303.30

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.4714.734.3
HT X5.334.687.10
HT 227.015.75.17

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.847.952.26

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.077.03
1.51.342.87
2.52.081.67
3.53.521.22
4.56.901.08
5.519.01.02
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.066.25
1.251.193.75
1.751.432.53
21.562.20
2.251.831.85
2.752.381.48
32.961.31
3.253.281.25
46.251.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.671.39
-0.52.241.59
-0.251.951.77
01.642.11
+0.251.452.48
+0.51.362.88
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-28.601.01
-1.54.401.14
-1.254.001.17
-13.551.22
+0.751.213.58
+11.095.30
+1.51.066.20

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 results

8 NovBerceo 1-3 Alfaro
1 NovAgoncillo 1-0 River Ebro
25 OctBerceo 1-3 Agoncillo