Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán• Primera Division, El-Salvador

#100.4:2.01-1FTToday0.8:1.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.20DAFX3.75BFR21.65WHMargin at best6.5%Books9Markets46Rating32 · 69Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 18:37 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	5.20	3.60	1.65	7.6%
Pinnacle	5.08	3.55	1.65	8.5%
Betano	5.00	3.50	1.65	9.2%
1xBet	4.88	3.50	1.62	10.8%
Betfair	5.00	3.75	1.55	11.2%
William Hill	4.80	3.30	1.65	11.7%
Bet365	4.75	3.70	1.57	11.8%
Marathonbet	4.75	3.50	1.60	12.1%
BetVictor	4.10	3.20	1.55	20.2%
Best of all books	5.20	3.75	1.65	6.5%
Average	4.84	3.51	1.61	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Inca ArubaIsidro Metapán

Last 10#10Table position#30.89Points per game1.681Form pts · last 550.4Goals for · last 50.82.0Goals against · last 51.433Attack rating6741Defence rating5917Form rating83100H2H rating035Goals model6532Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 19:11 UTC

Inca Aruba

3W 2D 5L · goals 9:16 · per match 0.9 for, 1.6 against

31 Oct	A	Cacahuatique	0-1	L
24 Oct	H	Inter	0-2	L
16 Oct	A	Firpo	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Platense	1-4	L
5 Oct	A	FAS	1-1	D
2 Oct	H	Municipal Limeño	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Alianza	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Fuerte San Francisco	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Águila	1-3	L
9 Sep	H	Atletico Balboa	1-0	W

Isidro Metapán

5W 3D 2L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

1 Nov	H	Municipal Limeño	1-1	D
24 Oct	A	Alianza	0-1	L
22 Oct	A	FAS	0-0	D
18 Oct	H	Fuerte San Francisco	3-2	W
11 Oct	A	Águila	0-3	L
3 Oct	H	Atletico Balboa	3-2	W
27 Sep	H	Cacahuatique	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Inter	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Firpo	2-1	W
9 Sep	A	Platense	2-1	W

Head to head

1Inca Aruba wins

0draws

0Isidro Metapán wins

1 meeting · goals 1:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Inca Aruba

6 Sep 2026Primera Division

Primera Division

Isidro Metapán0-1Inca Aruba

Primera Division tablePrimera Division: Aperturaupdated 7 Nov 04:10 UTC

In the Primera Division table, Inca Aruba sit 10th with 17 points from 19 games, while Isidro Metapán are 3rd with 32 points from 19.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Firpo	18	10	6	2	32:13	+19	36
2	FAS	18	9	5	4	29:19	+10	32
3	Isidro Metapán	19	9	5	5	25:20	+5	32
4	Águila	18	8	6	4	34:24	+10	30
5	Inter	18	6	9	3	24:16	+8	27
6	Platense	18	7	6	5	25:20	+5	27
7	Municipal Limeño	19	6	5	8	28:28	0	23
8	Alianza	18	5	8	5	23:24	-1	23
9	Atletico Balboa	18	4	5	9	17:28	-11	17
10	Inca Aruba	19	4	5	10	14:33	-19	17
11	Cacahuatique	18	3	7	8	19:29	-10	16
12	Fuerte San Francisco	19	2	7	10	18:34	-16	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%4.85X26%3.52256%1.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.99	1.81	5.5%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Betfair	1.91	1.75	9.5%
BetVictor	1.69	1.64	20.1%
Best of all books	1.99	1.95	1.5%
Average	1.89	1.78	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Betano	1.87	1.80	9.0%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.76	10.0%
BetVictor	1.67	1.67	19.8%
Best of all books	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Average	1.85	1.77	10.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Inca Aruba 10%Draw 45%Isidro Metapán 45%

The statistical model rated Inca Aruba at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Isidro Metapán at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.85 | 3.52 | 1.61, which imply roughly 28.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Division table: Inca Aruba are 10th (17 pts, 14-33 goals), Isidro Metapán 3rd (32 pts, 25-20).

Over their last five matches, Inca Aruba averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Isidro Metapán averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Isidro Metapán.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.84	3.51	1.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.10	1.13	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
3.50	1.22

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
5.11	2.13	2.14

2nd half

1	X	2
4.76	2.46	2.01

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	8.51	16.6	22.3
HT X	10.3	5.38	4.30
HT 2	46.8	15.8	2.47

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.00	8.30	1.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.60
1.5	1.28	3.06
2.5	1.89	1.78
3.5	3.11	1.27
4.5	5.60	1.08
5.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.19	4.20
1.75	1.36	2.77
2	1.44	2.36
2.25	1.67	1.95
2.75	2.11	1.56
3	2.53	1.38
3.25	2.97	1.32
3.75	4.00	1.17
4	5.45	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.49	1.40
+0.5	2.05	1.57
+0.75	1.83	1.76
+1	1.63	2.07
+1.25	1.43	2.38
+1.5	1.36	2.79

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.90	1.01
-1	8.90	1.02
-0.25	4.00	1.17
0	3.60	1.22
+1.75	1.24	3.34
+2	1.12	4.65
+2.25	1.13	5.20
+2.5	1.09	5.35

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10.5	1.81	1.97

Next Primera Division matches

7 Nov	Platense – Cacahuatique
8 Nov	Inter – Firpo
8 Nov	Alianza – Águila
8 Nov	Municipal Limeño – Atletico Balboa
9 Nov	FAS – Fuerte San Francisco

All Primera Division fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Division results

5 Nov	Firpo 2-0 Alianza
5 Nov	Municipal Limeño 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco
1 Nov	Firpo 1-1 FAS
1 Nov	Fuerte San Francisco 3-4 Águila
1 Nov	Atletico Balboa 1-0 Alianza
1 Nov	Isidro Metapán 1-1 Municipal Limeño