Catanzaro vs Ascoli• Serie B, Italy

#201.0:1.815:1524/10 · Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro1.0:0.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.49PINX3.32MAR22.97PINMargin at best4.0%Books4Markets46Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 17:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.49	3.21	2.97	5.0%
1xBet	2.44	3.32	2.75	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.44	3.32	2.75	7.5%
William Hill	2.30	3.10	2.90	10.2%
Best of all books	2.49	3.32	2.97	4.0%
Average	2.42	3.24	2.84	7.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CatanzaroAscoli

Last 10#20Table position#60.57Points per game1.714Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 50.650Attack rating5025Defence rating7533Form rating6750H2H rating5038Goals model6241Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:03 UTC

Catanzaro

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

16 Oct	A	Hellas Verona	2-2	D
11 Oct	H	Mantova	1-3	L
19 Sep	A	Sampdoria	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Carrarese	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Sudtirol	0-2	L
30 Aug	A	Pisa	1-2	L
21 Aug	A	Vicenza Virtus	2-3	L
15 Aug	H	Sudtirol	2-2	D
5 Aug	H	Giugliano	3-0	W
29 Jul	H	Paradiso	3-1	W

Ascoli

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	H	Empoli	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Sudtirol	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Avellino	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Padova	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Benevento	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Carrarese	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Hellas Verona	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Genoa	1-4	L
8 Aug	H	Potenza	3-1	W
2 Aug	H	Lazio	1-2	L

Head to head

1Catanzaro wins

0draws

1Ascoli wins

2 meetings · goals 3:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Catanzaro

10 Feb 2024Serie B	Serie B	Catanzaro3-2Ascoli
16 Dec 2023Serie B	Serie B	Ascoli1-0Catanzaro

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Serie B table, Catanzaro sit 20th with 4 points from 7 games, while Ascoli are 6th with 12 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	7	6	1	0	16:7	+9	19
2	Mantova	7	4	2	1	13:8	+5	14
3	Pisa	7	4	1	2	14:9	+5	13
4	Modena	7	4	1	2	12:8	+4	13
5	Sudtirol	7	3	3	1	9:6	+3	12
6	Ascoli	7	3	3	1	8:5	+3	12
7	Avellino	7	3	2	2	12:8	+4	11
8	Benevento	7	3	2	2	10:7	+3	11
9	Arezzo	7	3	1	3	8:14	-6	10
10	Virtus Entella	7	2	3	2	10:8	+2	9
11	Hellas Verona	7	2	2	3	14:12	+2	8
12	Cesena	7	1	5	1	8:9	-1	8
13	Carrarese	7	2	1	4	6:7	-1	7
14	Empoli	7	2	1	4	7:11	-4	7
15	Padova	7	2	1	4	6:10	-4	7
16	Cremonese	7	1	3	3	6:10	-4	6
17	Vicenza Virtus	7	1	3	3	9:15	-6	6
18	Juve Stabia	7	2	3	2	8:8	0	5
19	Sampdoria	7	1	1	5	7:15	-8	4
20	Catanzaro	7	1	1	5	8:14	-6	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.42X29%3.24233%2.84

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.75	2.11	4.5%
1xBet	1.66	2.14	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.14	7.0%
Best of all books	1.75	2.14	3.9%
Average	1.69	2.13	6.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.65	2.15	7.1%
1xBet	1.52	2.37	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.33	8.7%
Best of all books	1.65	2.37	2.8%
Average	1.56	2.28	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Catanzaro 10%Draw 45%Ascoli 45%

The statistical model rates Catanzaro at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ascoli at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.42 | 3.24 | 2.84, which imply roughly 30.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Catanzaro are 20th (4 pts, 8-14 goals), Ascoli 6th (12 pts, 8-5).

Over their last five matches, Catanzaro averaged 1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Ascoli averaged 1 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ascoli and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.42	3.24	2.84

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.52	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.67	2.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.28

1st half

1	X	2
2.97	2.20	3.31

2nd half

1	X	2
2.63	2.53	3.03

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.88	14.0	30.0
HT X	5.90	5.10	6.50
HT 2	29.0	14.0	4.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.88	13.5	2.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	10.0
1.5	1.18	4.16
2.5	1.69	2.13
3.5	2.63	1.41
4.5	4.93	1.13
5.5	8.90	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.30
1.25	1.08	5.70
1.75	1.20	3.73
2	1.26	3.26
2.25	1.49	2.50
2.75	1.86	1.89
3	2.11	1.65
3.25	2.37	1.51
3.75	2.97	1.30
4	3.90	1.18
4.25	4.30	1.15
4.75	5.80	1.07
5	8.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.86	1.36
-0.5	2.49	1.56
-0.25	2.08	1.70
0	1.76	2.02
+0.25	1.53	2.36
+0.5	1.41	2.96

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.20	1.01
-1.75	5.95	1.07
-1.5	4.60	1.13
-1.25	4.16	1.19
-1	3.83	1.21
+0.75	1.27	3.38
+1	1.14	4.81
+1.25	1.11	4.95
+1.5	1.09	5.35
+1.75	1.04	7.30
+2	1.01	9.50

Next Serie B matches

23 Oct	Empoli – Vicenza Virtus
24 Oct	Avellino – Padova
24 Oct	Cremonese – Juve Stabia
24 Oct	Virtus Entella – Mantova
24 Oct	Modena – Cesena
24 Oct	Sudtirol – Sampdoria

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

18 Oct	Sampdoria 1-2 Arezzo
18 Oct	Cesena 1-1 Avellino
18 Oct	Juve Stabia 3-0 Sudtirol
17 Oct	Pisa 3-1 Cremonese
17 Oct	Mantova 0-2 Palermo
17 Oct	Benevento 2-2 Vicenza Virtus