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Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu• J2 League, Japan

#71.0:1.00-1FTToday · Lemon Gas Stadium, Hiratsuka1.2:1.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.95DAFX3.40DAF22.40DAFMargin at best5.0%Books10Markets75Rating53 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.993.422.394.5%
Dafabet2.953.402.405.0%
BetVictor3.003.302.307.1%
Bet3652.903.252.357.8%
Betano2.873.252.377.8%
Betfair2.803.252.3010.0%
1xBet2.843.302.2210.6%
William Hill2.803.102.3011.5%
Marathonbet2.773.302.2011.9%
SBO2.622.882.3615.3%
Best of all books3.003.422.404.2%
Average2.853.252.329.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Shonan BellmareSagan Tosu
Last 10#7Table position#131.57Points per game1.216Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 51.045Attack rating5550Defence rating5040Form rating6060H2H rating4073Goals model2753Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 03:01 UTC

Shonan Bellmare

3W 5D 2L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

31 OctAConsadole Sapporo0-1L
25 OctHTochigi City2-1W
21 OctHIwaki1-1D
17 OctAKataller Toyama1-1D
11 OctHAlbirex Niigata1-1D
7 OctAFC Tokyo0-4L
3 OctAFujieda MYFC1-1D
26 SepAImabari2-1W
19 SepHBlaublitz Akita1-1D
12 SepAVanraure Hachinohe1-0W

Sagan Tosu

5W 0D 5L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

31 OctAJubilo Iwata0-2L
28 OctHKawasaki Frontale0-2L
25 OctHVanraure Hachinohe2-0W
21 OctAAlbirex Niigata1-2L
17 OctHOmiya Ardija2-1W
14 OctHAvispa Fukuoka2-1W
10 OctHFujieda MYFC1-0W
4 OctABlaublitz Akita0-1L
29 SepHTokyo Verdy2-1W
26 SepAMontedio Yamagata0-2L

Head to head

9Shonan Bellmare wins
9draws
6Sagan Tosu wins

24 meetings · goals 30:26 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Shonan Bellmare

6 Jun 2026J2/J3 LeagueJ2/J3 LeagueSagan Tosu1-0Shonan Bellmare
31 Aug 2024J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueSagan Tosu1-2Shonan Bellmare
6 May 2024J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueShonan Bellmare2-1Sagan Tosu
24 Jun 2023J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueShonan Bellmare0-6Sagan Tosu
18 Feb 2023J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueSagan Tosu1-5Shonan Bellmare
29 Oct 2022J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueShonan Bellmare3-0Sagan Tosu
26 Feb 2022J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueSagan Tosu1-1Shonan Bellmare
16 Oct 2021J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueSagan Tosu1-1Shonan Bellmare
27 Feb 2021J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueShonan Bellmare0-1Sagan Tosu
25 Oct 2020J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueSagan Tosu2-2Shonan Bellmare

J2 League tableJ2 Leagueupdated 3 Nov 06:50 UTC

In the J2 League table, Shonan Bellmare sit 7th with 22 points from 14 games, while Sagan Tosu are 13th with 17 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai1483323:13+1027
2Albirex Niigata1482421:24-326
3Kataller Toyama1474326:14+1225
4Yokohama FC1474326:16+1025
5Omiya Ardija1466225:17+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki1465321:16+523
7Shonan Bellmare1457215:13+222
8Iwaki1462623:20+320
9Consadole Sapporo1462617:19-220
10Oita Trinita1447317:12+519
11Jubilo Iwata1454516:15+119
12Blaublitz Akita1445515:15017
13Sagan Tosu1452714:17-317
14Tokushima Vortis1452711:14-317
15Fujieda MYFC1437416:15+116
16Montedio Yamagata1451813:14-116
17Vanraure Hachinohe1442811:24-1314
18Tochigi City1433821:25-412
19Imabari1433816:27-1112
20Ventforet Kofu1433811:28-1712

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.85X28%3.24240%2.32

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

1 Nov 03:001 Nov 15:011 2.84X 3.252 2.30
12.82 → 2.84 +0.7%X3.32 → 3.25 -2.1%22.27 → 2.30 +1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.051.804.3%
SBO2.001.824.9%
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Betano1.981.786.7%
Betfair1.951.758.4%
1xBet1.921.768.9%
Marathonbet1.921.768.9%
BetVictor1.931.759.0%
Best of all books2.051.823.7%
Average1.971.787.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.801.956.8%
Betano1.751.987.6%
BetVictor1.732.007.8%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
1xBet1.741.968.5%
Marathonbet1.741.939.3%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.761.958.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shonan Bellmare 45%Draw 45%Sagan Tosu 10%

The statistical model rated Shonan Bellmare at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sagan Tosu at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.85 | 3.24 | 2.32, which imply roughly 35.1% for a Shonan Bellmare win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the J2 League table: Shonan Bellmare are 7th (22 pts, 15-13 goals), Sagan Tosu 13th (17 pts, 14-17).

Over their last five matches, Shonan Bellmare averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Sagan Tosu averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Shonan Bellmare or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.853.242.32

Double chance

1XX212
1.541.351.28

Draw no bet

12
2.091.68

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.761.95

1st half

1X2
3.512.102.92

2nd half

1X2
3.192.382.65

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.6313.826.4
HT X6.484.995.49
HT 230.313.63.67

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0910.51.83

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.10
1.51.293.27
2.51.971.78
3.53.441.27
4.56.911.08
5.513.51.02
6.529.01.01
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.50
1.251.144.45
1.751.342.84
21.482.45
2.251.722.02
2.752.241.57
32.731.39
3.253.061.29
3.754.301.15
46.051.06
4.256.461.05
4.758.821.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.901.40
-0.252.461.48
02.091.67
+0.251.771.98
+0.51.572.33
+0.751.402.72
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.512.01.02
-1.758.601.01
-1.56.211.09
-1.255.801.09
-15.331.11
-0.753.531.25
+11.233.69
+1.251.194.21
+1.51.154.58
+1.751.086.18
+21.038.10
+2.51.029.60

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.055.86
7.51.193.69
8.51.412.57
9.51.672.10
10.52.021.71
11.52.701.39
12.54.071.15
13.56.111.04
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.065.60
71.075.35
7.251.144.27
7.751.233.44
81.253.26
8.251.342.82
8.751.482.40
91.532.36
9.251.662.09
9.751.851.85
101.921.82
10.252.081.66
10.752.371.50
112.501.47
11.252.761.36
11.753.231.26
123.721.19
12.253.901.17
12.754.721.10
135.701.06
13.255.911.05

Latest J2 League results

3 NovImabari 0-4 Consadole Sapporo
3 NovOmiya Ardija 2-1 Iwaki
3 NovVentforet Kofu 0-1 Albirex Niigata
3 NovMontedio Yamagata 1-0 Tokushima Vortis
3 NovYokohama FC 2-1 Blaublitz Akita
3 NovOita Trinita 1-0 Vanraure Hachinohe