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Carrarese vs Modena• Serie B, Italy

#120.6:0.82-1FT17/10 · Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara1.8:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.88PINX3.60MAR21.81PINMargin at best3.5%Books6Markets73Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 11:23 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle4.883.621.803.7%
1xBet4.373.601.786.8%
Bet3654.503.401.807.2%
Marathonbet4.403.601.767.3%
BetVictor4.103.601.759.3%
William Hill4.203.401.7510.4%
Best of all books4.883.621.803.7%
Average4.413.541.777.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CarrareseModena
Last 10#12Table position#41.00Points per game1.864Form pts · last 5100.6Goals for · last 51.80.8Goals against · last 51.025Attack rating7556Defence rating4429Form rating7129H2H rating717Goals model9330Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Carrarese

2W 1D 7L · goals 6:11 · per match 0.6 for, 1.1 against

11 OctAPadova2-0W
19 SepHBenevento0-1L
12 SepACatanzaro0-1L
5 SepHEmpoli0-1L
29 AugAAscoli1-1D
22 AugHMantova1-2L
15 AugATorino0-1L
8 AugAVirtus Entella1-0W
26 JulANapoli0-2L
8 MayAVirtus Entella1-2L

Modena

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

11 OctHHellas Verona3-2W
20 SepHEmpoli2-1W
12 SepASudtirol1-1D
6 SepHAvellino0-1L
28 AugACremonese3-0W
22 AugABenevento2-1W
15 AugAVenezia2-3L
8 AugHVis Pesaro0-0D
1 AugATrento1-0W
28 JulACagliari0-1L

Head to head

1Carrarese wins
1draws
4Modena wins

6 meetings · goals 4:10 · last 6: 1W 1D 4L for Carrarese

14 Feb 2026Serie BSerie BModena2-0Carrarese
1 Oct 2025Serie BSerie BCarrarese0-0Modena
4 May 2025Serie BSerie BCarrarese2-1Modena
9 Nov 2024Serie BSerie BModena2-0Carrarese
12 Mar 2022Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BCarrarese2-3Modena
31 Oct 2021Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BModena2-0Carrarese

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Serie B table, Carrarese sit 12th with 7 points from 7 games, while Modena are 4th with 13 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Palermo761016:7+919
2Mantova742113:8+514
3Pisa741214:9+513
4Modena741212:8+413
5Sudtirol63309:3+612
6Ascoli73318:5+312
7Benevento732210:7+311
8Avellino631211:7+410
9Virtus Entella723210:8+29
10Hellas Verona722314:12+28
11Cesena61417:8-17
12Carrarese72146:7-17
13Empoli72147:11-47
14Padova72146:10-47
15Arezzo62136:13-77
16Cremonese71336:10-46
17Vicenza Virtus71339:15-66
18Sampdoria61146:13-74
19Catanzaro71158:14-64
20Juve Stabia61325:8-32

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.41X26%3.54253%1.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 08:401 4.41X 3.532 1.78
14.27 → 4.41 +3.3%X3.50 → 3.53 +0.9%21.82 → 1.78 -2.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.842.062.9%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
1xBet1.771.987.0%
Marathonbet1.771.987.0%
BetVictor1.751.939.0%
Best of all books1.842.062.9%
Average1.791.996.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.752.007.1%
William Hill1.702.057.6%
1xBet1.692.058.0%
Marathonbet1.692.028.7%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.752.055.9%
Average1.712.028.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Carrarese 10%Draw 45%Modena 45%

The statistical model rated Carrarese at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Modena at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.41 | 3.54 | 1.77, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Carrarese are 12th (7 pts, 6-7 goals), Modena 4th (13 pts, 12-8).

Over their last five matches, Carrarese averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Modena averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Modena.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Carrarese

3-5-2

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Goalkeeper

  • 1S. Pizzignacco

Defence

  • 13F. Ruggeri
  • 6F. Oliana
  • 33F. Reale

Midfield

  • 7N. Belloni
  • 77G. Parlanti
  • 18Nicolás Schiavi
  • 23M. Braunöder
  • 73J. Rouhi

Attack

  • 9F. Abiuso
  • 10T. Rubino
Substitutes (12)
  • 28J. Martini
  • 91G. Marconi
  • 66P. Pinelli
  • 41L. Romani
  • 17L. Topalović
  • 11M. Cissé
  • 70N. Cudrig
  • 32M. Finotto
  • 12G. Garofani
  • 78Tommaso Guercio
  • 8Y. Khafi
  • 5T. Macchioni

Modena

3-5-2

Coach: D. Galloppa

Goalkeeper

  • 1L. Chichizola

Defence

  • 77D. Tonoli
  • 6S. Nador
  • 20B. Nieling

Midfield

  • 7F. Zampano
  • 42A. Bianco
  • 16G. Brugman
  • 8S. Santoro
  • 27Paulo Azzi

Attack

  • 10G. Caso
  • 70G. Ambrosino
Substitutes (12)
  • 29L. Bacchin
  • 11A. Belotti
  • 17K. Bozhanaj
  • 22L. Consiglio
  • 23F. Folino
  • 26A. Imputato
  • 25A. Laidani
  • 9D. Montevago
  • 15Martino Odero
  • 72G. Olzer
  • 34Diego Ronco
  • 32W. Acquah

Match Statistics

CarrareseModena
1.78Expected Goals1.03
287Passes accurate420
7Shots insidebox8
2Shots outsidebox6
12Free Kicks18
4Shots on Goal4
3Goalkeeper Saves2
5Shots off Goal4
2Offsides1
358Total passes491
9Total Shots14
4Yellow Cards2
2Corner Kicks8
0Blocked Shots6
19Fouls14
0Red Cards0
42%Ball Possession58%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.413.541.77

Double chance

1XX212
1.961.191.26

Draw no bet

12
3.171.32

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.712.02

1st half

1X2
4.732.232.35

2nd half

1X2
4.212.532.12

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 17.4715.423.7
HT X9.575.404.62
HT 240.014.72.72

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.5711.61.59

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.0
1.51.223.83
2.51.791.99
3.52.921.36
4.55.501.12
5.510.81.05
6.524.51.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.98
11.018.70
1.251.105.00
1.751.253.29
21.362.90
2.251.572.30
2.751.971.78
32.281.56
3.252.491.42
3.753.341.24
44.401.14
4.254.801.12
4.756.251.06
59.00–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.391.51
+0.52.051.75
+0.751.771.97
+11.552.37
+1.251.422.70
+1.51.343.04
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-18.401.01
-0.755.571.10
-0.54.671.20
-0.253.841.23
03.261.30
+1.751.233.75
+21.135.05
+2.251.115.48
+2.51.095.80
+2.751.037.40

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.672.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.037.60
6.51.124.88
7.51.273.24
8.51.522.35
9.51.851.89
10.52.371.51
11.53.151.29
12.54.401.15
13.55.801.08
14.57.001.04
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.251.422.60
8.751.562.21
91.682.15
9.251.771.94
9.751.991.71
102.131.69
10.252.291.54
10.752.621.38
11.253.141.30

Next Serie B matches

18 OctJuve Stabia – Sudtirol
18 OctCesena – Avellino
18 OctSampdoria – Arezzo

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

17 OctPisa 3-1 Cremonese
17 OctMantova 0-2 Palermo
17 OctBenevento 2-2 Vicenza Virtus
17 OctPadova 1-2 Virtus Entella
17 OctAscoli 1-1 Empoli
16 OctHellas Verona 2-2 Catanzaro