Cesena vs Avellino• Serie B, Italy

#111.2:1.415:15Tomorrow · Dino Manuzzi, Cesena2.0:1.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.31PINX3.30BVC23.44PINMargin at best2.7%Books6Markets74Rating50 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 19:10 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.31	3.17	3.44	3.9%
Bet365	2.25	3.20	3.20	6.9%
1xBet	2.30	3.14	3.16	7.0%
Marathonbet	2.28	3.14	3.14	7.6%
BetVictor	2.20	3.30	3.00	9.1%
William Hill	2.25	3.10	3.00	10.0%
Best of all books	2.31	3.30	3.44	2.7%
Average	2.27	3.18	3.16	7.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CesenaAvellino

Last 10#11Table position#81.17Points per game1.676Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 52.01.4Goals against · last 51.038Attack rating6342Defence rating5838Form rating6362H2H rating3858Goals model4250Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:32 UTC

Cesena

3W 5D 2L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	A	Benevento	0-2	L
18 Sep	A	Juve Stabia	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Cremonese	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Mantova	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Virtus Entella	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Sampdoria	1-1	D
17 Aug	A	Sassuolo	0-3	L
8 Aug	A	Forli	0-0	D
5 Aug	H	Vis Pesaro	3-0	W
1 Aug	H	Fossombrone	3-0	W

Avellino

4W 2D 4L · goals 20:17 · per match 2.0 for, 1.7 against

9 Oct	H	Sampdoria	4-1	W
19 Sep	A	Ascoli	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	Palermo	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Modena	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Vicenza Virtus	3-0	W
22 Aug	H	Arezzo	1-2	L
14 Aug	A	Monza	0-3	L
8 Aug	H	Torino	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Lazio	3-6	L
26 Jul	A	Sambenedettese	5-0	W

Head to head

3Cesena wins

2draws

1Avellino wins

6 meetings · goals 12:6 · last 6: 3W 2D 1L for Cesena

31 Jan 2026Serie B	Serie B	Avellino3-1Cesena
9 Nov 2025Serie B	Serie B	Cesena3-0Avellino
10 Feb 2018Serie B	Serie B	Avellino1-1Cesena
15 Sep 2017Serie B	Serie B	Cesena3-1Avellino
22 Apr 2017Serie B	Serie B	Avellino1-1Cesena
26 Nov 2016Serie B	Serie B	Cesena3-0Avellino

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Serie B table, Cesena sit 11th with 7 points from 6 games, while Avellino are 8th with 10 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	7	6	1	0	16:7	+9	19
2	Mantova	7	4	2	1	13:8	+5	14
3	Pisa	7	4	1	2	14:9	+5	13
4	Modena	7	4	1	2	12:8	+4	13
5	Sudtirol	6	3	3	0	9:3	+6	12
6	Ascoli	7	3	3	1	8:5	+3	12
7	Benevento	7	3	2	2	10:7	+3	11
8	Avellino	6	3	1	2	11:7	+4	10
9	Virtus Entella	7	2	3	2	10:8	+2	9
10	Hellas Verona	7	2	2	3	14:12	+2	8
11	Cesena	6	1	4	1	7:8	-1	7
12	Carrarese	7	2	1	4	6:7	-1	7
13	Empoli	7	2	1	4	7:11	-4	7
14	Padova	7	2	1	4	6:10	-4	7
15	Arezzo	6	2	1	3	6:13	-7	7
16	Cremonese	7	1	3	3	6:10	-4	6
17	Vicenza Virtus	7	1	3	3	9:15	-6	6
18	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
19	Catanzaro	7	1	1	5	8:14	-6	4
20	Juve Stabia	6	1	3	2	5:8	-3	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.27X29%3.18230%3.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.22 → 2.27 +2.3%X3.19 → 3.18 -0.3%23.23 → 3.16 -2.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.92	1.95	3.4%
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
1xBet	1.80	1.94	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.94	7.1%
BetVictor	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Best of all books	1.92	1.95	3.4%
Average	1.85	1.91	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.05	7.6%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.61	2.18	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.15	8.6%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Best of all books	1.70	2.18	4.7%
Average	1.66	2.10	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cesena 35%Draw 35%Avellino 30%

The statistical model rates Cesena at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Avellino at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.27 | 3.18 | 3.16, which imply roughly 44.1% for a Cesena win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Cesena are 11th (7 pts, 7-8 goals), Avellino 8th (10 pts, 11-7).

Over their last five matches, Cesena averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Avellino averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Cesena or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.27	3.18	3.16

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.58	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
1.63	2.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.66	2.10

1st half

1	X	2
2.85	2.13	3.74

2nd half

1	X	2
2.56	2.45	3.28

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.63	13.8	35.0
HT X	5.40	4.87	7.00
HT 2	27.7	14.7	5.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	10.4	2.19

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.75
1.5	1.24	3.68
2.5	1.85	1.91
3.5	3.03	1.34
4.5	6.02	1.10
5.5	11.8	1.04
6.5	26.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.80
1	1.02	8.30
1.25	1.11	4.90
1.75	1.27	3.21
2	1.39	2.79
2.25	1.62	2.21
2.75	2.02	1.71
3	2.37	1.52
3.25	2.52	1.41
3.75	3.34	1.24
4	4.60	1.13
4.25	4.95	1.11
5	8.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.64	1.43
-0.5	2.24	1.62
-0.25	1.92	1.82
0	1.61	2.25
+0.25	1.43	2.66
+0.5	1.35	3.25

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	8.10	1.02
-2	8.20	1.02
-1.75	5.60	1.10
-1.5	4.27	1.17
-1.25	3.89	1.22
-1	3.45	1.26
+0.75	1.21	3.94
+1	1.10	5.58
+1.25	1.08	6.00
+1.5	1.07	6.47
+1.75	1.01	8.70

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.91	1.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	7.60
6.5	1.12	4.88
7.5	1.27	3.20
8.5	1.51	2.35
9.5	1.92	1.81
10.5	2.39	1.49
11.5	3.19	1.28
12.5	4.40	1.15
13.5	5.80	1.08

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.32
7	1.15	3.79
7.75	1.28	3.08
8	1.33	2.77
8.25	1.42	2.60
8.75	1.56	2.21
9	1.71	2.06
9.25	1.77	1.94
9.75	1.99	1.71
10	2.15	1.63
10.25	2.29	1.54
10.75	2.62	1.38
11	2.78	1.33
12	3.59	1.17
13	4.72	1.08