Aserri FC vs Santa Cruz FC• Liga de Ascenso, Costa-Rica

#11.4:1.623:00Today1.0:1.8#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.33WHX4.75B36528.801XBMargin at best7.6%Books6Markets54Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 19:09 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
William Hill	1.33	4.33	8.50	10.0%
1xBet	1.29	4.55	8.80	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.28	4.55	8.30	12.2%
Bet365	1.30	4.75	7.00	12.3%
Pinnacle	1.27	4.74	7.93	12.4%
BetVictor	1.25	4.10	6.50	19.8%
Best of all books	1.33	4.75	8.80	7.6%
Average	1.29	4.50	7.84	12.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Aserri FCSanta Cruz FC

Last 10#1Table position#131.45Points per game0.605Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 51.858Attack rating4253Defence rating4763Form rating38100H2H rating086Goals model1465Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:11 UTC

Aserri FC

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

13 Oct	A	Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC	2-2	D
12 Oct	A	Municipal Grecia	2-2	D
4 Oct	H	Guadalupe FC	2-3	L
3 Oct	H	Quepos Cambute	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Futbol Consultants Moravia	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	ADR Jicaral	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Santa Ana	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	AD Cofutpa	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	CS Uruguay	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	AD Sarchí	1-2	L

Santa Cruz FC

2W 0D 8L · goals 11:22 · per match 1.1 for, 2.2 against

11 Oct	H	ADR Jicaral	0-3	L
4 Oct	A	Municipal Grecia	0-1	L
27 Sep	A	AD Cofutpa	1-3	L
20 Sep	H	Quepos Cambute	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	AD Sarchí	4-0	W
30 Aug	H	Aserri FC	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	ADR Jicaral	1-4	L
16 Aug	H	Municipal Grecia	1-2	L
9 Aug	H	AD Cofutpa	3-1	W
2 Aug	A	Quepos Cambute	0-4	L

Head to head

1Aserri FC wins

0draws

0Santa Cruz FC wins

1 meeting · goals 2:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Aserri FC

30 Aug 2026Liga de Ascenso

Liga de Ascenso

Santa Cruz FC1-2Aserri FC

Liga de Ascenso tableRegular Seasonupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Liga de Ascenso table, Aserri FC sit 1st with 29 points from 20 games, while Santa Cruz FC are 13th with 6 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Aserri FC	20	8	5	7	25:25	0	29
2	ADR Jicaral	10	7	3	0	18:5	+13	24
3	Santa Ana	11	8	0	3	19:10	+9	24
4	Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC	11	5	5	1	20:15	+5	20
5	Quepos Cambute	10	6	1	3	15:8	+7	19
6	Cariari Pococi	12	4	4	4	12:12	0	16
7	AD Carmelita	11	4	3	4	19:13	+6	15
8	Municipal Grecia	9	4	3	2	11:8	+3	15
9	Guadalupe FC	12	4	3	5	16:19	-3	15
10	AD Sarchí	9	3	2	4	9:13	-4	11
11	Futbol Consultants Moravia	11	3	1	7	12:14	-2	10
12	CS Uruguay	11	2	3	6	9:23	-14	9
13	Santa Cruz FC	10	2	0	8	11:22	-11	6
14	AD Cofutpa	9	1	1	7	8:17	-9	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg169%1.29X20%4.50211%7.84

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.55 → 1.29 -16.8%X3.69 → 4.50 +22.0%24.50 → 7.84 +74.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
1xBet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.53	2.28	9.2%
BetVictor	1.45	1.96	20.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.53	2.21	10.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.77	10.0%
BetVictor	1.67	1.67	19.8%
Best of all books	1.87	1.85	7.5%
Average	1.81	1.77	11.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aserri FC 45%Draw 45%Santa Cruz FC 10%

The statistical model rates Aserri FC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Santa Cruz FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.29 | 4.50 | 7.84, which imply roughly 77.5% for a Aserri FC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga de Ascenso table: Aserri FC are 1st (29 pts, 25-25 goals), Santa Cruz FC 13th (6 pts, 11-22).

Over their last five matches, Aserri FC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Santa Cruz FC averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Aserri FC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.29	4.50	7.84

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	2.98	1.11

Draw no bet

1	2
1.09	4.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
1.73	2.44	7.09

2nd half

1	X	2
1.58	2.99	6.82

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.95	21.5	53.0
HT X	4.05	7.50	16.0
HT 2	19.5	21.5	13.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.30	14.8	3.58

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.9
1.5	1.14	3.91
2.5	1.53	2.21
3.5	2.24	1.48
4.5	3.66	1.16
5.5	8.50	1.06

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.15
1.75	1.18	3.88
2	1.23	3.43
2.25	1.38	2.53
2.75	1.64	1.96
3	1.82	1.75
3.25	2.03	1.59
3.75	2.69	1.37
4	3.34	1.24
4.25	3.62	1.20
5	6.00	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.40	1.41
-1.75	2.03	1.59
-1.5	1.84	1.79
-1.25	1.61	2.00
-1	1.49	2.33
-0.5	1.38	2.42

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	5.40	1.09
-3	4.75	1.12
-2.75	3.82	1.18
-2.5	2.97	1.30
-2.25	2.75	1.35
-0.75	1.35	2.64
-0.25	1.27	3.24
0	1.05	6.40
+0.25	1.05	6.60
+1	1.02	7.80
+1.5	1.02	8.85

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.73	2.00
10	2.00	1.80