Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis• J2 League, Japan

#160.4:1.21-0FTToday · ND Soft Stadium Yamagata, Tendo0.4:0.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.46PINX3.25DAF23.05DAFMargin at best4.2%Books10Markets71Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L51.4

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.49	3.24	2.99	4.5%
Dafabet	2.48	3.25	2.95	5.0%
Bet365	2.45	3.20	2.88	6.8%
BetVictor	2.40	3.20	2.88	7.6%
Betano	2.45	3.10	2.85	8.2%
Betfair	2.30	3.10	2.88	10.5%
1xBet	2.34	3.00	2.89	10.7%
William Hill	2.38	3.00	2.80	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.32	3.00	2.82	11.9%
SBO	2.38	2.87	2.60	15.3%
Best of all books	2.49	3.25	2.99	4.4%
Average	2.40	3.10	2.85	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Montedio YamagataTokushima Vortis

Last 10#16Table position#141.14Points per game1.214Form pts · last 540.4Goals for · last 50.41.2Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5040Defence rating6050Form rating5029H2H rating7156Goals model4443Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 03:01 UTC

Montedio Yamagata

2W 1D 7L · goals 6:13 · per match 0.6 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	A	Vanraure Hachinohe	2-1	W
25 Oct	H	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0-2	L
21 Oct	H	Consadole Sapporo	0-2	L
17 Oct	A	Fujieda MYFC	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Vegalta Sendai	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Oita Trinita	1-2	L
29 Sep	H	Yokohama F. Marinos	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Sagan Tosu	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	Kataller Toyama	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	Albirex Niigata	0-1	L

Tokushima Vortis

3W 1D 6L · goals 8:15 · per match 0.8 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	H	Yokohama FC	0-1	L
24 Oct	A	Fujieda MYFC	1-0	W
21 Oct	H	Vanraure Hachinohe	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Vegalta Sendai	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	Imabari	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Albirex Niigata	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Tochigi City	3-0	W
23 Sep	A	Gamba Osaka	0-5	L
19 Sep	A	Ventforet Kofu	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Blaublitz Akita	1-4	L

Head to head

7Montedio Yamagata wins

8draws

8Tokushima Vortis wins

23 meetings · goals 28:33 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Montedio Yamagata

23 Aug 2025J2 League	J2 League	Tokushima Vortis1-0Montedio Yamagata
23 Mar 2025J2 League	J2 League	Montedio Yamagata0-0Tokushima Vortis
11 Aug 2024J2 League	J2 League	Montedio Yamagata1-0Tokushima Vortis
28 Apr 2024J2 League	J2 League	Tokushima Vortis2-1Montedio Yamagata
1 Oct 2023J2 League	J2 League	Montedio Yamagata0-1Tokushima Vortis
17 Jun 2023J2 League	J2 League	Tokushima Vortis1-1Montedio Yamagata
23 Oct 2022J2 League	J2 League	Montedio Yamagata3-0Tokushima Vortis
27 Apr 2022J2 League	J2 League	Tokushima Vortis0-1Montedio Yamagata
15 Nov 2020J2 League	J2 League	Montedio Yamagata0-1Tokushima Vortis
2 Aug 2020J2 League	J2 League	Tokushima Vortis1-0Montedio Yamagata

