Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita• Liga de Ascenso, Costa-Rica

#11.4:1.61-1FTToday2.2:0.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30WHX3.30B36522.991XBMargin at best7.2%Books6Markets42Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 14:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.22	3.08	2.99	11.0%
William Hill	2.30	3.00	2.88	11.5%
Bet365	2.30	3.30	2.62	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.20	3.08	2.91	12.3%
Pinnacle	2.21	3.02	2.92	12.6%
BetVictor	2.10	2.90	2.63	20.1%
Best of all books	2.30	3.30	2.99	7.2%
Average	2.22	3.06	2.82	13.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Aserri FCAD Carmelita

Last 10#1Table position#71.52Points per game1.368Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 52.21.6Goals against · last 50.639Attack rating6127Defence rating7333Form rating6775H2H rating2530Goals model7044Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 02:10 UTC

Aserri FC

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	H	Santa Cruz FC	2-1	W
13 Oct	A	Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC	2-2	D
12 Oct	A	Municipal Grecia	2-2	D
4 Oct	H	Guadalupe FC	2-3	L
3 Oct	H	Quepos Cambute	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Futbol Consultants Moravia	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	ADR Jicaral	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Santa Ana	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	AD Cofutpa	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	CS Uruguay	1-0	W

AD Carmelita

4W 2D 4L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	H	Guadalupe FC	0-2	L
2 Oct	A	Futbol Consultants Moravia	3-0	W
26 Sep	H	Santa Ana	1-0	W
18 Sep	H	CS Uruguay	6-0	W
13 Sep	A	Cariari Pococi	1-1	D
7 Sep	H	Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC	1-2	L
28 Aug	H	Aserri FC	1-2	L
25 Aug	A	Guadalupe FC	1-0	W
14 Aug	H	Futbol Consultants Moravia	1-1	D
9 Aug	H	Santa Ana	2-3	L

Head to head

2Aserri FC wins

3draws

2AD Carmelita wins

7 meetings · goals 8:8 · last 7: 2W 3D 2L for Aserri FC

28 Aug 2026Liga de Ascenso	Liga de Ascenso	AD Carmelita1-2Aserri FC
31 Mar 2026Liga de Ascenso	Liga de Ascenso	Aserri FC0-0AD Carmelita
15 Feb 2026Liga de Ascenso	Liga de Ascenso	AD Carmelita2-2Aserri FC
2 Nov 2025Liga de Ascenso	Liga de Ascenso	AD Carmelita1-1Aserri FC
19 Sep 2025Liga de Ascenso	Liga de Ascenso	Aserri FC1-0AD Carmelita
26 Apr 2022Liga de Ascenso	Liga de Ascenso	Aserri FC2-3AD Carmelita
19 Apr 2022Liga de Ascenso	Liga de Ascenso	AD Carmelita1-0Aserri FC

Liga de Ascenso tableRegular Seasonupdated 18 Oct 19:00 UTC

In the Liga de Ascenso table, Aserri FC sit 1st with 32 points from 21 games, while AD Carmelita are 7th with 15 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Aserri FC	21	9	5	7	27:26	+1	32
2	ADR Jicaral	10	7	3	0	18:5	+13	24
3	Santa Ana	11	8	0	3	19:10	+9	24
4	Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC	11	5	5	1	20:15	+5	20
5	Quepos Cambute	10	6	1	3	15:8	+7	19
6	Cariari Pococi	12	4	4	4	12:12	0	16
7	AD Carmelita	11	4	3	4	19:13	+6	15
8	Municipal Grecia	9	4	3	2	11:8	+3	15
9	Guadalupe FC	12	4	3	5	16:19	-3	15
10	Futbol Consultants Moravia	12	4	1	7	14:14	0	13
11	AD Sarchí	9	3	2	4	9:13	-4	11
12	CS Uruguay	12	2	3	7	9:25	-16	9
13	Santa Cruz FC	11	2	0	9	12:24	-12	6
14	AD Cofutpa	9	1	1	7	8:17	-9	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.22X29%3.06231%2.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.24 → 2.22 -0.9%X3.19 → 3.06 -4.1%22.63 → 2.83 +7.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.90	1.81	7.9%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
BetVictor	1.69	1.64	20.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.86	1.78	10.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.68	1.99	9.8%
BetVictor	1.55	1.80	20.1%
Best of all books	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Average	1.65	1.97	11.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aserri FC 10%Draw 45%AD Carmelita 45%

The statistical model rated Aserri FC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and AD Carmelita at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 3.06 | 2.83, which imply roughly 32.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga de Ascenso table: Aserri FC are 1st (32 pts, 27-26 goals), AD Carmelita 7th (15 pts, 19-13).

Over their last five matches, Aserri FC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; AD Carmelita averaged 2.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or AD Carmelita.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.22	3.06	2.83

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.51	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.62	1.94

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
2.82	2.06	3.42

2nd half

1	X	2
2.53	2.35	3.33

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.53	15.3	29.5
HT X	5.85	5.25	7.20
HT 2	24.0	15.3	4.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.87	9.10	2.13

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.25
1.5	1.24	3.06
2.5	1.86	1.78
3.5	2.93	1.26
4.5	6.30	1.07
5.5	13.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.50
1.75	1.32	2.90
2	1.40	2.44
2.25	1.62	2.00
2.75	2.05	1.59
3	2.42	1.41
3.25	2.83	1.34
3.75	3.84	1.18
4	5.25	1.09
4.25	5.65	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.54	1.39
-0.5	2.15	1.54
-0.25	1.89	1.73
0	1.61	2.07
+0.25	1.43	2.40
+0.5	1.36	2.63

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.50	1.01
-1.75	5.50	1.15
-1.5	4.30	1.16
-1.25	3.87	1.20
-1	3.44	1.25
+0.75	1.24	3.47
+1	1.12	5.00
+1.25	1.12	5.44
+1.5	1.09	5.97
+1.75	1.10	7.00

Latest Liga de Ascenso results

17 Oct	Aserri FC 2-1 Santa Cruz FC
17 Oct	Futbol Consultants Moravia 2-0 CS Uruguay
17 Oct	Guadalupe FC 1-0 Cariari Pococi
13 Oct	Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 2-2 Aserri FC
12 Oct	Municipal Grecia 2-2 Aserri FC
11 Oct	Santa Cruz FC 0-3 ADR Jicaral