Alianza vs
Águila• Primera Division, El-Salvador
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 10:55 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.90 | 3.15 | 2.39 | 8.1% |
| Pinnacle | 2.86 | 3.11 | 2.42 | 8.4% |
| Betano | 2.85 | 3.15 | 2.37 | 9.0% |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 10.8% |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.38 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.38 | 11.5% |
| 1xBet | 2.67 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.67 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 12.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 2.90 | 2.20 | 19.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.42 | 6.1% |
| Average | 2.72 | 3.15 | 2.34 | 11.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 09:01 UTC
Alianza
2W 4D 4L · goals 9:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.2 against
| 5 Nov | A | Firpo | 0-2 | L |
| 1 Nov | A | Atletico Balboa | 0-1 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | CD Marathon | 0-0 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Isidro Metapán | 1-0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | CD Marathon | 1-2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Cacahuatique | 0-0 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Inter | 2-2 | D |
| 9 Oct | A | FAS | 1-2 | L |
| 4 Oct | H | Firpo | 2-2 | D |
| 1 Oct | H | Platense | 2-1 | W |
Águila
7W 2D 1L · goals 22:11 · per match 2.2 for, 1.1 against
| 1 Nov | A | Fuerte San Francisco | 4-3 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | FAS | 3-1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Atletico Balboa | 2-2 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Isidro Metapán | 3-0 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Cacahuatique | 4-1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Inter | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Firpo | 0-2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Platense | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Inca Aruba | 3-1 | W |
| 10 Sep | A | Municipal Limeño | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
72 meetings · goals 89:69 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Alianza
| 6 Sep 2026Primera Division | Primera Division | Águila2-2Alianza |
| 10 May 2026Primera Division | Primera Division | Alianza0-2Águila |
| 6 May 2026Primera Division | Primera Division | Águila2-1Alianza |
| 16 Apr 2026Primera Division | Primera Division | Alianza0-2Águila |
| 19 Feb 2026Primera Division | Primera Division | Águila0-3Alianza |
| 2 Nov 2025Primera Division | Primera Division | Alianza0-1Águila |
| 20 Sep 2025Primera Division | Primera Division | Águila1-2Alianza |
| 13 Apr 2025Primera Division | Primera Division | Alianza0-1Águila |
| 16 Feb 2025Primera Division | Primera Division | Águila0-1Alianza |
| 10 Nov 2024Primera Division | Primera Division | Alianza1-1Águila |
Primera Division tablePrimera Division: Aperturaupdated 7 Nov 04:10 UTC
In the Primera Division table, Alianza sit 8th with 23 points from 18 games, while Águila are 4th with 30 points from 18.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Firpo | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 32:13 | +19 | 36 |
| 2 | FAS | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29:19 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 | Isidro Metapán | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25:20 | +5 | 32 |
| 4 | Águila | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34:24 | +10 | 30 |
| 5 | Inter | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 | Platense | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:20 | +5 | 27 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeño | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Alianza | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Atletico Balboa | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 17 |
| 10 | Inca Aruba | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:33 | -19 | 17 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18:34 | -16 | 13 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 5.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 1.81 | 5.8% |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 1.80 | 7.9% |
| Betano | 1.93 | 1.78 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 1.77 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 1.77 | 9.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 1.63 | 20.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.98 | 1.90 | 3.1% |
| Average | 1.89 | 1.78 | 9.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.73 | 2.05 | 6.6% |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 2.00 | 7.8% |
| Betano | 1.70 | 2.00 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 1.98 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 1.95 | 9.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 1.80 | 20.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.73 | 2.05 | 6.6% |
| Average | 1.69 | 1.96 | 10.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Alianza at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Águila at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.76 | 3.17 | 2.36, which imply roughly 31.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera Division table: Alianza are 8th (23 pts, 23-24 goals), Águila 4th (30 pts, 34-24).
Over their last five matches, Alianza averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Águila averaged 3.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Águila.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.72 | 3.15 | 2.34 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | 1.38 | 1.25 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.92 | 1.70 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.69 | 1.96 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.33 | 2.07 | 2.91 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.09 | 2.36 | 2.68 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.38 | 14.1 | 25.0 |
| HT X | 6.48 | 5.03 | 5.80 |
| HT 2 | 26.8 | 14.0 | 3.89 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.01 | 10.5 | 1.89 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 7.80 |
| 1.5 | 1.27 | 3.12 |
| 2.5 | 1.89 | 1.78 |
| 3.5 | 3.15 | 1.26 |
| 4.5 | 5.48 | 1.09 |
| 5.5 | 15.0 | 1.02 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.30 |
| 1.25 | 1.16 | 4.50 |
| 1.75 | 1.34 | 2.87 |
| 2 | 1.42 | 2.40 |
| 2.25 | 1.65 | 1.97 |
| 2.75 | 2.11 | 1.56 |
| 3 | 2.52 | 1.39 |
| 3.25 | 2.98 | 1.32 |
| 3.75 | 4.15 | 1.16 |
| 4 | 5.85 | 1.07 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.53 | 1.36 |
| -0.25 | 2.27 | 1.48 |
| 0 | 1.95 | 1.71 |
| +0.25 | 1.65 | 1.97 |
| +0.5 | 1.47 | 2.22 |
| +0.75 | 1.36 | 2.81 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 9.60 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 5.95 | 1.07 |
| -1.25 | 4.50 | 1.16 |
| -1 | 4.90 | 1.11 |
| -0.75 | 3.33 | 1.26 |
| +1 | 1.21 | 3.77 |
| +1.25 | 1.14 | 4.40 |
| +1.5 | 1.11 | 4.85 |
| +2 | 1.02 | 8.80 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 9.90 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
Next Primera Division matches
| 7 Nov | Platense – Cacahuatique |
| 8 Nov | Inter – Firpo |
| 8 Nov | Municipal Limeño – Atletico Balboa |
| 9 Nov | FAS – Fuerte San Francisco |
Latest Primera Division results
| 7 Nov | Inca Aruba 1-1 Isidro Metapán |
| 5 Nov | Firpo 2-0 Alianza |
| 5 Nov | Municipal Limeño 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco |
| 1 Nov | Firpo 1-1 FAS |
| 1 Nov | Fuerte San Francisco 3-4 Águila |
| 1 Nov | Atletico Balboa 1-0 Alianza |