Mantova vs Palermo• Serie B, Italy

#22.2:1.00-2FTToday · Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova2.6:1.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.46PINX3.40WH22.25BFRMargin at best2.8%Books6Markets67Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 11:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.58	3.33	2.20	3.4%
1xBet	3.26	3.35	2.15	7.0%
Marathonbet	3.25	3.35	2.13	7.6%
Bet365	3.25	3.30	2.15	7.6%
William Hill	3.10	3.25	2.15	9.5%
BetVictor	3.10	3.50	2.05	9.6%
Best of all books	3.58	3.50	2.20	2.0%
Average	3.26	3.35	2.14	7.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MantovaPalermo

Last 10#2Table position#12.00Points per game2.718Form pts · last 5132.2Goals for · last 52.61.0Goals against · last 51.446Attack rating5458Defence rating4246Form rating5425H2H rating7557Goals model4345Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Mantova

6W 2D 2L · goals 20:13 · per match 2.0 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	A	Catanzaro	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Pisa	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Sampdoria	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Cesena	1-1	D
3 Sep	A	Palermo	2-5	L
30 Aug	H	Empoli	3-1	W
22 Aug	A	Carrarese	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Lazio	2-0	W
9 Aug	H	Athletic Carpi	0-1	L
6 Aug	A	Legnago Salus	3-1	W

Palermo

8W 1D 1L · goals 23:11 · per match 2.3 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	A	Empoli	4-2	W
19 Sep	H	Padova	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Avellino	1-1	D
7 Sep	H	Sampdoria	3-1	W
3 Sep	H	Mantova	5-2	W
30 Aug	A	Arezzo	3-2	W
23 Aug	H	Juve Stabia	1-0	W
17 Aug	H	Lecce	2-0	W
11 Aug	A	Juventus	0-2	L
7 Aug	A	Melbourne City	2-0	W

Head to head

0Mantova wins

3draws

2Palermo wins

5 meetings · goals 6:10 · last 5: 0W 3D 2L for Mantova

3 Sep 2026Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	Palermo5-2Mantova
4 Mar 2026Serie B	Serie B	Palermo2-1Mantova
11 Jan 2026Serie B	Serie B	Mantova1-1Palermo
16 Feb 2025Serie B	Serie B	Palermo2-2Mantova
30 Oct 2024Serie B	Serie B	Mantova0-0Palermo

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Serie B table, Mantova sit 2nd with 14 points from 7 games, while Palermo are 1st with 19 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	7	6	1	0	16:7	+9	19
2	Mantova	7	4	2	1	13:8	+5	14
3	Pisa	7	4	1	2	14:9	+5	13
4	Modena	7	4	1	2	12:8	+4	13
5	Sudtirol	6	3	3	0	9:3	+6	12
6	Ascoli	7	3	3	1	8:5	+3	12
7	Benevento	7	3	2	2	10:7	+3	11
8	Avellino	6	3	1	2	11:7	+4	10
9	Virtus Entella	7	2	3	2	10:8	+2	9
10	Hellas Verona	7	2	2	3	14:12	+2	8
11	Cesena	6	1	4	1	7:8	-1	7
12	Carrarese	7	2	1	4	6:7	-1	7
13	Empoli	7	2	1	4	7:11	-4	7
14	Padova	7	2	1	4	6:10	-4	7
15	Arezzo	6	2	1	3	6:13	-7	7
16	Cremonese	7	1	3	3	6:10	-4	6
17	Vicenza Virtus	7	1	3	3	9:15	-6	6
18	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
19	Catanzaro	7	1	1	5	8:14	-6	4
20	Juve Stabia	6	1	3	2	5:8	-3	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.26X28%3.35244%2.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.72	2.21	3.4%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
1xBet	1.67	2.13	6.8%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.13	6.8%
BetVictor	1.65	2.06	9.1%
Best of all books	1.72	2.21	3.4%
Average	1.68	2.13	6.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
BetVictor	1.55	2.30	8.0%
1xBet	1.54	2.32	8.0%
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.28	8.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.32	4.8%
Average	1.56	2.27	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mantova 10%Draw 45%Palermo 45%

The statistical model rated Mantova at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Palermo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.26 | 3.35 | 2.14, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Mantova are 2nd (14 pts, 13-8 goals), Palermo 1st (19 pts, 16-7).

