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Modena vs Cesena• Serie B, Italy

#41.4:1.413:00Tomorrow · Alberto Braglia, Modena1.0:1.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57B365X4.30DAF26.00B365Margin at best3.6%Books10Markets77Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 21:52 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.564.305.804.6%
Betano1.574.255.605.1%
Pinnacle1.554.155.885.6%
Bet3651.573.806.006.7%
1xBet1.534.205.597.1%
Marathonbet1.514.205.707.6%
Betfair1.504.205.508.7%
William Hill1.533.905.509.2%
BetVictor1.504.005.509.8%
SBO1.483.714.9414.8%
Best of all books1.574.306.003.6%
Average1.534.075.607.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ModenaCesena
Last 10#4Table position#121.86Points per game1.147Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 51.458Attack rating4250Defence rating5064Form rating3638H2H rating6260Goals model4052Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:03 UTC

Modena

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

17 OctACarrarese1-2L
11 OctHHellas Verona3-2W
20 SepHEmpoli2-1W
12 SepASudtirol1-1D
6 SepHAvellino0-1L
28 AugACremonese3-0W
22 AugABenevento2-1W
15 AugAVenezia2-3L
8 AugHVis Pesaro0-0D
1 AugATrento1-0W

Cesena

2W 6D 2L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

18 OctHAvellino1-1D
10 OctABenevento0-2L
18 SepAJuve Stabia1-1D
12 SepHCremonese2-2D
6 SepHMantova1-1D
29 AugAVirtus Entella2-1W
23 AugHSampdoria1-1D
17 AugASassuolo0-3L
8 AugAForli0-0D
5 AugHVis Pesaro3-0W

Head to head

3Modena wins
3draws
3Cesena wins

9 meetings · goals 6:6 · last 9: 3W 3D 3L for Modena

7 Mar 2026Serie BSerie BModena0-0Cesena
28 Nov 2025Serie BSerie BCesena1-0Modena
13 May 2025Serie BSerie BModena0-1Cesena
13 Sep 2024Serie BSerie BCesena2-2Modena
7 Feb 2022Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BModena1-0Cesena
28 Sep 2021Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BCesena1-2Modena
21 Mar 2021Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BModena1-0Cesena
29 Nov 2020Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BCesena0-0Modena
24 Nov 2019Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BCesena1-0Modena

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Serie B table, Modena sit 4th with 13 points from 7 games, while Cesena are 12th with 8 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Palermo761016:7+919
2Mantova742113:8+514
3Pisa741214:9+513
4Modena741212:8+413
5Sudtirol73319:6+312
6Ascoli73318:5+312
7Avellino732212:8+411
8Benevento732210:7+311
9Arezzo73138:14-610
10Virtus Entella723210:8+29
11Hellas Verona722314:12+28
12Cesena71518:9-18
13Carrarese72146:7-17
14Empoli72147:11-47
15Padova72146:10-47
16Cremonese71336:10-46
17Vicenza Virtus71339:15-66
18Juve Stabia72328:805
19Sampdoria71157:15-84
20Catanzaro71158:14-64

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.53X23%4.07217%5.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0123 Oct 00:001 1.53X 4.072 5.60
11.50 → 1.53 +2.0%X4.22 → 4.07 -3.6%26.01 → 5.60 -6.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.782.074.5%
Pinnacle1.742.124.6%
Betfair1.732.105.4%
SBO1.752.075.5%
Bet3651.732.085.9%
1xBet1.672.127.1%
Marathonbet1.672.127.1%
BetVictor1.692.018.9%
Best of all books1.782.123.3%
Average1.722.096.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.802.005.6%
Bet3651.801.956.8%
Betano1.831.917.0%
William Hill1.801.917.9%
1xBet1.741.988.0%
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.741.958.8%
Best of all books1.832.004.6%
Average1.781.957.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Modena 45%Draw 45%Cesena 10%

The statistical model rates Modena at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cesena at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.53 | 4.07 | 5.60, which imply roughly 65.4% for a Modena win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Modena are 4th (13 pts, 12-8 goals), Cesena 12th (8 pts, 8-9).

Over their last five matches, Modena averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Cesena averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Modena or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.534.075.60

Double chance

1XX212
1.122.411.20

Draw no bet

12
1.204.24

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.781.95

1st half

1X2
2.022.355.51

2nd half

1X2
1.852.695.08

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.2715.446.1
HT X4.336.3611.7
HT 221.116.49.52

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4613.52.88

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0411.4
1.51.214.06
2.51.722.09
3.52.751.41
4.55.141.14
5.59.811.03
6.520.21.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.047.90
1.251.085.55
1.751.213.59
21.313.18
2.251.502.44
2.751.871.87
32.161.64
3.252.391.51
3.753.071.29
43.981.17
4.254.341.15
4.755.851.07
58.201.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.931.36
-1.52.461.50
-1.252.171.62
-11.911.87
-0.751.652.13
-0.51.542.44
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.971.02
-37.901.02
-2.755.671.09
-2.54.581.15
-2.254.071.18
-23.841.22
-0.251.352.97
01.184.35
+0.251.134.88
+0.51.145.75
+0.751.046.95
+11.019.60
+1.51.0211.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.52.201.62

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.049.50
5.51.096.40
6.51.174.22
7.51.352.84
8.51.652.08
9.52.081.67
10.52.791.37
11.53.891.19
12.55.501.09
13.57.401.07
14.59.501.04
15.511.51.02
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.382.62
8.251.522.24
8.751.711.94
91.891.89
9.251.951.71
9.752.231.53
10.252.611.38
10.753.051.28

Next Serie B matches

23 OctEmpoli – Vicenza Virtus
24 OctAvellino – Padova
24 OctCremonese – Juve Stabia
24 OctVirtus Entella – Mantova
24 OctSudtirol – Sampdoria
24 OctCatanzaro – Ascoli

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

18 OctSampdoria 1-2 Arezzo
18 OctCesena 1-1 Avellino
18 OctJuve Stabia 3-0 Sudtirol
17 OctPisa 3-1 Cremonese
17 OctMantova 0-2 Palermo
17 OctBenevento 2-2 Vicenza Virtus