J2 League tableJ2 Leagueupdated 3 Nov 06:50 UTC

In the J2 League table, Montedio Yamagata sit 16th with 16 points from 14 games, while Tokushima Vortis are 14th with 17 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	14	8	3	3	23:13	+10	27
2	Albirex Niigata	14	8	2	4	21:24	-3	26
3	Kataller Toyama	14	7	4	3	26:14	+12	25
4	Yokohama FC	14	7	4	3	26:16	+10	25
5	Omiya Ardija	14	6	6	2	25:17	+8	24
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	14	6	5	3	21:16	+5	23
7	Shonan Bellmare	14	5	7	2	15:13	+2	22
8	Iwaki	14	6	2	6	23:20	+3	20
9	Consadole Sapporo	14	6	2	6	17:19	-2	20
10	Oita Trinita	14	4	7	3	17:12	+5	19
11	Jubilo Iwata	14	5	4	5	16:15	+1	19
12	Blaublitz Akita	14	4	5	5	15:15	0	17
13	Sagan Tosu	14	5	2	7	14:17	-3	17
14	Tokushima Vortis	14	5	2	7	11:14	-3	17
15	Fujieda MYFC	14	3	7	4	16:15	+1	16
16	Montedio Yamagata	14	5	1	8	13:14	-1	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	14	4	2	8	11:24	-13	14
18	Tochigi City	14	3	3	8	21:25	-4	12
19	Imabari	14	3	3	8	16:27	-11	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	14	3	3	8	11:28	-17	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.40X30%3.10232%2.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.29 → 2.35 +2.6%X3.11 → 3.08 -1.0%22.96 → 2.89 -2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.15	1.72	4.7%
SBO	2.16	1.68	5.8%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betano	2.07	1.70	7.1%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.04	1.67	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.04	1.67	8.9%
BetVictor	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Best of all books	2.16	1.72	4.4%
Average	2.10	1.68	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.87	7.0%
Betano	1.82	1.90	7.6%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.83	1.87	8.1%
1xBet	1.80	1.89	8.5%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.86	9.3%
Best of all books	1.87	1.91	5.8%
Average	1.82	1.88	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Montedio Yamagata 10%Draw 45%Tokushima Vortis 45%

The statistical model rated Montedio Yamagata at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Tokushima Vortis at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.85, which imply roughly 32.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the J2 League table: Montedio Yamagata are 16th (16 pts, 13-14 goals), Tokushima Vortis 14th (17 pts, 11-14).

Over their last five matches, Montedio Yamagata averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Tokushima Vortis averaged 0.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tokushima Vortis and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.40	3.10	2.85

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.51	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.72	2.03

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
3.04	2.02	3.57

2nd half

1	X	2
2.74	2.32	3.22

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.87	13.8	30.8
HT X	5.48	4.56	6.38
HT 2	28.3	13.7	4.79

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.92	7.95	2.13

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.97
1.5	1.34	2.98
2.5	2.10	1.68
3.5	3.74	1.24
4.5	7.53	1.06
5.5	16.1	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	6.85
1	1.06	6.25
1.25	1.19	3.82
1.75	1.43	2.61
2	1.57	2.26
2.25	1.83	1.89
2.75	2.37	1.51
3	2.88	1.32
3.25	3.21	1.27
3.75	4.40	1.14
4	6.05	1.06
4.25	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.84	1.37
-0.5	2.39	1.55
-0.25	2.03	1.72
0	1.70	2.06
+0.25	1.49	2.43
+0.5	1.40	2.84

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.02
-2	8.90	1.01
-1.75	6.17	1.08
-1.5	4.80	1.14
-1.25	4.27	1.17
-1	3.91	1.21
+0.75	1.25	3.54
+1	1.13	5.27
+1.25	1.10	5.60
+1.5	1.09	6.18
+1.75	1.02	7.70
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	4.72
7.5	1.32	2.95
8.5	1.63	2.13
9.5	2.03	1.71
10.5	2.52	1.44
11.5	3.44	1.23
12.5	5.09	1.08

18 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.12	4.50
7	1.14	4.26
7.25	1.22	3.52
7.75	1.33	2.89
8	1.40	2.69
8.25	1.47	2.43
8.75	1.65	2.10
9	1.84	1.92
9.25	1.85	1.85
9.75	2.08	1.66
10	2.29	1.56
10.25	2.39	1.49
10.75	2.77	1.36
11	3.14	1.28
11.25	3.30	1.25
11.75	3.95	1.16
12	4.70	1.11
12.25	4.89	1.09

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