Over their last five matches, Mantova averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Palermo averaged 2.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Palermo and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Mantova

3-4-2-1

Coach: F. Modesto

Goalkeeper

22F. Bardi

Defence

5B. Tomašević
29S. Cella
27A. Castellini

Midfield

58Tommaso Del Lungo
21S. Trimboli
80R. Kouda
50F. Benaissa-Yahia
30D. Bragantini
19F. Ruocco

Attack

8R. Ilie

Substitutes (11)

12M. Gasparini
1L. Gemello
9E. Gliozzi
25L. Ignacchiti
6J. Mboyo
18S. Keita
75E. Košpo
17N. Radaelli
77F. Vesentini
10D. Wieser
11I. Cajazzo

Palermo

3-4-2-1

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Goalkeeper

1M. Perin

Defence

84T. Cassandro
13M. Bani
32P. Ceccaroni

Midfield

9D. Vavassori
8J. Segre
10F. Ranocchia
3T. Augello
5A. Palumbo
17D. Johnsen

Attack

20J. Pohjanpalo

Substitutes (11)

29P. Peda
12M. Nespola
36L. Mazzitelli
96G. Magnani
11E. Gyasi
6C. Gomes
99A. Gabrielloni
14M. Fortin
24N. Estévez
33A. Bozzolan
23Hernani

Match Statistics

MantovaPalermo

415Passes accurate296

7Shots insidebox11

7Shots outsidebox2

3Blocked Shots3

11Free Kicks14

4Shots on Goal5

3Goalkeeper Saves4

8Shots off Goal5

2Offsides3

502Total passes393

15Total Shots13

3Corner Kicks3

0Yellow Cards1

15Fouls12

0Red Cards0

56%Ball Possession44%

1.81Expected Goals2.01

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.26	3.35	2.14

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.66	1.32	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
2.31	1.56

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.27

1st half

1	X	2
3.72	2.25	2.67

2nd half

1	X	2
3.28	2.54	2.43

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.30	13.8	24.3
HT X	7.50	5.47	5.37
HT 2	30.0	13.7	3.35

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.21	13.1	1.74

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.4
1.5	1.19	4.25
2.5	1.68	2.13
3.5	2.62	1.43
4.5	4.84	1.15
5.5	9.03	1.03
6.5	21.0	1.01
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.30
1.25	1.08	5.45
1.75	1.21	3.59
2	1.27	3.20
2.25	1.49	2.50
2.75	1.83	1.91
3	2.08	1.67
3.25	2.33	1.53
3.75	2.97	1.30
4	3.84	1.18
4.25	4.20	1.15
4.75	5.65	1.08
5	7.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.78	1.41
0	2.37	1.55
+0.25	1.92	1.82
+0.5	1.70	2.11
+0.75	1.50	2.42
+1	1.33	3.09

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.40	1.01
-1.5	6.47	1.07
-1.25	6.05	1.09
-1	5.58	1.10
-0.75	4.03	1.21
-0.5	3.43	1.33
+1.25	1.26	3.49
+1.5	1.21	3.77
+1.75	1.14	4.80
+2	1.05	6.70
+2.5	1.03	7.40

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	2.20	1.62

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	5.20
7.5	1.23	3.44
8.5	1.46	2.49
9.5	1.80	1.94
10.5	2.25	1.56
11.5	2.97	1.32
12.5	4.10	1.17
13.5	5.40	1.09
14.5	7.40	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.25	1.38	2.74
8.75	1.50	2.34
9	1.58	2.30
9.25	1.69	2.04
9.75	1.89	1.79
10	2.00	1.78
10.25	2.17	1.60
10.75	2.46	1.43
11.25	2.93	1.34