Agoncillo vs San Marcial• Tercera División RFEF - Group 16, Spain

#91.6:1.21-1FTToday1.6:0.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.971XBX3.50B36523.55BTNMargin at best7.5%Books5Markets45Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.95	3.35	3.55	9.3%
Dafabet	1.92	3.40	3.50	10.1%
1xBet	1.97	3.36	3.28	11.0%
Bet365	1.95	3.50	3.10	12.1%
Marathonbet	1.95	3.36	3.20	12.3%
Best of all books	1.97	3.50	3.55	7.5%
Average	1.95	3.39	3.33	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AgoncilloSan Marcial

Last 10#9Table position#101.60Points per game1.508Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5040Defence rating6047Form rating5350H2H rating5034Goals model6645Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 16:30 UTC

Agoncillo

4W 4D 2L · goals 20:14 · per match 2.0 for, 1.4 against

8 Nov	A	Cenicero	2-2	D
1 Nov	H	River Ebro	1-0	W
25 Oct	A	Berceo	3-1	W
17 Oct	H	Comillas	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	Varea	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Vianés	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Casalarreina	5-1	W
18 Sep	H	Calahorra	3-5	L
13 Sep	A	Anguiano	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Haro Deportivo	1-1	D

San Marcial

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:8 · per match 1.2 for, 0.8 against

8 Nov	H	Oyonesa	0-1	L
1 Nov	A	La Calzada	1-2	L
25 Oct	H	Pradejón	1-0	W
17 Oct	A	Yagüe	3-0	W
11 Oct	A	Cenicero	3-1	W
4 Oct	H	River Ebro	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Berceo	1-2	L
18 Sep	H	Comillas	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Varea	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Vianés	1-0	W

Head to head

1Agoncillo wins

0draws

1San Marcial wins

2 meetings · goals 6:6 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Agoncillo

26 Apr 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	San Marcial4-3Agoncillo
21 Dec 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Tercera División RFEF - Group 16	Agoncillo3-2San Marcial

Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 tableTercera: Group 16updated 14 Nov 19:31 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 table, Agoncillo sit 9th with 16 points from 10 games, while San Marcial are 10th with 15 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Haro Deportivo	10	8	1	1	25:15	+10	25
2	La Calzada	10	8	0	2	16:11	+5	24
3	Alfaro	10	7	1	2	15:9	+6	22
4	Calahorra	10	7	0	3	29:11	+18	21
5	Varea	10	5	4	1	10:5	+5	19
6	Berceo	10	6	0	4	22:14	+8	18
7	Anguiano	10	5	2	3	16:9	+7	17
8	Oyonesa	10	5	2	3	15:11	+4	17
9	Agoncillo	10	4	4	2	20:14	+6	16
10	San Marcial	10	4	3	3	12:8	+4	15
11	Pradejón	10	4	1	5	10:13	-3	13
12	Yagüe	10	4	0	6	13:22	-9	12
13	Calasancio	10	3	2	5	12:19	-7	11
14	River Ebro	10	2	1	7	10:22	-12	7
15	Comillas	10	1	3	6	8:15	-7	6
16	Cenicero	10	1	3	6	10:18	-8	6
17	Vianés	10	1	1	8	11:20	-9	4
18	Casalarreina	10	1	0	9	9:27	-18	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.95X27%3.39227%3.33

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.60 → 1.95 +21.9%X3.82 → 3.39 -11.3%24.69 → 3.33 -29.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betano	1.87	1.83	8.1%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.87	1.84	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Betano	1.72	1.95	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.95	9.8%
Best of all books	1.72	1.98	8.6%
Average	1.71	1.96	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Agoncillo 10%Draw 45%San Marcial 45%

The statistical model rated Agoncillo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and San Marcial at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.95 | 3.39 | 3.33, which imply roughly 29.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 table: Agoncillo are 9th (16 pts, 20-14 goals), San Marcial 10th (15 pts, 12-8).

Over their last five matches, Agoncillo averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; San Marcial averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or San Marcial.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.95	3.39	3.33

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.80	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.49	2.45

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	1.96

1st half

1	X	2
2.57	2.14	3.89

2nd half

1	X	2
2.34	2.44	3.55

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.13	14.5	31.3
HT X	5.37	5.50	7.80
HT 2	22.7	15.3	5.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.73	9.55	2.31

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.90
1.5	1.26	3.25
2.5	1.87	1.84
3.5	3.05	1.29
4.5	5.30	1.11
5.5	7.40	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.00
1.75	1.31	2.92
2	1.41	2.52
2.25	1.63	2.05
2.75	2.09	1.62
3	2.49	1.42
3.25	2.82	1.34
3.75	3.82	1.19
4	5.15	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.61	1.44
-0.75	2.11	1.68
-0.5	1.93	1.78
-0.25	1.74	1.96
0	1.48	2.39
+0.25	1.36	2.70

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	9.00	1.01
-2.5	7.50	1.03
-2	6.80	1.04
-1.75	3.78	1.19
-1.5	3.58	1.21
-1.25	3.28	1.25
+0.75	1.18	3.92
+1	1.07	5.90
+1.5	1.04	6.75

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 matches

15 Nov

Calasancio – Cenicero

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 results

8 Nov	Berceo 1-3 Alfaro
8 Nov	Varea 2-0 Anguiano
1 Nov	Agoncillo 1-0 River Ebro
25 Oct	Berceo 1-3 Agoncillo