Avellino vs Padova• Serie B, Italy

#71.6:1.213:00Tomorrow · Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino0.8:1.8#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.20BFRX3.32MAR23.60B365Margin at best3.4%Books10Markets67Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 06:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.19	3.25	3.50	5.0%
Pinnacle	2.19	3.30	3.43	5.1%
Betano	2.20	3.30	3.40	5.2%
Bet365	2.10	3.20	3.60	6.6%
1xBet	2.18	3.32	3.23	7.0%
Marathonbet	2.16	3.32	3.22	7.5%
Betfair	2.20	3.10	3.30	8.0%
William Hill	2.15	3.10	3.30	9.1%
BetVictor	2.10	3.20	3.25	9.6%
SBO	2.08	2.93	3.06	14.9%
Best of all books	2.20	3.32	3.60	3.4%
Average	2.15	3.20	3.33	7.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AvellinoPadova

Last 10#7Table position#151.57Points per game1.008Form pts · last 531.6Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 51.867Attack rating3360Defence rating4073Form rating2738H2H rating6277Goals model2360Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:03 UTC

Avellino

3W 3D 4L · goals 16:18 · per match 1.6 for, 1.8 against

18 Oct	A	Cesena	1-1	D
9 Oct	H	Sampdoria	4-1	W
19 Sep	A	Ascoli	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	Palermo	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Modena	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Vicenza Virtus	3-0	W
22 Aug	H	Arezzo	1-2	L
14 Aug	A	Monza	0-3	L
8 Aug	H	Torino	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Lazio	3-6	L

Padova

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	H	Virtus Entella	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	Carrarese	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Palermo	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Ascoli	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Cremonese	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Hellas Verona	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Pisa	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Udinese	0-1	L
7 Aug	A	Monza	3-3	D
1 Aug	A	Cittadella	2-0	W

Head to head

1Avellino wins

2draws

2Padova wins

5 meetings · goals 4:5 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for Avellino

7 Mar 2026Serie B	Serie B	Avellino1-0Padova
30 Sep 2025Serie B	Serie B	Padova2-2Avellino
3 May 2025Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals	Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals	Avellino0-1Padova
9 Jun 2021Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Avellino0-1Padova
6 Jun 2021Serie C - Girone A	Serie C - Girone A	Padova1-1Avellino

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Serie B table, Avellino sit 7th with 11 points from 7 games, while Padova are 15th with 7 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	7	6	1	0	16:7	+9	19
2	Mantova	7	4	2	1	13:8	+5	14
3	Pisa	7	4	1	2	14:9	+5	13
4	Modena	7	4	1	2	12:8	+4	13
5	Sudtirol	7	3	3	1	9:6	+3	12
6	Ascoli	7	3	3	1	8:5	+3	12
7	Avellino	7	3	2	2	12:8	+4	11
8	Benevento	7	3	2	2	10:7	+3	11
9	Arezzo	7	3	1	3	8:14	-6	10
10	Virtus Entella	7	2	3	2	10:8	+2	9
11	Hellas Verona	7	2	2	3	14:12	+2	8
12	Cesena	7	1	5	1	8:9	-1	8
13	Carrarese	7	2	1	4	6:7	-1	7
14	Empoli	7	2	1	4	7:11	-4	7
15	Padova	7	2	1	4	6:10	-4	7
16	Cremonese	7	1	3	3	6:10	-4	6
17	Vicenza Virtus	7	1	3	3	9:15	-6	6
18	Juve Stabia	7	2	3	2	8:8	0	5
19	Sampdoria	7	1	1	5	7:15	-8	4
20	Catanzaro	7	1	1	5	8:14	-6	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.16X29%3.20228%3.33

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.24 → 2.16 -3.6%X3.27 → 3.20 -2.1%23.15 → 3.33 +5.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.12	1.75	4.3%
Pinnacle	2.15	1.73	4.3%
Betfair	2.10	1.73	5.4%
SBO	2.08	1.74	5.5%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
1xBet	1.98	1.77	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.77	7.0%
BetVictor	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Best of all books	2.15	1.77	3.0%
Average	2.07	1.73	6.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betano	1.83	1.91	7.0%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.77	1.94	8.0%
BetVictor	1.83	1.87	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.92	8.6%
Best of all books	1.91	2.00	2.4%
Average	1.82	1.92	7.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Avellino 45%Draw 45%Padova 10%

The statistical model rates Avellino at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Padova at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.20 | 3.33, which imply roughly 46.3% for a Avellino win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Avellino are 7th (11 pts, 12-8 goals), Padova 15th (7 pts, 6-10).

Over their last five matches, Avellino averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Padova averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Avellino.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.16	3.20	3.33

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.66	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.54	2.36

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
2.76	2.06	3.93

2nd half

1	X	2
2.49	2.36	3.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.45	13.7	34.8
HT X	5.24	4.82	7.21
HT 2	26.4	14.4	5.53

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	8.60	2.29

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.57
1.5	1.34	3.09
2.5	2.07	1.73
3.5	3.70	1.25
4.5	7.35	1.07
5.5	15.3	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.10
1	1.03	7.40
1.25	1.15	4.22
1.75	1.40	2.72
2	1.54	2.36
2.25	1.80	1.95
2.75	2.32	1.55
3	2.82	1.38
3.25	3.05	1.30
3.75	4.21	1.15
4	5.80	1.07
4.25	6.20	1.06
5	10.0	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.32	1.30
-0.75	2.50	1.48
-0.5	2.13	1.71
-0.25	1.83	1.93
0	1.54	2.38
+0.25	1.39	2.82

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.20	1.02
-2	8.00	1.02
-1.75	5.37	1.11
-1.5	4.34	1.17
-1.25	3.71	1.24
+0.5	1.33	3.41
+0.75	1.20	4.16
+1	1.08	6.20
+1.25	1.07	6.61
+1.5	1.06	7.05
+1.75	1.01	8.90
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.84	1.84

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	10.3
5.5	1.06	7.25
6.5	1.14	4.72
7.5	1.30	3.13
8.5	1.55	2.28
9.5	1.93	1.79
10.5	2.50	1.46
11.5	3.33	1.27
12.5	4.70	1.14
13.5	6.30	1.08
14.5	8.50	1.05
15.5	10.8	1.03

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.31	2.92
8.25	1.44	2.47
8.75	1.60	2.14
9.25	1.83	1.87
9.75	2.05	1.65
10.25	2.36	1.48
10.75	2.74	1.35

Next Serie B matches

23 Oct	Empoli – Vicenza Virtus
24 Oct	Cremonese – Juve Stabia
24 Oct	Virtus Entella – Mantova
24 Oct	Modena – Cesena
24 Oct	Sudtirol – Sampdoria
24 Oct	Catanzaro – Ascoli

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

18 Oct	Sampdoria 1-2 Arezzo
18 Oct	Cesena 1-1 Avellino
18 Oct	Juve Stabia 3-0 Sudtirol
17 Oct	Pisa 3-1 Cremonese
17 Oct	Mantova 0-2 Palermo
17 Oct	Benevento 2-2 Vicenza Virtus