Municipal Grecia vs Aserri FC• Liga de Ascenso, Costa-Rica

#80.6:0.42-2FT12/101.0:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00WHX3.60BFR23.65DAFMargin at best5.2%Books9Markets45Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 21:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.93	3.45	3.65	8.2%
Betfair	1.90	3.60	3.30	10.7%
1xBet	1.94	3.30	3.44	10.9%
Bet365	1.95	3.40	3.30	11.0%
Betano	1.90	3.35	3.50	11.1%
William Hill	2.00	3.10	3.40	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.92	3.30	3.35	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.99	3.21	3.21	12.6%
BetVictor	1.85	3.10	3.00	19.6%
Best of all books	2.00	3.60	3.65	5.2%
Average	1.93	3.31	3.35	11.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Municipal GreciaAserri FC

Last 10#8Table position#11.67Points per game1.526Form pts · last 580.6Goals for · last 51.00.4Goals against · last 51.038Attack rating6371Defence rating2953Form rating470H2H rating10078Goals model2256Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 18:20 UTC

Municipal Grecia

4W 4D 2L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against

12 Oct	H	Aserri FC	2-2	D
4 Oct	H	Santa Cruz FC	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Quepos Cambute	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	ADR Jicaral	1-1	D
8 Sep	A	AD Cofutpa	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	AD Sarchí	1-0	W
23 Aug	A	Aserri FC	2-3	L
16 Aug	A	Santa Cruz FC	2-1	W
9 Aug	H	Quepos Cambute	2-0	W
12 Apr	A	AD Sarchí	1-1	D

Aserri FC

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	H	Santa Cruz FC	2-1	W
13 Oct	A	Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC	2-2	D
12 Oct	A	Municipal Grecia	2-2	D
4 Oct	H	Guadalupe FC	2-3	L
3 Oct	H	Quepos Cambute	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Futbol Consultants Moravia	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	ADR Jicaral	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Santa Ana	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	AD Cofutpa	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	CS Uruguay	1-0	W

Head to head

0Municipal Grecia wins

0draws

1Aserri FC wins

1 meeting · goals 2:3 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Municipal Grecia

23 Aug 2026Liga de Ascenso

Liga de Ascenso

Aserri FC3-2Municipal Grecia

Liga de Ascenso tableRegular Seasonupdated 18 Oct 19:00 UTC

In the Liga de Ascenso table, Municipal Grecia sit 8th with 15 points from 9 games, while Aserri FC are 1st with 32 points from 21.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Aserri FC	21	9	5	7	27:26	+1	32
2	ADR Jicaral	10	7	3	0	18:5	+13	24
3	Santa Ana	11	8	0	3	19:10	+9	24
4	Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC	11	5	5	1	20:15	+5	20
5	Quepos Cambute	10	6	1	3	15:8	+7	19
6	Cariari Pococi	12	4	4	4	12:12	0	16
7	AD Carmelita	11	4	3	4	19:13	+6	15
8	Municipal Grecia	9	4	3	2	11:8	+3	15
9	Guadalupe FC	12	4	3	5	16:19	-3	15
10	Futbol Consultants Moravia	12	4	1	7	14:14	0	13
11	AD Sarchí	9	3	2	4	9:13	-4	11
12	CS Uruguay	12	2	3	7	9:25	-16	9
13	Santa Cruz FC	11	2	0	9	12:24	-12	6
14	AD Cofutpa	9	1	1	7	8:17	-9	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%1.98X27%3.27227%3.28

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.77 → 1.93 +9.0%X3.62 → 3.31 -8.6%23.80 → 3.34 -12.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Pinnacle	1.81	1.90	7.9%
1xBet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Betano	1.72	1.93	10.0%
BetVictor	1.62	1.72	19.9%
Best of all books	1.81	2.00	5.2%
Average	1.75	1.91	9.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
1xBet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.04	10.0%
BetVictor	1.50	1.85	20.7%
Best of all books	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Average	1.62	2.02	11.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Municipal Grecia 10%Draw 45%Aserri FC 45%

The statistical model rated Municipal Grecia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Aserri FC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.98 | 3.27 | 3.28, which imply roughly 30.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga de Ascenso table: Municipal Grecia are 8th (15 pts, 11-8 goals), Aserri FC 1st (32 pts, 27-26).

Over their last five matches, Municipal Grecia averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Aserri FC averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Aserri FC and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.93	3.31	3.35

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.70	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.43	2.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
2.50	2.15	3.82

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.69	11.4	2.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	10.3
1.5	1.20	3.45
2.5	1.75	1.91
3.5	2.79	1.31
4.5	5.17	1.11
5.5	11.5	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.50
1.75	1.28	3.14
2	1.35	2.62
2.25	1.55	2.12
2.75	1.93	1.67
3	2.24	1.48
3.25	2.49	1.39
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.70	1.12
4.25	4.56	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.73	1.33
-0.75	2.17	1.51
-0.5	1.89	1.72
-0.25	1.67	1.92
0	1.42	2.37
+0.25	1.33	2.85

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.30	1.03
-2.25	5.54	1.08
-2	6.45	1.05
-1.75	4.50	1.13
-1.5	3.50	1.22
-1.25	3.16	1.27
+0.5	1.28	3.14
+1	1.05	6.40
+1.5	1.03	7.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.74	2.01
10	1.98	1.82

Latest Liga de Ascenso results

18 Oct	Santa Ana 2-1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
18 Oct	AD Sarchí 2-0 Municipal Grecia
18 Oct	Aserri FC 1-1 AD Carmelita
17 Oct	Aserri FC 2-1 Santa Cruz FC
17 Oct	Futbol Consultants Moravia 2-0 CS Uruguay
17 Oct	Guadalupe FC 1-0 Cariari Pococi