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Padova vs Virtus Entella• Serie B, Italy

#140.8:1.61-2FT17/10 · Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua1.6:1.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.85PINX3.10BVC23.00B365Margin at best0.7%Books6Markets71Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 11:23 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.852.892.973.4%
1xBet2.672.882.837.5%
Marathonbet2.672.882.837.5%
Bet3652.353.003.009.2%
BetVictor2.553.102.639.5%
William Hill2.622.902.709.7%
Best of all books2.853.103.000.7%
Average2.622.942.837.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PadovaVirtus Entella
Last 10#14Table position#91.00Points per game1.294Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 51.233Attack rating6743Defence rating5740Form rating6050H2H rating5023Goals model7740Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Padova

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

11 OctHCarrarese0-2L
19 SepAPalermo1-2L
12 SepHAscoli1-0W
6 SepACremonese1-3L
29 AugHHellas Verona1-1D
23 AugAPisa1-0W
15 AugAUdinese0-1L
7 AugAMonza3-3D
1 AugACittadella2-0W
25 JulHOspitaletto1-3L

Virtus Entella

2W 4D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

10 OctHJuve Stabia1-1D
19 SepACremonese0-0D
11 SepAPisa4-1W
6 SepHVicenza Virtus2-2D
29 AugHCesena1-2L
22 AugASudtirol0-1L
16 AugAHellas Verona2-2D
8 AugHCarrarese0-1L
5 AugHNovara2-1W
25 JulAEmpoli0-1L

Head to head

2Padova wins
0draws
2Virtus Entella wins

4 meetings · goals 4:4 · last 4: 2W 0D 2L for Padova

25 Apr 2026Serie BSerie BVirtus Entella1-0Padova
21 Sep 2025Serie BSerie BPadova2-1Virtus Entella
17 May 2025Serie C - Supercoppa Lega FinalsSerie C - Supercoppa Lega FinalsPadova0-1Virtus Entella
3 Nov 2021Coppa Italia Serie CCoppa Italia Serie CPadova2-1Virtus Entella

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Serie B table, Padova sit 14th with 7 points from 7 games, while Virtus Entella are 9th with 9 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Palermo761016:7+919
2Mantova742113:8+514
3Pisa741214:9+513
4Modena741212:8+413
5Sudtirol63309:3+612
6Ascoli73318:5+312
7Benevento732210:7+311
8Avellino631211:7+410
9Virtus Entella723210:8+29
10Hellas Verona722314:12+28
11Cesena61417:8-17
12Carrarese72146:7-17
13Empoli72147:11-47
14Padova72146:10-47
15Arezzo62136:13-77
16Cremonese71336:10-46
17Vicenza Virtus71339:15-66
18Sampdoria61146:13-74
19Catanzaro71158:14-64
20Juve Stabia61325:8-32

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.62X32%2.94233%2.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 11:401 2.62X 2.942 2.83
12.60 → 2.62 +0.8%X2.93 → 2.94 +0.3%22.90 → 2.83 -2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.371.643.2%
Bet3652.251.626.2%
1xBet2.151.657.1%
Marathonbet2.151.657.1%
BetVictor2.121.628.9%
Best of all books2.371.652.8%
Average2.211.646.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.951.806.8%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.821.888.1%
BetVictor1.851.838.7%
Marathonbet1.821.868.7%
Best of all books1.951.884.5%
Average1.861.848.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Padova 10%Draw 45%Virtus Entella 45%

The statistical model rated Padova at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Virtus Entella at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.62 | 2.94 | 2.83, which imply roughly 34% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Padova are 14th (7 pts, 6-10 goals), Virtus Entella 9th (9 pts, 10-8).

Over their last five matches, Padova averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Virtus Entella averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Virtus Entella.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Padova

3-5-2

Coach: N. Calabro

Goalkeeper

  • 22A. Sorrentino

Defence

  • 27Alessandro Dellavalle
  • 5M. Lovato
  • 58C. Pastina

Midfield

  • 24L. Carissoni
  • 14M. Pompetti
  • 21E. Zuelli
  • 6G. Giunti
  • 34M. Cocchi

Attack

  • 15K. Lasagna
  • 90G. Artistico
Substitutes (12)
  • 8P. Fusi
  • 25N. Galazzi
  • 74D. Marcolini
  • 7K. Varas
  • 23F. Di Mariano
  • 9L. Moro
  • 18E. Silletti
  • 17A. Capelli
  • 20M. Bortolussi
  • 1L. Mouquet
  • 11A. Seghetti
  • 32F. Sgarbi

Virtus Entella

3-5-2

Coach: A. Chiappella

Goalkeeper

  • 22F. Del Frate

Defence

  • 23L. Parodi
  • 6A. Tiritiello
  • 27M. Alborghetti

Midfield

  • 94F. Mezzoni
  • 24A. Franzoni
  • 5N. Squizzato
  • 18T. Annoni
  • 26Stefano Di Mario

Attack

  • 10L. Cuppone
  • 17M. Tirelli
Substitutes (11)
  • 80L. Benedetti
  • 91S. Colombi
  • 55Lucas Felippe
  • 11Bernat Guiu
  • 70Marwane Kritta
  • 39M. Motolese
  • 3N. Previtali
  • 12E. Torrielli
  • 16R. Turicchia
  • 8L. Vignali
  • 9Giacomo Corona

Match Statistics

PadovaVirtus Entella
0.79Expected Goals1.73
303Passes accurate382
4Shots insidebox11
2Shots outsidebox7
2Blocked Shots5
5Free Kicks7
1Shots on Goal7
4Goalkeeper Saves1
3Shots off Goal6
4Offsides1
396Total passes476
6Total Shots18
1Yellow Cards1
4Corner Kicks6
7Fouls7
0Red Cards0
45%Ball Possession55%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.622.942.83

Double chance

1XX212
1.391.461.36

Draw no bet

12
1.821.89

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.861.84

1st half

1X2
3.261.993.59

2nd half

1X2
2.842.263.15

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.3015.037.0
HT X5.734.186.23
HT 237.015.04.83

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.027.602.08

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.61
1.51.362.91
2.52.211.64
3.53.971.21
4.58.231.04
5.516.81.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.056.55
11.075.95
1.251.203.72
1.751.472.50
21.622.16
2.251.911.83
2.752.531.47
33.021.30
3.253.341.24
3.754.701.12
46.751.04
4.257.211.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.753.161.32
-0.52.591.48
-0.252.221.62
01.811.96
+0.251.542.34
+0.51.432.77
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.01.01
-29.801.01
-1.757.131.06
-1.55.501.10
-1.255.031.14
-14.711.16
+0.751.263.49
+11.145.16
+1.251.105.55
+1.51.096.05
+1.751.028.10

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.52.101.67

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.055.37
6.51.134.23
7.51.292.94
8.51.562.22
9.51.991.76
10.52.501.44
11.53.261.23
12.54.531.12
13.55.101.06
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.065.17
71.163.65
7.751.322.81
81.382.72
8.251.452.37
8.751.642.07
91.752.01
9.251.891.85
9.752.161.64
102.251.58
10.252.411.44
10.752.811.32
112.901.30
123.751.15
134.901.07

Next Serie B matches

18 OctJuve Stabia – Sudtirol
18 OctCesena – Avellino
18 OctSampdoria – Arezzo

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

17 OctPisa 3-1 Cremonese
17 OctMantova 0-2 Palermo
17 OctBenevento 2-2 Vicenza Virtus
17 OctCarrarese 2-1 Modena
17 OctAscoli 1-1 Empoli
16 OctHellas Verona 2-2 Catanzaro